I am locked in my bomb shelter in Jerusalem waiting the all-clear.
Hamas has taken responsibility for the rocket fire on Jerusalem. One report of a rocket or rocket parts falling near to the city.
Reports that six rockets were fired. Channel 12 reports rocket shards in the Ein Karem area. Some may have been intercepted on the way, too.
An uninhabited building in the Jerusalem area was damaged by a rocket , and fires have started in agricultural areas. No reports of any injuries, though.
Also seems to be significant rocket fire on Israeli towns close to Gaza. Iron Dome intercepted several rockets (you can see the interception trails in the image). Also an anti-tank Kornet missile was fired at a civillian car driving near the strip.
A house in Mevasseret, just outside Jerusalem, was damaged by rocket shrapnel. That's really far from Gaza and really close to here.
The police has decided to stop the Jerusalem Day flag march, which had already been rerouted to avoid the provocative route through the Muslim Quarter, as well as cancelling the evening celebration at the Western Wall.
For people asking about bomb shelter wifi, here's how it's done.
Could be Round 2 at 9pm. Or Hamas might change it up and shoot at Tel Aviv instead.
This fire is worryingly close to the Al Aqsa mosque.
Yup. Its hard to imagine the Muslim worshipers allowing firefighters to ascend and put it out. But Israel will be terrified that the fire could spread.

Fire is reportedly out. Was caused by fireworks that the al-Aqsa worshipers were trying to shoot down to the Jewish crowd at the Western Wall.

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More from @ariehkovler

11 May
The House of Commons slams the door in the face of Black Rod, approaching with a summons from the Queen.
No photo this year of Black Rod knocking on the door with her rod of office three times, because of scaled back pandemic coverage But there's a lovely notch there from past ceremonies.
Because if you're going to have a monarchy, it's important that the Queen remembers her place and that the Commons are in charge.
Read 6 tweets
7 May
Nobody is prepared for what happens when this "audit" finds "evidence of fraud". It's going to be ugly.
The Arizona legislature, which commissioned the "audit", will surely accept its conclusions however wild they are. Perhaps they'll do that via a motion rejecting the 2020 result?
That might also mean a criminal investigation against innocent election officials in Maricopa. No convictions will follow but it'll take months.
Read 11 tweets
7 May
I wonder if the world is about to face significant inflationary pressure. Supply issues for appliances, low interest rates, stimulus cheques / furlough payments, post-Covid optimisim in the West...
Also: mass access to high-volatility investments that seem very bubbleish
It's been 30 years since inflation was out of control in most Western countries. Millennials haven't experienced high inflation, let alone Zoomers. If it comes it'll be a big shock.
Read 6 tweets
4 May
I'm writing indoors at a cafe for the first time since March 2020. Every table is taken and every person has a laptop out. It's completely silent apart from the background music.
Someone just came in, saw there were no tables and went to leave when someone else offered to share a table. The new person has no laptop, but she has ringbinders. Silence continues.
Someone answered her phone. The rest of us are giving her dirty looks.
Read 9 tweets
3 May
I think this NYTimes article is too pessimistic. In particular, it doesn't take account of the situation in Israel, where it looks like there *might* be population immunity with just 54% vaccination.

nytimes.com/2021/05/03/hea…
Almost 30% of the population in Israel is under the age of 16. The young population meant that we weren't *expecting* herd immunity here until kids could be vaccinated.
The article suggests that you need 80% vaccination coverage to keep unmitigated R<1. But that doesn't seem to be what we're seeing in real life. Maybe because infected kids alone don't transmit the virus to enough other people to keep the pandemic going?
Read 12 tweets
1 May
The "watermark" theory was all over MAGA and QAnon in the week after the election. The theory was that Trump had ordered the US military to secretly watermarked the ballots in order to expose fraud by state officials.
Here's a few examples from 8 November showing what they imagined the "real" ballots might look like under UV light. QAnon adherents also referenced the Q phrase "watch the water", claiming it might refer to watermarks.

The irony is that QAnon dumped the watermarks theory months ago, and have spent recent days explaining how the UV light at the Maricopa "audit" wasn't looking for watermarks because that would be dumb! The UV must really be looking for something else like skin oil
Read 4 tweets

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