NEW: Big Labour success-they've GAINED the Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Mayoralty.
Labour didn't even make it to the second round back in 2017, they came third

Labour came second in the first round but with second preferences their candidate Nik Johnson, was elected
The mayoralty takes in some very Conservative areas, with Labour Cambridge and swingy (though marginally Conservative) Peterborough

Looking through the details, very much a case that Lib Dems came through for Labour on second preferences.
Eg in John Major’s old stomping ground of Huntingdonshire
Lots of "blue wall" posts-not so sure.Lib Dems are reanimating in these parts (see Cambridgeshire CC) and clearly a slow Labour growth in parts of the south. But suspect this is more an example of how with a different electoral system progressive parties might do very differently

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More from @lewis_goodall

10 May
A reminder that electoral fraud is a tiny problem. There were only 164 cases of any kind at the 2019 general election. Across all elections in 2019 the police found it necessary to issue a mere 2 cautions. Electoral Commission says UK has “low levels of proven electoral fraud.” Image
That said Electoral Commission itself has recommended that the UK as a whole moves to some form of photo ID system, as in NI. They do acknowledge however that there are about 3.5 million people (mainly younger voters) without any form of ID. Big concern is it depresses turnout.
Electoral Commission has recommended that people be allowed to apply for a free form of ID from local councils. But clearly that requires effort which could be a disincentive for voting. It goes in a v different direction to Scotland & Wales, which have enfranchised 16 year olds.
Read 5 tweets
9 May
Though extremely wounding for Dodds. Never entirely understood the criticism. How many Shadow Chancellors "cut through"?
All replies to this are listing those who were either s chancellor for a long time and/or became chancellor. Dodd’s shadowed for a year in a pandemic where few were interested in Lab. neither defending nor praising but focussing on her lack of “cut through” specifically seems odd
Read 4 tweets
9 May
KEY ENGLAND ELECTION TAKEAWAYS (thread)

1) Brexit realignment continues
2) Tory Party now hegemonic in much of England.
3) Elections put pay to the theory that Labour's problems were just about Corbyn.
4) Greens on the rise.
5) Some people have said today that the narrative of the elections would be very different if the results had come in a different order. I'm not so sure. Yes Labour won most of the mayoral contests but given they mainly cover urban conurbations in which Labour does well that...
...isn't surprising. People point to the WoE and C&P mayors as a sign of realignment but it's more a sign that there are lots of Labour inclined votes in Bristol and Cambridge and that a different electoral system can really help progressive parties when the vote is split.
Read 30 tweets
9 May
Tracy Brabin on course to win the West Yorkshire mayoralty and as a result we’re in for another by-election in Batley and Spen.
Will be of enormous political importance- Labour won’t have the excuse of the Brexit Party vote given its very small. As I said following Hartlepool, I suspect real peril for Starmer if he loses- after events of last 24 hours even more so. Image
Cue political journalists furiously googling the Heavy Woollen District Independents
Read 7 tweets
9 May
NEW: Conservatives hold Adur Council (West Sussex) ImageImage
More very good results for the Greens, this time in Stroud- 5 gains from Tories and Labour. A real 3 party council now. ImageImage
NEW: ANOTHER Conservative council gain from Labour in the Midlands. This time Amber Valley in Derbyshire. Was controlled by Labour until this elections. Has exchanged hands on and off for decades. Labour shouldn't be losing it. 9 straight swaps between the parties. ImageImage
Read 11 tweets
8 May
LONDON MAYOR SECOND ROUND

KHAN (Lab): 1,206,034
BAILEY (Con): 977,601

Sadiq Khan is re-elected for a second term.
Khan: 55.2% (-1.6%)
Bailey: 44.8% (+1.6%)

Not an enormous change on four years ago, though given general bonus for incumbents, such as that we saw for Burnham/Houchen, must be a bit disappointing for Khan.
Green Party tops off a strong performance in London with a third place finish. @sianberry secures nearly 8% of first preferences. Beats Lib Dem @LuisaPorritt into fourth place on 4.4%.
Read 4 tweets

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