An average of 453 cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C. over the last three days, as the province's trendline continues to go down at a brisk, consistent pace.
Hospitalizations now at 350, lowest since April 10.
14 deaths, reflecting case counts a month ago.
Today's chart.
Hospitalizations now at 350, lowest since April 10.
14 deaths, reflecting case counts a month ago.
Today's chart.
has dr. henry always gone "thing x reminds us of collective action y" or i am just more attuned to it today
An average of 48,355 people were given a vaccine shot in B.C. over the last three days — a 24% increase over the previous weekend.
Approaching the halfway point for all people in the entire province having at least one dose.
Approaching the halfway point for all people in the entire province having at least one dose.
With any luck, the boring chart will return sometime this summer.
But for now, here's the predictable chart.
But for now, here's the predictable chart.
B.C. has been remarkably consistent in the last month — every six days or so, the rolling average goes down another 100 cases or so.
Under 1100 cases: April 16
Under 1000: April 21
900: April 26
800: May 2
700: May 6
600: May 13
Should go under 500 tomorrow
Under 1100 cases: April 16
Under 1000: April 21
900: April 26
800: May 2
700: May 6
600: May 13
Should go under 500 tomorrow
Again, at *some* point soon, we should start to see this pace levelling off — nobody is predicting 0 cases a day in B.C. by the middle of June — but this speed is so helpful to ensuring a relatively normal summer where people can feel relatively safe
april 19: province announces all public health measures will be exactly the same until after the long weekend at the earliest
people every day since april 19: "yeah but what if you didn't?"
dr. herny: (nervous laugh)
people every day since april 19: "yeah but what if you didn't?"
dr. herny: (nervous laugh)
That's because deaths (generally) reflect case counts from 3-4 weeks earlier, when B.C. was only just starting to go on its downward trend.
Based on UK/Israel data, reasonable to believe we'll be around 1-3 deaths a day in a month.
Based on UK/Israel data, reasonable to believe we'll be around 1-3 deaths a day in a month.
https://twitter.com/citainsh/status/1394424494408683520
BCCDC data is incomplete today, but we can say:
- Hospitalizations down to 30-35 a day, down 50% from the peak a month ago
- Getting to the point where we could have days with zero new hospitalizations beyond Hope soon
- Active cases in Fraser Health falling fast
- Hospitalizations down to 30-35 a day, down 50% from the peak a month ago
- Getting to the point where we could have days with zero new hospitalizations beyond Hope soon
- Active cases in Fraser Health falling fast
On January 13, there were 753 active #COVID19 cases tracked by the First Nations Health Authority.
On February 15, it was 438.
March 15, it was 337.
April 13, it was 168.
May 13?
Just 61.
A 92% reduction in four months.
We're getting there.
On February 15, it was 438.
March 15, it was 337.
April 13, it was 168.
May 13?
Just 61.
A 92% reduction in four months.
We're getting there.
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