A weekly reminder that you're in the midst of the worst social policy failure in Canadian history. Yes, it's alarming to watch especially in the absence of corrective action. Dreadful leadership plays a role but there is a larger structurally dynamic as well. 1/
That dynamic centers on the perpetual debate as how best to solve large societal problems. That argument pivots between two poles, that being a centralized or decentralized solution. Canada's constitutional design is purposely leveraged towards decentralized solutions. 2/
Despite this structural preference, Canada's C19 response has been centrally driven. The federal and provincial gov'ts (Ontario) consolidated power within cabinent and decision making bodies including PHAC, Ontario public health and the Ontario Science Table. 3/
This centrally driven process brought about the system wide failure you now observe. 15 months in and after trillions of dollars of public expenditures/private wealth destruction, basic services near collaspe and the threat of societal breakdown grows sharper. 4/
It is a stunning failure for those wedded to central planning and it will take a generation to fix. But as many from former eastern block nations remind me, the real danger lies ahead. Failing central planners rarely admit defeat and often become more dogmatic & ideological. 5/
We see this trend in Ontario. Policy perscriptions become ever more radical and divorced from reality. "Experts" have become distainful of the public as their failures become ever more apparent. This fuels resentment and distrust, with danger lurking just below the surface. 6/
It's understandable why central planning often fails as it's easily corrupted and politicized. But that aside, central planners are looking for absolution and as such the dull medical process of vaccination has taken on a peculiar religious zeal. 7/
It's presented as secular salvation to an illness that impacts few except the vulnerable. Maintaining this false narrative requires public health to deny science and their own statistical data. They must also deny the existence of alternative decentralized approaches. 8/
Central planners seem particular distressed by the Great Barington Declaration, a statement of time tested epidemiological principles. The declaration is community focused and engages the public in problem solving. It even boasts a successful track record. 9/
In the end, public health and its centralized approach to C19 will be remembered as a failure, as the rest are destined to pay for this mistake. Perhaps, it's that remembrance which will focus our energies on restructuring this underperforming community. End.

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More from @DonaldWelsh16

22 May
A rigorous investigation of Canada's C19 response and the murky operations of PHAC has become evident to those both inside and outside gov't. By any stretch of the imagination, the C19 response was a self inflicted wound and monumental policy failure. 1/
A royal commission fully funded to do deep investigative work is critical. It must be led by someone with a stellar track record of jurisprudence, integrity and independence. I suggest Beverly McLachlin, Canada's former chief justice. 2/
No stone should be left unturned as this debacle should never be repeated. This commission will need to define and provide policy solutions for PHAC's long stream of administrative/scientific failures. Two elements stand out. 3/
Read 6 tweets
17 May
I remember a MP named Sven Robinson. Young, passionate and openly gay when that was a liability. At a party, he walked away with a piece of jewelry, a flight of fancy. A week later, he rose in parliament, admitted his error and resigned. It was simple, he had broken trust. 1/
It was an act that left an indelible mark on a younger version of me. It framed my view of what it meant to be a public figure. It instilled faith in the political process and reminded me how seriously public officials took their actions and responsibilities. 2/
Here, some 30 years later, many Canadians sit with their trust in gov't shattered by a public health community that has been disturbing incorrect and inflexible. It has walled itself off and retreated into ideology and archane theory. 3/
Read 6 tweets
16 May
Superb journalism by Trish Woods interviewing Nicholas Wade (former NYT journalist). In careful detail, Mr. Wade discusses the origins of C19, leading you to a logical conclusion. It must have come from the Wuhan Lab, a gain of function experiment. 1/

podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/cov…
Its two hours in length and the approach is methodical, as the two careful weigh the evidence left at the so called "crime scene". There is nuance and it's thought provoke. It's a welcome change from the thoughtless propaganda of commercial TV. 2/
From day 1, Canada's C19 response has appeared rather misguided and aimless. There was always a piece of the puzzle missing, that being an accurate accounting for the origins of C19. The natural emergence hypothesis lacked evidence and credibility. 3/
Read 6 tweets
14 May
15 months into the C19 response and Canadians are confronted with an unflattering reality. Contrary to our national myth of "sound governance" we find ourselves devoid of leadership and being slowly suffocated by empty platitudes and virtue signaling. 1/
From the local to the federal level, leaders are adrift, too scared to face the truth. That being our public health response to C19 has been an abject failure from start-to-finish. Our leaders lacked either the fortitude or skill to stop it. 2/
Canada's C19 response should have been stopped on day 1. Claims of viral lethality and efficiacy of NPIs/vaccines were wildly exaggerated. Instead of walking back these claims, public health embraced them, creating interlocking layers of incoherent policy. 3/
Read 6 tweets
11 May
Your weekly reminder that you are living through the largest social policy blunder in Canadian history. So much to discuss in regards to C19, but lets take a cue from Anthony Furey and keep it simple. 1/
Lost in the noise of Canada's ever aimlessly public health campaign are simple facts. Under the age of 40, the risk of death/hospitalization is stunningly small and arguably lower than the flu. C19 is a highly age/risk statified respiratory illness. 2/
This was appreciated early by actuaries, who make a living studying death curves. Ever wonder why life insurance rates didn't go up with the arrival of a new respiratory virus. Its because C19 didn't materially impact the risk profile of the people they insure. 3/
Read 12 tweets
8 May
Warren Kinsella succinctly noted yesterday the collapse of "trust" in gov't and its messaging. Unsurprising given the poor public health campaign without a comparator in modern Canadian history. 1/

Coercive public health campaigns have a start and an end point (vaccination). Everything in between supports a preset story line. Official statements need not be accurate, they are manipulative and designed to challenge your sense of emotional/physical security. 2/
Needless to say, it's a disingenuous way to treat citizens and such campaigns are highly corrosive to society. They are typically reserved for serious viral threats which C19 isn't. One can readily garner that by examining publicly available data. 3/
Read 12 tweets

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