Thread by @akoz33

@ARomasze
Yulia Latynina has done what I have been promising to do: inspired by Mark Solonin’s two video analysis of the Smolensk air catastrophe (or perhaps assassination) in which Poland’s President Lech Kaczyński and a large part of Poland’s political & military elite died,

she has now posted the first part of her own analysis under the title “Katyn 2” (same as Solonin’s).

She has studied the original Russian MAK report, two Polish ones and an unpublished supplement to one, plus the anonymous Russian Flanker20 report ,

which formed the basis of Solonin’s analysis. This report was first brought to public attention by Andrei Illarionov, who also has stated that he is convinced that the crash was the result of a bomb and an assassination. Let me remind you that after Mark Solonin’s presented his

conclusions, Latynina in answering a listener’s question expressed considerable skepticism about the idea of assassination. Note that Mark Solonin’s principal argument was based on the condition of the bodies - they were shredded and dispersed over a wide area and some bits even

wrapped around a wall opposite to the direction of flight. The MAK report claimed that this was due to the plane crashing with a force of 100G. This, according to Solonin is plainly impossible, but even if it somehow happened, a giant crater would have been left, which clearly

was not the case. Latynina had consulted three physicists about this 100G claim (but not about the crater): two said that it was possible under some circumstances, the third (who asked to remain anonymous) said the sane thing as Solonin: “obviously impossible”.

Yulia Latynina, unlike Mark Solonin, is not an aviation professional, not an engineer or physicist but she has a very logical mind, her analyses are always precise and she knows many high level experts (generally the kind that support the Russian anti-Putinist opposition). But

she tends to be skeptical of anything that has a smell of a “conspiracy theory”. She was, for example, skeptical of the allegation that the Russian bombings of 1999, (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_a… )
which helped to bring Putin to power, were the work of Russia’s secret services. The

historian Yuri Felshtynski, who coauthored with Litvinenko the book “Blowing up Russia” wrote a whole book under the title “An Open Letter to Yulia Latynina”, arguing that her skepticism was misplaced. Latynina is the author of many books of the kind that are known in Russian as

“detektiv”, not quite “detective stories”, but similar, which depend on having precise, logical but unexpected conclusion - and all the ones I have read are excellent.
I still have not finished watching her first video and I don’t know what her conclusion will be. However, she

does call it “Katyn 2” and says clearly: by his own standards Putin had every reason to it, & Russia has indeed gone after all the “enemies” who tried to help Georgia in 2008. And she says “there is little doubt that if Russia had the ability to assassinate foreign leaders who

stand in her way, planes would be falling from the sky all the time”.
But the question is: is this what happened this time.
As I said, I don’t know what she will conclude. I will report it here. I am also going to eventually write my own conclusion - which will say more about

Polish politics, something that Illarionov, Solonin and (probably) Latynina have so far been avoiding.