For those claiming yesterday's (genuinely brilliant) Exxon/Chevron shareholder climate victories are an argument against fossil fuel divestment, remember that shareholder engagement with Big Oil achieved precisely nothing for 25 years. 1/n insideclimatenews.org/news/16112015/…
3/n: (@_aploy and I wrote about those dynamics in @sciam ⬆️.)
Only after all that - i.e. now - have shareholders made progress. This isn't an argument against shareholder activism per se; indeed, divestment campaigns generally propose an explicit "grace period" for engagement.
4/n: At @MIT, for example, we proposed a 5 year, good-faith engagement window in 2013, followed by divestment from firms failing to align their operations with 2C.
5/n: What I am suggesting is that *unconditional* engagement has been toothless and scientifically misguided. Only the threat of divestment and other activist/political/economic repercussions have given it some bite.
We need both/and, not either/or.
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Of Wednesday's 3 big blows to Big Oil, Shell losing in court strikes me as most immediately impactful because it ORDERS a fossil fuel firm to align with Paris Agreement, effective at once, & establishes legal precedents up the wazoo. Do others agree? 1/n
2/n: The Exxon and Chevron shareholder wins are, of course, also seismic in terms of political momentum-building towards further (shareholder) activism, but that's partly because shareholder engagement has literally yielded nothing for the past 25 years.
3/n: @GernotWagner seems to concur, noting that "Only one of these events [Shell's court loss] is bound up with measurable, concrete steps towards decarbonization." Regarding the shareholder wins at Chevron and Exxon, "what comes next is more open ended."bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
NEW: Our latest peer-reviewed research, out today, shows that ExxonMobil uses Big Tobacco's propaganda tactics to blame individuals for the climate change it has caused. THREAD.
2/n: This is the first quantitative, academic analysis of how ExxonMobil has used language to subtly yet systematically shape public discourse about climate change in misleading ways. It's published by me and @NaomiOreskes in the journal @OneEarth_CP.
3/n: Specifically, our computational analysis of 212 ExxonMobil documents spanning 1972-2019 shows that the company has publicly emphasised certain terms & topics, while avoiding others. This selective rhetoric mimics the tobacco industry in 3 key ways.
In 1966, Shell asked scientist James Lovelock "to consider the possible global consequences of air pollution from...the ever-increasing rate of combustion of fossil fuels."
It's an early example of how Big Oil studied climate, colonised academia, & invented climate denial 1/n
3/n: So in 1966 Lovelock, wrote a report called 'Combustion of Fossil Fuels: Large Scale Atmospheric Effects', which, as @leaharonowsky observes, "brought Shell up to speed on the latest fossil-fuel climate research".
TODAY, in our peer-reviewed follow-up analysis putting to bed ExxonMobil's attacks on our work, I & @NaomiOreskes delineate "three distinct ways in which the data demonstrate [they] misled the public" about climate change: bit.ly/ExxonAddendum
Let me count the ways...THREAD
2/n: TLDR:
Both Exxon & Mobil variously engaged in both climate science & in climate denial, & continued to do so after they merged to become ExxonMobil.
"We now conclude with even greater confidence that Exxon, Mobil, & ExxonMobil Corp misled the public about climate change."
3/n: WAY1⃣: "From a statistical standpoint it is essentially certain" that "Exxon+ExxonMobil's private+academic documents predominantly acknowledge" climate science while ExxonMobil's ads "overwhelmingly promote doubt".
"This unambiguously reaffirms our original conclusion."
2/n: We find that ExxonMobil's critiques, penned by company VP Vijay Swarup, "are misleading & incorrect."
Ironically, "thanks in part to his feedback, we can now conclude with even greater confidence that Exxon, Mobil, & ExxonMobil Corp have all misled the public."
3/n: As @NaomiOreskes and I summarise in The Guardian today:
"ExxonMobil is swinging for a way to discredit the work that demonstrates what they have done. Alas, it is a swing and a miss." theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
NEW: In @nature today, my colleagues and I make the case that ending fossil fuel subsidies matters greatly, “in ways both material and political.” THREAD.
3/n: This stood in stark contrast to earlier research by some of us, which found that, without subsidies, HALF of the US's future oil production would be unprofitable at $50/barrel oil prices. nature.com/articles/s4156…