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Seth Frantzman Profile picture
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18 May, 5 tweets, 1 min read
Will Turkey lead a new axis of far right religious extremist regimes against Israel? Will the Ankara DC Lobby that did interference for the war on Armenia and the mercenaries in Libya and Syria help Ankara or be too afraid since they worked so long to also be against Iran 🤔
One of the largest foreign policies lies and propaganda spread in recent time is the one that tried to sell us that Ankara’s regime is “against Iran”...well look...Iran is part of the alliance with Turkey. We were lied to, including in major publications by the Ankara Lobby
They tried to sell us, partly in order to please the Trump admin into giving Ankara an ethnic cleansing blank check...that Ankara is “geopolitics” against Iran...it is not.
The anti-Iran lobby in the US, a small group...is obsessed with Iran...but ALSO obsessed with empowering Turkey (irony: they end up empowering Iran)....poor Armenia wanted to work with the west but they ordered it to be attacked because “Armenia is allied to Iran”....
Anyway the fact is that the Ankara regime works with the Tehran regime and backs Hamas, together they seek the destruction of Israel. Israel must be more cognizant and careful regarding this emerging alliance.

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More from @sfrantzman

Seth Frantzman Profile picture
20 May
Thread: If you want to know how abnormal (and therefore unacceptable antisemitic racist abuse) it is that there are attacks on Jewish people in western democracies whenever there is some conflict between Israel and Hamas...here's a way to think about it:
Imagine someone relaxing in a western locale, privileged, enjoying a nice TV show on the sofa and someone says "we need to go protest for peace about this conflict in the Middle East"...and they don't have much to do so they are like "ok, yes, I care about justice, let's go"
So they go out in their car and join some march or protest...and then as they're walking someone says "look there are some minorities over there who have no connection to the conflict but let's go attack them"...and they run off to attack religious minorities or random people.
Read 9 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
20 May
How come during the war in Gaza we stopped hearing about the "dangers of an Iran Deal" and "enrichment" in Iran. Just wondering. I mean did the "enrichment" stop for the last ten days. Or like...it wasn't in someone's interest to talk about it or what?
Also did you notice if you read Iran media everyday that the number of stories about Israel is not that much more than before the war. Yet in Turkey's media it is wall-to-wall extremist coverage, the most anti-Israel in the world. Who benefits? What's really going on?
I have no doubt operationally Iran has benefited from watching the conflict, actually it may even be surprised by how well Hamas performed and Israel's ham-handed actions.
Read 5 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
19 May
Israel's systematic mishandling of this conflict is partly due to the fact that it was surprised by the Hamas war, second that there is no government, third that the government which does exist is arrogant and dismissive, corroded by years of endless elections an enabling
Part of this is a result of the Trump era when Israel didn't need to explain anything to anyone because it had a blank check and many countries were busy doing their own Hobbesian things (like Turkey invading Afrin, etc), then there was a pandemic; Israel miscalculated
For years Israel invested in "explanation" but it has become ham-handed and stilted, lethargic and Israel gutted its own foreign ministry concentrating power in the Prime Minister's office. It doesn't think strategically except regarding the Iran threat.
Read 6 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
18 May
Thread: Every once in a while when I tweet critique of Ankara I get replies about how Israel supported Ankara. This is not accurate since 2010. Israel has had terrible relations with the regime in Ankara for a decade. And Israel has openly opposed its policies.
There is one strange exception (and I don't mean trade, trade is normal). The exception is a small group of pro-Ankara voices in the US who are also pro-Israel and have sought to muddy the waters, pretending there is some "reconciliation" or Ankara is "against Iran".
It may be true that Turkey and Israel 20 years ago had good relations. Those relations led to bad bedfellows, like some pro-Israel folk going to bat for Ankara against recognition of the Armenian genocide. It also led to other denials about the nature of Ankara's new regime.
Read 7 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
18 May
By the way (עמק המעיינות) is the same area that the drone flown by Iran from T-4 in February 2018 entered Israeli airspace, at the time an Apache shot it down. Today another drone shot down there as well. REMEMBER: reuters.com/article/instan…
IDF: Earlier this morning, a UAV approaching the Israeli border in the Emek HaMaayanot area was intercepted after being monitored by the Israeli Air Force.
The UAV fragments were collected by security forces.
Details on the UAV:
Read 4 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
18 May
Thread: This is the most wrongheaded analysis of the current Israel-Hamas conflict, arguing that being able to defend against terrorism somehow makes conflicts longer.
It shows zero understanding of the need to have security against terrorism. Clearly most other societies have things like airport security, is the argument that having airport security after 9/11 was bad because it saved lives and left little incentive for a deal with Al Qaeda?
Second it ignored historic fact. Israel's conflicts with Hamas are not worse today because of Iron Dome...in fact casualties are LESS and conflicts are SHORTER after Iron Dome was invented.
Read 17 tweets

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