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Rich
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14 May, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Virginia Voter File Analysis Machine-Learning Model via @Peoples_Pundit @OnLocals Community peoplespundit.locals.com/post/672266/vi…
Might as well drop this in a thread because more on coming.
We're running mid-month vote file analysis models.

Initial findings:

FL: GOP might lose registrations to NPAs (as was actually anticipated), but DEMS haven't stopped the hemorrhaging.

OH: DEMS really need the GOP to follow @RepLizCheney & @AdamKinzinger off a cliff to compete.
Ohio Machine-Learning Voter File Analysis Model:

Image depicts party, both known and inferred. Note, the lighter color is the percentage we are inferring for party using hundreds of data attributes.

It's very accurate. peoplespundit.locals.com/post/675247/oh…

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More from @Peoples_Pundit

Rich
7 May
Let’s talk about “vaccine suppression”. You have to verify your identity to #GetVaccinated.

Why is @MSNBC part of such a racist agenda?

ID verification of any kind is racist. Why don’t you want black/brown people vaccinated?

Are you racist?
P.S. As it stands now, poorly conducted media polls with a D+6 projection still can’t put @GovRonDeSantis behind. So, I’m not entirely sure where this willingness to fall on a rusty sword is coming from.
I’ll amend this statement when it is necessary. But for now, let me make this as clear as possible...

As the only person to poll Florida correctly since 2014, @GovRonDeSantis is NOT beatable. This is a fools errand. His support is not partisan by ID, age, race, etc.

He’s safe.
Read 5 tweets
Rich
29 Apr
Not at all surprised to see this. Not at all.

Of all the invites we've sent out over the years to welcome outside review of our work, @PetrSvab of @EpochTimes is the only one who ever took us up on that offer.

The rest either smeared or were quiet in the face of the smear.
Speaking of smears, look at the trend on Twitter right now re: the Arizona audit, citing "some experts" who're "raising questions".

Bunk.

@kelliwardaz and @AZGOP invited everyone and anyone to participate in this audit. They refused B/C they wanted to have an excuse after it.
Funny how many of those classified as "experts" reversed themselves after years — even decades — of research on the impact of mail-in-voting re: fraud and turnout.

Simply have no principled positions. Might as well hang "For Sale" signs around their necks.
Read 4 tweets
Rich
28 Apr
As jurors speak out, what @barnes_law and I told you repeatedly will become increasingly clear.

Juror responses in voir dire were red flags for defense. They didn't "deliberate" over the facts. They projected their experiences/beliefs onto the case. foxnews.com/us/chauvin-jur…
To be fair to them, they are far from being alone in doing this. That's how most jurors/juries come to render verdicts.

They tell themselves a story through the lense of their own beliefs.

It was just particularly slanted (very) in the trial against Derek Chauvin.
"It was just dark. It felt like every day was a funeral and watching someone die every day."

He wanted on "because of all the protests and everything that happened after the event. This is the most historic case of my lifetime, and I would love to be a part of it."

BIG RED FLAG
Read 6 tweets
Rich
13 Apr
Wait, I’ve been told that I have “greatly exaggerated” the failures of this industry.

Lol.

Here’s an idea to reach a “consensus” on what went wrong. Ask someone who didn’t screw it up — again — then shut up, and listen to them. politico.com/news/2021/04/1…
I feel as if we've been down this road before.

Pollsters screw up, majorly, refuse to listen to those who did not, smear them instead, put on cute conventions exclusively with the screw ups, listen to them about why they screwed up, then screw up again.

Rinse. Repeat cycle.
The industry should take grandma’s advice: if you want to be better at something or a better person, then surround yourself with people better than you, and learn from them.

Screw ups can’t tell other screw ups how not to screw up. Losers can’t tell other losers how to win.
Read 6 tweets
Rich
12 Apr
If the @PressSec and the Biden Admin think conservatives are their major hurdle with the vaccine, they they have a real problem. We found a clear disparity between black, Hispanic and other minorities vs. whites, and they are more suspicious of it.
Point being, the percentage of whites who told us they are a hard No on getting the vaccine basically mirrors the national average. Other minority groups saying they are not getting it exceeded the average and won’t be reached by PSA spots during NASCAR, @PressSec.
Here are Covid-19 vaccinations by race:

"I have no plans to get vaccinated": 24.6%
"I intend to get vaccinated": 32.1%
"I have already been vaccinated": 43.3%

@PressSec @jrpsaki, can you reach Black/AA, American Indian/Alaska Native, Indian/Other Asian groups via Nascar PSAs?
Read 7 tweets
Rich
11 Apr
This argument has one very serious hurdle to get over: history.

Prior to the Harrison Act in 1914, Americans used to be able to purchase laudanum OTC. Bayer offered diacetylmorphine (heroin) OTC.

Continued...
Drug bans initially stemmed from addiction concerns, which boomed after the invention of the hypodermic needle.

But it wasn’t about race. The addicted were Civil War veterans.

Later, the Federal Bureau of Narcotics in 1930 certainly used questionable tactics, but...
... in 1906 the Pure Food and Drug Act required labels to state specific drugs such as opioids, cocaine, etc.

The first Opium Commissioner Hamilton Wright very specifically cast America as a drug consuming leader world-wide, and he wasn’t on a crusade against any race.
Read 4 tweets

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