Was just thinking that the CRISPR baby episode foreshadowed many of the issues were now grappling with on SARSCoV2 origins. And then because it can read my mind, my news feed told me that my colleague Hank Greeley has a book out about it this week. irishtimes.com/news/science/c…
What are the similarities?
- A controversial line of investigation because of its potential for harm
- A high-visibility topic, so some fame to those who navigate safety and ethics properly
- Chinese scientists eager to show they are as technically capable as Western scientists
Now we don't know where SARSCoV2 came from, so there could be no involvement of Chinese scientists. But in both cases, the central PR China government has squelched the release of certain records that, if everything was done properly, would have exonerated the people involved.
For He Jiankui, those records are the genomic sequences of the CRISPRed babies. For sure their genomes must have been sequenced 100 times over by now. So were there unwanted mutations? If not, you'd think it would be in the government's interest to say so. They haven't.
For WIV, those records are logs of all samples entering, being cultured or sequenced, or being disposed, together with logs of visits to mines and caves. WIV was doing this work as a public service so the government should be happy to provide records if they did everything right.
These issues (for CRISPR babies) were discussed in the article: Interviewer: "You write in your book about the lack of transparency around this case. What do we know and what don’t we know?"
Hank: "The scariest thing about writing this book was that I became sure of almost nothing in terms of what actually happened. The testimony we have – the evidence we have – all comes from Jiankui and his colleagues..."
"...and from around four press releases issued by the official Chinese news agency. And really, that’s about it. That’s completely different to how we would usually have an understanding of science in the West, where everything is completely transparent..."
Interviewer: "Do we know where these babies are now? Is there any kind of medical monitoring of them?"
Hank: "No, we don’t. It’s all under the control of the Chinese government, and they are saying nothing... "
"One could publish details about their health anonymously... It’s similar to what we’ve seen more recently with the WHO’s investigation into the source of the Covid pandemic. The Chinese government are just not very transparent."
P.S. apologies to Hank; his last name is spelled Greely.

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More from @michaelzlin

24 May
Some people are wondering, with some scientists expressing opposing views about the possiblity of a lab leak in COVID19 origins, how do they know who to trust? In this thread I describe how to recognize the rhetorical devices or fallacies used to push weakly supported views.
1/🧵
First some background. Scientists face the situation of figuring out the steps that lead to an outcome all the time. For example it’s what molecular biologists do on a daily basis to work out the molecular reactions that underlie initially mysterious biological events.
2/🧵
We start by brainstorming all the possible hypotheses that are consistent with the known outcome *the more the better* to makes sure we don't miss the right answer. Then we gather data that can help rule out one hypothesis or not.
3/🧵
Read 25 tweets
22 May
For those following the less-perfect vaccines (what most of the world will get), a medrxiv study from Chile this week provides some very valuable data: neutralizing antibody levels after natural infection vs 1 or 2 doses inactivated virus or RNA vax. medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Most interesting finding: Similar nAb titers after natural infection vs. uninfected after 2 doses CoronaVac or after 1 dose BNT162b2 (Pfizer/BioNTech). These are columns 1, 6, and 8 in the below chart.

What does it mean?
Several things:
1. The data are in line with Coronavac Phase 1/2 trials. There, nAb levels after 2 doses 4 weeks apart reached ~0.6x of convalescent sera. Here the graph shows nAb levels after 2 doses > convalescent sera, but the text says a bit less (1595 vs 1860, not sure why)
Read 11 tweets
22 May
Like others, I admire Fauci for being a straight and clear talker.

It's big news then that, at 13:00 below, he says we can't rule out lab involvement in COVID19 origins. That completely blows up claims by certain people that no serious scientists could consider that.

His words:
"No I’m not convinced about that [natural origin]. I think that we should continue to investigate what went on in China until we find out to the best of our ability exactly what happened.”
"Certainly the people who’ve investigated it say that it likely was the emergence from an animal reservoir that then infected individuals but it could have been something else, and we need to find it out."
Read 5 tweets
1 Apr
🧵A year into COVID19, despite the heroic efforts of many, our regulatory and medical systems have clearly NOT adapted adequately.

Here's an infuriating look at how pre-pandemic SOPs are preventing patients from getting life-saving treatment.
nytimes.com/2021/03/31/opi…
2) "Because mAb treatment can be administered only in an outpatient setting ... in one case I had to persuade the admitting team to discharge a patient from the hospital so that they could send him to the emergency room to receive the care he needed." This is absurd.
3) Why does it happen? It's what I'd call the tyranny of the drug label. FDA approved this particular mAb treatment for outpatient use, and apparently no doctor at this hospital could be persuaded to use it off-label for inpatient use, even though the drug will definitely work.
Read 14 tweets
17 Jan
Fellow academics, when are we going to start fixing our urgent structural problems that strain family bonds and present ongoing barriers to diversifying our educational and scientific leadership? You wonder, what the heck is this guy talking about?
1/n
We’re all very familiar what I am talking about, actually: the impossibility for most academics in the life sciences to do their jobs in a reaonable amount of time, due to more and more demands on writing grants, and to a lesser degree, papers.
2/n
As of yesterday I hadn’t intended to write about this subject, but was wondering as I finished a Saturday of straight work, what happened to all my time? Why has WFH not reduced my pile of tasks to do? Instead why is my to-do list growing bigger and bigger?
3/n
Read 25 tweets
25 Dec 20
Here's a Christmas gift: Turkey says Sinovac's COVID vaccine is 91.25% effective. That's a prelim result based on <30 cases but it adds to an earlier announcement from Brazil of >50% efficacy.

This vaccine is an inactivated virus. That's interesting...

reut.rs/37MIOIr
Inactivated virus (aka whole-killed virus or WKV) is the oldest recipe in the vaccine cookbook. The 1st polio (Salk) and flu vaccines work this way. You kill the virus with chemicals, mix with adjuvant, and inject. APCs process and present viral antigens to activate B cells.
In early versions of my #coronadeck I suggested the CDC organize the production of a WKV vacccine. It's very simple and requires no new technology. So why did we not do it? There was a scientific reason but also economic/political reasons.
Read 27 tweets

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