Early voting metrics provide a window rather than an exact measurement. That said, I think it's fair to say that the electorate for #NM01 is between D+22 and D+26 at the time of the last data drop (2PM MST) from @Alexrosstweets; I'd split the difference at D+24.
https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1399848405849935873
This will almost certainly shrink significantly; the question is just how much. I believe the result window we're looking at is between D+18 and D+24. My prediction is D+22, but that's really a rough estimation, so take it w/ a grain of salt
literally all of these estimates are just that: estimates. I could be horribly, horribly wrong and it wouldn't be the first time. standard disclaimer that if you're using it for betting advice or whatever, that's entirely on you because I don't recommend that.
Update: Democrats *gained* in the post 2PM election-day vote. At this point, I think the window's between D+20 and D+28, barring a major surprise with NPAs or the vote not aligning with party registration.
Prediction: D+23, but I'd take the over on it if you forced me to.
Prediction: D+23, but I'd take the over on it if you forced me to.
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