4 in 10 Albertans and 1 in 3 Saskatchewanians reported worsening employment situations since last year. Likewise, Albertans and Saskatchewanians reported income declines in March 2021.
In SK & AB, racial minorities were more likely than white people to report worsening employment situations. Generation Z reported the highest employment effects––nearly half of SK Generation Z respondents and 6 in 10 AB Generation Z respondents reported worsening employment.
Group differences in household income were more severe in AB where Gen X and people with some post-secondary education had the greatest income declines. In both AB & SK, racial minorities were more likely than white people to report an income decline.
In AB, Liberal and smaller party supporters experienced negative employment and income effects. In SK, effects were felt most by Progressive Conservatives and undecided voters. Separatists were more likely to experience negative employment and income effects than non-separatists.
In both provinces, about 9 in 10 respondents with a steady income viewed their financial situation as better or the same as the previous year, while 63-66% of those with declining incomes viewed their financial situations as worse.
In both provinces, over one-third of respondents with a declining income believe that their financial situation will improve in the upcoming year, while nearly 7 in 10 respondents with a steady or increased income anticipate their financial situation will be the same next year.
Saskatchewanians feel more positive than Albertans about their provinces’ economic futures in the next 10 years. For instance, 34% of Saskatchewanians reported feelings of pessimism compared to 49% of Albertans.
Participants with income declines reported pessimism, anger, and fear about their province’s economic future more often than participants with steady incomes. Even after accounting for income changes, negative feelings were more common in AB.
Despite this, economic insecurity is similar among the provinces. Albertans and Saskatchewanians found it difficult to meet expenses in recent months and many could not pay for a $1,000 emergency expense via savings.
Economic insecurity depended on whether household income declined due to COVID-19. Respondents with declining incomes had a difficult time meeting expenses and accommodating an emergency expense, while those with steady/increased incomes could more readily cover these expenses.
Or you can visit our website for findings on a host of topics, from voting and partisanship to regionalism and discrimination. commongroundpolitics.ca/viewpoint-albe…
Earlier this year, we teamed up with @Pollara to ask Albertans how they felt about the Freedom Convoy.
TL;DR: 61% of Albertans oppose its objectives & 67% of Albertans oppose its methods. pollara.com/majority-of-al…
Our survey results show a clear divide along partisan lines. Survey respondents who support the UCP are more likely to support the objectives of the convoy (56%), while only 14% of New Democrat respondents support the convoy.
Older Albertans (65+) were more likely to oppose the objectives of the convoy (70%) compared to those under 65 (59%).
Most Albertans want and expect Jason Kenney to lose his leadership review, according to our latest Viewpoint Alberta survey. @DrJaredWesley discusses the implications for Alberta politics in the months ahead. commongroundpolitics.ca/kenneyreview
Kenney’s popularity has recovered somewhat over the past six months, however, it remains well below that of his primary opponent, NDP Leader Rachel Notley.
Nearly two-thirds of Albertans (63%) hold a negative view of Kenney on this feeling thermometer measure, and only one-in-four hold a positive view.
According to our survey of 1204 Albertans (online, Sept 21 to Oct 6), 43% intend to vote "yes" in the equalization referendum. 26% plan to vote "no" and 28% are unsure.
Older Albertans are more likely to vote "yes," as are people in rural areas.
How do Albertans feel about the prime minister, premier, and other party leaders? @DrJaredWesley has our latest Viewpoint Research Brief. #ableg 🧵⤵️ 🔗drive.google.com/file/d/11ZX8sp… (n=802, online, Mar 1-8, 2021)
We asked Albertans to use 1 word to describe each major party leader. They used negative words to describe Kenney & Trudeau, positive words to describe Notley, and words to indicate unfamiliarity to describe O’Toole.
Albertans have negative impressions of Trudeau and Kenney. Conversely, Albertans view Singh and Notley more positively than negatively. 1 in 5 Albertans indicated they do not know O'Toole, and his negatives outweigh his positives.
Our measures of party support align well with those from Canada’s leading polling firms, both of whom were in the field at the same time as us (first week of March 2021).
UCP support continues its steady but slowing decline. A key change since August 2020: NDP support has climbed nearly 12 points.