Mortality in Canada (thread):

Here we have the total number of deaths in Canada and its regions over the past ten years.
Here we have the same chart you saw above now expressed as a rate per 100,000 people. Generally, a flatter trend in death rates would suggest that population growth may be a key factor driving growth in total deaths.
Looking at the past decade nationally, we see that it's natural for deaths in one year to exceed deaths in the previous year (blue line > 0%). Note that a year of low or negative growth is often followed by a year of much higher growth.
Again, we see that when we adjust for population growth, the growth trend is weaker but still there - the aging of the population is a primary factor. Deaths are rising in absolute and relative terms, suggesting a combo of population growth and aging.
Canada total weekly deaths Jan. 2010-Feb. 2021.
Here are deaths and death rates since 1900. Note how the death rate bottomed out in the early 1980s and has been rising steadily since, accelerating when the Baby Boomers started to reach their 70s in 2016.
Here are leading causes of death in Canada over the past 5 years.

Many recent deaths remain unclassified in the "information unavailable" column and will presumably will properly attributed over time.
Here is the same, presented as rates per 100,000 population to account for population growth.

A key question to address as this data evolves is the degree to which deaths attributed to covid-19 have substituted for deaths attributed to other causes.
Part of the increase in death in 2020 can be explained by the response to the pandemic (i.e., lockdown), rather than covid-19 itself.

www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quoti…
Note also that Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
The number of deaths from all causes in 2019 vs. number of deaths from or with Covid-19 in 2020-21.
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 66% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 51% of all deaths (all causes) in 2019.
The 70+ age cohort accounts for only 12% of the population but 73% of all-cause deaths in Canada and 86% of deaths from or with Covid-19.

In contrast, children account for 22% of the pop. but only 1% of all-cause deaths in Canada and 0% (0.04%) of deaths from or with Covid-19.
Among >80 in Canada, there were 8,939 deaths of all causes in 2019 and 1,018 deaths from or with Covid-19 per 100,000 people in 2020-21.

Among children, there were 36 deaths of all causes in 2019 and 0 (0.1) deaths from or with Covid-19 per 100,000 people in 2020-21.
Canada – Case survival rates (= 100% - case fatality rate) by age.

(True survival rates based on IFR would be significantly higher.)

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Milhouse Van Houten ミルハウス・ヴァン・ハウテン 🗽🇨🇦

Milhouse Van Houten ミルハウス・ヴァン・ハウテン 🗽🇨🇦 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

28 May
2020/2021 seasonal comparison: Ontario and Québec covid-19 cases.

This is an index chart in which daily values are displayed proportionate to their values on April 1 of the respective year (2020 or 2021). (Above black bar = higher than April 1 values.) Image
2020/2021 seasonal comparison: Ontario and Québec covid-19 deaths.

This is an index chart in which daily values are displayed proportionate to their values on April 1 of the respective year (2020 or 2021). (Above black bar = higher than April 1 values.) Image
2020/2021 seasonal comparison: Ontario and Québec covid-19 hospitalizations.

This is an index chart in which daily values are displayed proportionate to their values on April 1 of the respective year (2020 or 2021). (Above black bar = higher than April 1 values.) Image
Read 6 tweets
28 May
Ontario update.

#covid19ontario #COVID19 #covid19Canada

Ontario covid-19 cases, deaths, and testing. Image
Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Daily reported deaths divided by average daily cases over prior 28 days.) Image
Weekly all-cause deaths and deaths with/from Covid-19 in Ontario, 2010-2021 (subject to Statistics Canada reporting delay for all-cause deaths.) Image
Read 15 tweets
28 May
Mise à jour du Québec

#covid19Qc #covid19canada #COVID19

Nombre total de cas et de décès liés à Covid-19 au Québec. Image
La proportion de cas entraînant la mort (décès enregistrés par jour / cas quotidiens moyens au cours des 28 derniers jours) (ligne jaune). Image
Cas cumulés en pourcentage des décès cumulés (taux de mortalité clinique) (ligne jaune). Image
Read 8 tweets
26 May
Greater Toronto update (thread).

Greater Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). Image
Greater Toronto cases, hospitalizations, deaths. Image
City of Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). Image
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(