braddelong.substack.com/p/podcast-hexa…

Noah Smith & Brad DeLong's 30:00 < [Length of Weekly Podcast] < 60:00. This is our most... discursive & rambling episode; be warned!

Key Insights:

* Hexapodia!

* To mix metaphors, when we go hunting for zombie economic ideas, there are lots of... 1/
...fish in barrels for us to shoot. We do not have to try to shoot them all. Indeed, we should not.

* We should, instead, listen to Markus Brunnermeier at 12:30/09:30 EDT/PDT every Thursday at <bcf.princeton.edu/markus-academy/>

* Josef Schumpeter’s “depressions are… forms of... 2/
...something which has to be done, namely, adjustment to previous economic change. Most of what would be effective in remedying a depression would be equally effective in preventing this adjustment…” is perhaps the most zombie of zombie economic ideas.

* Schumpeter’s... 3/
... zombie leads to episodes of dorkish zombie economic derp like John Cochrane’s claim in November 2008 that we needed a recession because we were then—in November 2008—building too many houses and employing too many people in construction:

* Another destructive zombie... 4/
...idea is the idea that the Phillips Curve and adaptive expectations guarantee that you only need to worry about inflation—the unemployment will take care of itself, and that if policy errs and pushes unemployment up too high above the natural this year, you will get it... 5/
...back because unemployment will then necessarily be an equal amount below the natural rate in some future year—as long as inflation is stabilized.

* The PCAE zombie leads to episodes like today, when a surprisingly large number of people who should know better are... 6/
... worrying not about unemployment but only about inflation 7/END

• • •

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23 May
braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note…

First: An ur-text for the doctrines of Dark Satanic Millian Liberalism. Here George Stigler writing back in 1949 seeks to assimilate the classical economists Smith, Senior, and Mill to his claim that a good economic system does not produce... 1/
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22 May
braddelong.substack.com/p/a-non-socrat…

Claudia Sahm: "We should have a recession,” John H. Cochrane said in November [2008], speaking to students and investors. “People who spend their lives pounding nails in Nevada need something else to do.” #yikes...

Scott Gosnell: I was there... 1/
.... I may even have a recording down in the archives and may have sprained my eyes I rolled them so hard.

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22 May
@paulkrugman But, as you note, Bernanke in 2002 and Mankiw in 2006 still saw Friedman as "the economist of the century" <gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2006/11/milton…> <federalreserve.gov/BOARDDOCS/SPEE…>. They were fine with the "government should not interfere with the economy" and "whatever is the monetary policy that 1/
@paulkrugman ...happens to stabilize aggregate demand is the true non-interfering 'neutral' monetary policy". It was a con, yes, but it was a successful con. And it is not clear that it was wrong as a practical policy position. It was, after all, Keynes's as well: "the result of... 2/
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22 May
@infinite_me @Claudia_Sahm Touché...

One question I always ask @paulkrugman and company is: what happened to the influence of Milton Friedman? No one was a stronger anti-liquidationist than Milton Friedman...

Milton Friedman <www-jstor-org.libproxy.berkeley.edu/stable/pdf/183…>: 'A debate on Keynes between Abba P. Lerner and... 1/
@infinite_me @Claudia_Sahm @paulkrugman ...myself... in the late 1940s.... 1930s, pre-General Theory; we have a somewhat similar Talmudic cast of mind and a similar willingness to follow our analysis to its logical conclusion.... [We] agree[d] on a large number of issues-from flexible exchange rates to the... 2/
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22 May
braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note…

FIRST: You can think of the labor market as being in one of three different modes. In the first mode there is chronic over supply of labor at the prevailing wage. In the second mode the labor market is in balance, and in order for employment as a... 1/
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Anne Laurie: Fruits of Their Labor: The Secret Is Leaking Out: ‘The Wall Street Journal 3/
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