What went wrong for @MamataOfficial in #Nandigram ? Interestingly @AITCofficial swept #Bengal. It did pretty well in #Medinipur region. Still she lost in Nandigram which is against the trend of the election. I am trying to analyze the mistakes in strategy by her. 1/n
Now to fight election u need to read game theory. U need to predict what could be the opposition move. #Subhendu could only win election by polarizing voters in religious line. He can't defeat @MamataOfficial by any other means. 2/n
In such a context, @MamataOfficial made a tactical error. She made #AbuSufiyan as her election agent at #Nandigram . Also she was dependent on #AbuTaher. Both these leaders have muscle power. It made the election polarized. #AbuSufiyan is not considered as non corrupt. 3/n
When two big guns are fighting, there will be political tension at the ground. The political tension turned in religious tension in #Nandigram. Also people realized that if @MamataOfficial wins, #AbuSufiyan would be the de-facto MLA of Nandigram. 4/n
If @MamataOfficial would have made a Hindu guy with Muscle power as her election agent, I believe the results would have been different. Even @AITCofficial put #PurnenduBasu , #Dolasen to manage the election in nandigram . They r not good election manager. It was a mistake. n/n

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More from @partha2019LS

6 May
At #Madhyamgram assembly segment, the Muslim voters are around 29%. In 2021 assembly election, the Muslim vote got divided between TMC & ISF. @AITCofficial & ISF both managed to get 48% of the Muslim votes. BJP polled only 1% of Muslim votes.
Among Hindu voters at #Madhyamgram, @AITCofficial managed to get 49% of the Hindu votes, @BJP4India managed to get 37% of the Hindu vote & ISF managed 11% of Hindu vote in #BengalElection2021 @iam_indro
Please find how Muslim dominated booths voted at Madhyamgram in #BengalElection2021 Image
Read 4 tweets
24 Dec 18
Analyzing recent #Tribal Voting Patterns and Trends..There are 51 parliament seats in Central India (Chattisgarh,MP,Gujarat,Rajasthan,Odisha,Jharkhand n Maharastra) where Tribal voters are more than 20%. What are the indications in #assemblyelections2018 ? Lets analyze.
In #Chattisgarh there are 7 Parliament seats where #Tribal Population is >20%. @BJP4India won all 7 in 2014 parliament election. The avg. tribal population in these seats is 44.5%. @BJP4India lost an average vote% of 17.5% in these seats. Huge loss. Refer the attached pics.
In #MP there are 10 Parliament seats where #Tribal Population is >20%. @BJP4India won 9 in 2014 parliament election. The avg. tribal population in these seats is 42.8%. @BJP4India lost an average vote% of 11.4% in these seats. Huge loss. Refer the attached pic.
Read 7 tweets

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