Seeking help with my opinion on central banks' "greening" their corporate bond buying

My prior is that this is style over substance - these have been reinforced by the @bankofengland output today

But am I wrong? - I'll lay out my thoughts below. Seeking challenge
Best place to see @bankofengland view is today's speech by Andrew Hauser bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/fi…

I don't find it convincing - why?

1) It's terribly fashionable in central banking to be seen to be green. This is a red flag for me because this isn't the role of central banks
2) Hauser at no stage attempts to quantify the effect of BoE bond buying on the environment. Let's be clear, he would if he could. So, it's irrelevant to the issue

3) The BoE has resorted to the use of rubbish infographics - it always does this when it's got nothing to say
4) There's not a strong argument to suggest that the ownership of bonds makes much of a difference to environmental outcomes and could go in multiple directions - as Hauser acknowledges when rejecting a mass sale of dirty assets
5) Even though the BoE is desperate for favourable coverage for its "green agenda" it still, deep down, understands the day job in owning bonds is the management of demand - again this makes any of its actions peripheral
Finally - peripheral actions cut no ice with the climate. To get to net zero we need huge changes in electricity production, transport, domestic heating and to ensure we don't import carbon emissions if we stop producing them here....

All this bond buying stuff is a sideshow

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Chris Giles

Chris Giles Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ChrisGiles_

21 May
Compared with the forecasts in the March Budget, the latest data and forecasts suggests Sunak will be rolling in it come the Autumn

- but HMT is concerned that it will face pressure (not least from No 10) to squander the cash
ft.com/content/52adf0… via @financialtimes
@FinancialTimes The good news is down to 3 things

1. The Office for Budget Responsibility's 2020-21 forecast in March was nearly £35bn too pessimitic even as the financial year closed
@FinancialTimes 2. Economic forecasts are shooting up as data comes in far better than expected (eg today's retail sales

ft.com/content/a1ee29…

Even as the Budget speech was given, we now know the economy was only 6.2% below the pre-pandemic level not 10% as the OBR said
Read 5 tweets
11 May
BoE upgraded forecasts disguise a much more gloomy assessment for economy - the central bank revised down the growth forecast for future quarters, only increasing the assessment of the past ft.com/content/1e328f… via @financialtimes
@FinancialTimes Safe to say this was not the impression given by governor Andrew Bailey last week or the message received by him, but these are the forecast changes

They lend weight to Andy Haldane's argument that growth might well be stronger
@FinancialTimes Certainly, spending growth has not been slowing down because growth was better than feared in the third lockdown
Read 4 tweets
7 Apr
Scoop with ⁦@JamesPoliti⁩ and ⁦@Aime_Williams

The US really wants to make its global minimum corporate tax plan work and has just made a big concession to other countries in a bid to sue for peace internationally on.ft.com/3cVVWgS
If others roll back their digital taxes, US has recognised for the first time they should have the right to a slice of revenues from the likes of Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon etc based on sales in their jurisdictions
The suggestion is that apportionment rules should apply to all the sales on just the largest and most profitable multinationals globally. The results would be similar to those proposed by the OECD, but without specifically targeting digital companies (although they all be caught)
Read 4 tweets
3 Apr
This is the story of the rising price of identity politics. It’s not about the viability of an independent Scotland.

Obviously it’s viable, if people want to pay (like Brexit) but the price has gone up

Why?

1/ on.ft.com/2OmVYFi
The chart shows the moving parts
- oil (worth next to nothing now)
- worsening Scottish revenues
- no longer any U.K. fiscal consolidation planned, so Scotland can’t assume the U.K. will do it’s fiscal dirty work for it any more

2/
Since the SNP commissioned 2018 sustainable growth commission, the fiscal gap needed to be filled has doubled from 2.9% of GDP to 5.7%

Note: this uses all of the SNP’s standard assumptions, which would be challenged by London in independence negotiations

3/
Read 7 tweets
2 Mar
Who subsidises whom in the UK?

A much argued question with some clear answers

1/ on.ft.com/3b4Sr6Q
Sunak now faces pressure to lower tax on the Red Wall northern seats because they say they are unfairly treated on tax, paying too much and on spending, not getting the transport spending of London

Eg Miriam Cates, new Tory MP for Penistone and Stocksbridge

2/
There are now loads of funds for levelling up
- the towns fund
- the levelling up fund
- the shared prosperity fund
- changes to the green book for investment

You’d have thought that London and the South East had been partying on the backs of northern tax revenue

3/
Read 9 tweets
21 Feb
There is a vaccine effect now in the UK, but it is dwarfed by the lockdown effect
- With case numbers still high, suggests a need for caution
- but a delicate balance on opening up because the virus and lockowns hurt

latest with @jburnmurdoch

ft.com/content/6d4ff1…
@jburnmurdoch The obvious thing here is that the decreases have been almost as large in unvaccinated groups
@jburnmurdoch And the UK's lockdown and health policies have been more successful than in Israel, even with far fewer vaccinations
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(