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Seth Frantzman Profile picture
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18 May, 4 tweets, 1 min read
By the way (עמק המעיינות) is the same area that the drone flown by Iran from T-4 in February 2018 entered Israeli airspace, at the time an Apache shot it down. Today another drone shot down there as well. REMEMBER: reuters.com/article/instan…
IDF: Earlier this morning, a UAV approaching the Israeli border in the Emek HaMaayanot area was intercepted after being monitored by the Israeli Air Force.
The UAV fragments were collected by security forces.
Details on the UAV:
Wonder if it's similar to this dronedj.com/2020/07/13/sau…

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More from @sfrantzman

Seth Frantzman Profile picture
18 May
Thread: Every once in a while when I tweet critique of Ankara I get replies about how Israel supported Ankara. This is not accurate since 2010. Israel has had terrible relations with the regime in Ankara for a decade. And Israel has openly opposed its policies.
There is one strange exception (and I don't mean trade, trade is normal). The exception is a small group of pro-Ankara voices in the US who are also pro-Israel and have sought to muddy the waters, pretending there is some "reconciliation" or Ankara is "against Iran".
It may be true that Turkey and Israel 20 years ago had good relations. Those relations led to bad bedfellows, like some pro-Israel folk going to bat for Ankara against recognition of the Armenian genocide. It also led to other denials about the nature of Ankara's new regime.
Read 7 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
18 May
Will Turkey lead a new axis of far right religious extremist regimes against Israel? Will the Ankara DC Lobby that did interference for the war on Armenia and the mercenaries in Libya and Syria help Ankara or be too afraid since they worked so long to also be against Iran 🤔
One of the largest foreign policies lies and propaganda spread in recent time is the one that tried to sell us that Ankara’s regime is “against Iran”...well look...Iran is part of the alliance with Turkey. We were lied to, including in major publications by the Ankara Lobby
They tried to sell us, partly in order to please the Trump admin into giving Ankara an ethnic cleansing blank check...that Ankara is “geopolitics” against Iran...it is not.
Read 5 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
18 May
Thread: This is the most wrongheaded analysis of the current Israel-Hamas conflict, arguing that being able to defend against terrorism somehow makes conflicts longer.
It shows zero understanding of the need to have security against terrorism. Clearly most other societies have things like airport security, is the argument that having airport security after 9/11 was bad because it saved lives and left little incentive for a deal with Al Qaeda?
Second it ignored historic fact. Israel's conflicts with Hamas are not worse today because of Iron Dome...in fact casualties are LESS and conflicts are SHORTER after Iron Dome was invented.
Read 17 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
17 May
Thread: Israel worked hard to avoid civilian casualties in Gaza as it has increasingly done since 2014; but something has changed a bit over the last years. Israel’s attempt to manage the conflict with Hamas led to a desire for not having casualties among low level Hamas members
Israel says that it works hard, often with a lot of time invested in warning people to leave buildings before they are struck, which means Hamas members leave too. Israel says it does everything it can to avoid hurting civilians.
But the time taken to evacuate buildings means civilians and Hamas members evacuate. What’s strange is that there are mistakes where civilians are hit. It does appear Israel has worked hard to not have large numbers of militant casualties also.
Read 7 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
15 May
Want to know Iran's plan for the Hamas war on Israel. First of all the short article about IRGC Quds Force head Email Ghaani speaking with Hamas leader Haniyeh is one indication: tasnimnews.com/fa/news/1400/0…
However the BIG news is this article at Tasnim revealing the Iran war plan against Israel air defenses "therefore in the event of a multi-front war, this system will not be able to respond to rocket and missile attacks." tasnimnews.com/fa/news/1400/0…
This is no small report above, this is a sophisticated explanation of how Iran sees the war Hamas launched on May 10. Iran is testing Israel and it is using Hamas to do this. This is not just some "by chance" Hamas strikes here and there. This is a sophisticated war plan.
Read 4 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
15 May
...the whole idea of purposely destroying a large building where the international media are...so they can all film it...how exactly does it hurt Hamas and help Israel...or is the goal of Israel's leaders just to kind of erode Israel's image internationally. Unclear.
...it seems to me Hamas has continued to rain down rockets on Tel Aviv...and Israel's "answer" is to blow up some building so it can be filmed...like that doesn't stop the rocket fire...
See
Read 6 tweets

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