Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 16,258,155
- Shots per 100 people: 42.8
- Shots reported today *: 340,600
- Inventory: 6.4 days (at avg pace)
- Adults w/ 1+ Shots: 47.5%

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

* Includes some weekend doses Image
Canada is now up to 16.3 million shots given -- which is 88.9% of the total 18.3 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,202,370 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.3 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 340,600 shots given compares to an average of 315,238/day over the past week and 249,101/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 284,992
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Sep 16 Image
Based on the share of people with 1 or more doses (a weaker threshold), at Canada's current pace we reach 50% by May 23 and 75% by June 24. We reach 75% of *adults only* (age 16+) by June 7.

Gray lines are past projections. This illustrates the extent of recent changes. Image
Recent modeling suggests health rules may be safely eased once 75% of adults have at least one dose and 20% have two canada.ca/content/dam/ph…

This requires ~30M shots. We're on pace for that by June 22.

But deliveries are accelerating. If shots keep up, could be early-June Image
Turning to individual provinces, here's total shots given and share of delivered doses used.

- Most shots given: YT at 119 doses per 100 people
- Fewest: NS at 37

- Highest share of delivered doses used: SK with 97%
- Lowest: NU with 66% Image
A more detailed look at provs/terrs:

- Highest overall: YT at 63% receiving at least one shot
- Most 1st doses only: QC at 40% receiving that shot
- Most Fully Vaccinated: YT at 55%
- Fewest Vaccinated: PE at 31% Image
How does Canada compare to others? Currently, Canada ranks 7th out of 37 OECD countries in terms of the share of the population that is at least partially vaccinated. In terms of total doses per 100, Canada is 7th.

Source: ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinat… Image
Canada/US comparison.

Received at least one dose:
- Top Prov: QC, 42.0% of pop
- Top State: VT, 61.9
- Top Terr: YT, 63.2

Fully vaccinated:

- Top Prov: AB, 7.2% of pop
- Top State: CT, 45.0
- Top Terr: YT, 55.3

Sources: covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… and covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra… Image
At Canada's latest 7-day avg daily pace, the share of people w/ 1 or more doses rises by 0.78% per day. The US rises by 0.23% per day.

- Projected out, we reach 75% 81 days before the US.
- We match the US share in 12 days.
- Reaching the current US share takes 8 days. Image
But that's 1+ doses, here's a comparison of daily shots given per 100 people. In Canada, this rises by 0.83 per day. The US rises by 0.64 per day.

- Projected out, we reach 100 doses 36 days after the US.
- Reaching the current US rate takes 43 days. Image
Finally, here's a selection across several metrics/groups of how Canada ranks globally. Pick your preferred measure! Image
That's it... but if you're hungry for more, I've thrown together a collection of international projections and comparisons to Canada (and more) at trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/in…

The couple weeks will be big, and soon we'll see the second dose rates accelerate rapidly too! 💉 ImageImageImageImage

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More from @trevortombe

12 May
Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 16,904,709
- Shots per 100 people: 44.5
- Shots reported today: 346,777
- Inventory: 9.7 days (at avg pace)
- Adults w/ 1+ Shots: 49.4%

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra… Image
Canada is now up to 16.9 million shots given -- which is 83.9% of the total 20.1 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,021,250 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.3 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 346,777 shots given compares to an average of 333,806/day over the past week and 248,829/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 284,449
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Sep 09 Image
Read 15 tweets
11 May
Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 16,557,932
- Shots per 100 people: 43.6
- Shots reported today: 299,777
- Inventory: 10.2 days (at avg pace)
- Adults w/ 1+ Shots: 48.4%

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra… Image
Canada is now up to 16.6 million shots given -- which is 83.4% of the total 19.9 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,139,620 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.3 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 299,777 shots given compares to an average of 324,814/day over the past week and 245,701/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 284,888
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Sep 12 Image
Read 12 tweets
8 May
Today's COVID vaccination update*:

- Total shots given: 15,652,046
- Shots per 100 people: 41.2
- Shots reported today: 326,863
- Inventory: 8.8 days (at avg pace)
- Adults w/ 1+ Shots: 45.7%

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

* Weekend updates are incomplete
Canada is now up to 15.7 million shots given -- which is 86.2% of the total 18.2 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,133,160 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.2 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 326,863 shots given compares to an average of 285,667/day over the past week and 262,739/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 285,241
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Sep 29
Read 14 tweets
8 May
Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 15,325,183
- Shots per 100 people: 40.3
- Shots reported today *: 400,489 (new record!)
- Inventory: 10.4 days (at avg pace)
- Adults w/ 1+ Shots: 44.7%

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

* Note: Doesn't include NL.
Canada is now up to 15.3 million shots given -- which is 84.4% of the total 18.2 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,150,110 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.2 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 400,489 shots given compares to an average of 272,141/day over the past week and 270,466/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 285,526
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Oct 07
Read 17 tweets
6 May
Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 14,924,694
- Shots per 100 people: 39.3
- Shots reported today: 356,627
- Inventory: 11.9 days (at avg pace)
- Adults w/ 1+ Shots: 43.5%

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra… Image
Canada is now up to 14.9 million shots given -- which is 83.0% of the total 18.0 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,191,208 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.2 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 356,627 shots given compares to an average of 256,118/day over the past week and 281,891/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 286,308
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Oct 17 Image
Read 13 tweets
30 Apr
Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 13,420,148
- Shots per 100 people: 35.3
- Shots reported today: 288,277
- Inventory: 5.9 days (at avg pace)
- Adults w/ 1+ Shots: 39.1%

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…
Canada is now up to 13.4 million shots given -- which is 89.4% of the total 15.0 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 1,305,810 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.1 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 288,277 shots given compares to an average of 270,459/day over the past week and 285,887/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30: 284,914
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Oct 08
Read 13 tweets

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