The more I study nuclear technology the more I think that every problem of today's nuclear tech has a potential solution that has already been identified. They just haven't been brought to market, because the market is sclerotic.
Nuclear is slow and expensive? There are faster, cheaper ways to build.

It's dangerous? There are safer designs.

Nuclear plants are bespoke megaprojects? There are small, standardized, modular approaches?
Nuclear can't do load-following? Actually it can (and does in France).

It produces waste? There are designs that burn that “waste”.

Weapons proliferation? There are designs that don't produce weapons-grade material.
Nuclear has so many unsolved problems because we're still working with decades-old technology. The fundamental reactor design was created in the 1940s (and was intended for navy subs, not electric power plants).
If vaccines had been treated the same way, we'd still be using Jenner's smallpox vaccine—and nothing else. And we'd have vaccine myths like:

Vaccines can't fight polio or measles!
They're expensive and unhygienic, because they're grown in cows!
They cause pock marks on the arm!
If computers—invented at the same time as nuclear power—had been treated the same, we'd still be using mainframes, and we'd have computer myths like:

They're big & expensive! Only businesses can afford them!
They're extremely power-hungry, because of their vacuum tubes!
Etc.
This is why I can't believe it's a good idea to just give up on nuclear R&D, despite all of the real problems that need to be solved. It just seems that the potential is enormous compared to what we've allowed ourselves to tap.

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More from @jasoncrawford

6 May
“Patents are not the problem. All of the vaccine manufacturers are trying to increase supply as quickly as possible. Billions of doses are being produced–more than ever before in the history of the world. Licenses are widely available.…

marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu…
“There are no mRNA factories idling on the sidelines. … Why do you think China hasn’t yet produced an mRNA vaccine? Hint: it isn’t fear about violating IP.”

marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu…
“The US trade representative’s announcement is virtue signaling to the anti-market left and will do little to nothing to increase supply.”

marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu…
Read 6 tweets
21 Apr
My recent post on nuclear has generated a lot of discussion (see link and thread below if you missed it).

Here's a thread with some replies worth reading.
Here, @mchammo argues for risk-informed regulation and says the price of nuclear can come down:
Here, @gilbeaq blames industry more than regulators, and points out that infrastructure projects and all megaprojects are prone to cost and schedule overruns
Read 12 tweets
16 Apr
In the 1950s, nuclear was the energy of the future. Two generations later, it provides only about 10% of world electricity, and reactor design hasn‘t fundamentally changed in decades. Why has it been a flop? Here's my review of a recent book on that topic: rootsofprogress.org/devanney-on-th…
Nuclear power is the sword that can cut the Gordian knot of providing cheap energy to the world while reducing CO2 emissions. And we're going to need a lot more energy: 5TW to give today's world the energy standard of Europe; 25TW to support 12B people in a decarbonized economy. ImageImage
But nuclear is more expensive than gas (7–8c/kWh) or coal (5c/kWh), mainly because of plant construction costs. These costs were dropping in the US until 1970—then started soaring. In contrast, Korea can still build for $2.50/W, which prices nuclear electricity < 4c/kWh. ImageImage
Read 21 tweets
5 Apr
I've started writing a book about the accomplishments of industrial civilization, the major discoveries and inventions behind them, and the meaning of it all.

I'm hosting a 13-month series of discussion salons through the @interintellect_ based on it: interintellect.com/series/jason-c…
The book is very much a work in progress—won't be out for a couple of years. But we'll go through the outline chapter by chapter. Each month I'll present the material I have so far and the open questions I'm still researching, and we'll discuss.

interintellect.com/series/jason-c…
This is your chance to get a sneak preview, to see inside my writing process, and to give feedback that will shape the published book.

Third Sunday of each month, from April 18, 2021 through May 15, 2022. 10am–1pm US Pacific. Here is the schedule:
Read 18 tweets
14 Feb
Curious about @slatestarcodex, but don't know where to start?

A little while ago a friend asked me to make a list of my favorite posts. So here's a beginner's guide: jasoncrawford.org/guide-to-scott…
What is @slatestarcodex about?

Like many great blogs, not any one thing: it’s the eclectic interests of a unique individual with a broad intellectual appetite.

He says he tends to focus on “reasoning, science, psychiatry, medicine, ethics, genetics, AI, economics and politics.”
What makes it so good? I tried to explain it here:
Read 19 tweets
11 Feb
We're hiring for the engineering team at @OurWorldInData!

A rare chance to build data visualization and pipelines at a well-known and highly influential organization that is focused on how to make progress against the world's biggest problems.

ourworldindata.org/jobs
For those few who haven't heard of @OurWorldInData, it's probably the top site in the world that presents research and data on topics such as global health, poverty, energy usage, agriculture and nutrition, population growth, education, etc.
The data is presented in interactive visualizations and all of it is downloadable in CSV.

As a premiere example, check out our coronavirus data explorer: ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-da…
Read 11 tweets

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