Latest ONS deaths data (to week ending 21 May) has been released. 328 less deaths were recorded in-week compared to the 2015-19 year average. That’s 3% lower. Year to date there have been 250,201 deaths recorded, which is 11% higher than the 2015-19 average.
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There are 107 deaths where COVID was mentioned on the death certificate this week (the lowest since w/e 11th Sept). 66 of the deaths with COVID mentioned had it listed as the underlying cause (that's 62%).
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Unlike recent weeks, this week is unaffected by any Bank Holiday distortions. So it's a relatively “clean” week, which we can use to judge the current underlying position.
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The best way to compare 2020/21 to earlier years is to examine age-standardised death rates. Comparing death counts can be distorted slightly by ageing and growth of the population. The CMI report weekly using this method. Their Mortality Monitor is due out later today.
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The CMI has now published its Mortality Monitor as noted in this short thread from @COVID19actuary.
https://twitter.com/COVID19actuary/status/1400075445987680268
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