The more I study nuclear technology the more I think that every problem of today's nuclear tech has a potential solution that has already been identified. They just haven't been brought to market, because the market is sclerotic.
Nuclear is slow and expensive? There are faster, cheaper ways to build.
It's dangerous? There are safer designs.
Nuclear plants are bespoke megaprojects? There are small, standardized, modular approaches?
Nuclear can't do load-following? Actually it can (and does in France).
It produces waste? There are designs that burn that “waste”.
Weapons proliferation? There are designs that don't produce weapons-grade material.
Nuclear has so many unsolved problems because we're still working with decades-old technology. The fundamental reactor design was created in the 1940s (and was intended for navy subs, not electric power plants).
If vaccines had been treated the same way, we'd still be using Jenner's smallpox vaccine—and nothing else. And we'd have vaccine myths like:
Vaccines can't fight polio or measles!
They're expensive and unhygienic, because they're grown in cows!
They cause pock marks on the arm!
If computers—invented at the same time as nuclear power—had been treated the same, we'd still be using mainframes, and we'd have computer myths like:
They're big & expensive! Only businesses can afford them!
They're extremely power-hungry, because of their vacuum tubes!
Etc.
This is why I can't believe it's a good idea to just give up on nuclear R&D, despite all of the real problems that need to be solved. It just seems that the potential is enormous compared to what we've allowed ourselves to tap.
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“Patents are not the problem. All of the vaccine manufacturers are trying to increase supply as quickly as possible. Billions of doses are being produced–more than ever before in the history of the world. Licenses are widely available.…
“There are no mRNA factories idling on the sidelines. … Why do you think China hasn’t yet produced an mRNA vaccine? Hint: it isn’t fear about violating IP.”
Here, @gilbeaq blames industry more than regulators, and points out that infrastructure projects and all megaprojects are prone to cost and schedule overruns
In the 1950s, nuclear was the energy of the future. Two generations later, it provides only about 10% of world electricity, and reactor design hasn‘t fundamentally changed in decades. Why has it been a flop? Here's my review of a recent book on that topic: rootsofprogress.org/devanney-on-th…
Nuclear power is the sword that can cut the Gordian knot of providing cheap energy to the world while reducing CO2 emissions. And we're going to need a lot more energy: 5TW to give today's world the energy standard of Europe; 25TW to support 12B people in a decarbonized economy.
But nuclear is more expensive than gas (7–8c/kWh) or coal (5c/kWh), mainly because of plant construction costs. These costs were dropping in the US until 1970—then started soaring. In contrast, Korea can still build for $2.50/W, which prices nuclear electricity < 4c/kWh.
I've started writing a book about the accomplishments of industrial civilization, the major discoveries and inventions behind them, and the meaning of it all.
The book is very much a work in progress—won't be out for a couple of years. But we'll go through the outline chapter by chapter. Each month I'll present the material I have so far and the open questions I'm still researching, and we'll discuss.
A rare chance to build data visualization and pipelines at a well-known and highly influential organization that is focused on how to make progress against the world's biggest problems.
For those few who haven't heard of @OurWorldInData, it's probably the top site in the world that presents research and data on topics such as global health, poverty, energy usage, agriculture and nutrition, population growth, education, etc.
The data is presented in interactive visualizations and all of it is downloadable in CSV.