Today, @CPSThinkTank publishes a major report on education catch-up by @racheljanetwolf, @jonathansimons & @gabrielmilland. (Which given the news agenda today, has been a bit like wandering into No Man's Land on the first day of the Somme and asking 'Anyone for a picnic?'...)
The report has some really important findings, which speak to the concerns of those on all sides of the debate - not least one B Johnson, when he said that 'loss of learning' should be our 'biggest priority' and is 'the thing we've got to focus on now as a society'
We did multiple polls and focus groups. It's very clear that parents feel their children have been badly affected by lockdown (67% agree). Only 5% of voters said there was no need for catch-up.
Parents and the public are also clear, however, that catch-up should focus on core academic subjects - and in particular maths. (This is not exactly the position of the teaching unions...)
(This chimes with Sir Kevan Collins's findings, leaked to @RSylvesterTimes, about attainment gaps - and the other emerging evidence that we cite in the report.)
We also found, both in groups and polling, very strong support for catch-up to involve extra teaching/time in class. Tutoring was by far the most popular intervention (and evidence shows is the most effective, though also ££££). Fluffier 'encrichment'/'socialising' stuff was out
(Point off for SPAG in that tweet, sorry.) We also found - contrary to polling for @RSylvesterTimes and @thetimes - that a longer school day IS popular with parents. But it needs careful definition: an extra 30 mins, focusing on maths etc, not just 'should we lengthen the day?'
Incidentally, our focus groups also found that despite the Government putting more than a billion into tutoring already, there is essentially zero awareness among parents of this, because the DfE communicates to schools as its stakeholders, not parents. Boo.
However, our survey also found - and this is where the Treasury position comes in - that the idea of whacking up taxes to pay for this stuff is much less popular than the idea itself. (Shocking, I know.) If taxes have to rise, catch-up should be a priority...
But in general, parents are much more willing than voters as a whole to fork out. (Again, unsurprising I know.)
The report also makes clear that any catch-up programme needs to have the support of teachers - ie be fully funded and not involve adding to their workload unless they volunteer for it.
And it has a lot more specifics from Rachel, Jonathan & Gabriel (all Giant Education Brains) about how exactly this could and should work.
In conclusion: the Kevan Collins vision of what we need is exactly in tune with what the evidence shows and what the public want (and much, much more so than the guff from the NEU). But £15bn is an awful lot of money...!
There is a point I haven't seen made on social care. The argument made by @Jeremy_Hunt and others was that you needed to make DfH a department of health and social care, to get it taken seriously. But the pandemic seems to show that when the chips are down, it always loses out.
The reason for the decanting of patients was because they were (legitimately) terrified of hospitals/the wider NHS falling over, and desperate to free up space. But that's sort of symbolic of our wider priorities on health, going back decades.
You can also see it re social care funding - a thorny problem that's just sort of sat there, with lots of solutions proposed (including by us!) but never quite reaching the top of the pile. Whereas NHS itself gets pretty much all the spare cash going, whoever's PM
Worth flagging this @CPSThinkTank research showing that rail privatisation has been a noted success story - customer satisfaction with our trains is consistently among the highest in Europe, and we have more and more reliable trains spectator.co.uk/article/nation…
Prices are high, but that's because we actually make people pay for the cost of their tickets, rather than disguising it with subsidy. And many of the problems, esp punctuality, are a symptom of using our track more efficiently than others, meaning less slack in the system
Obviously there are things to fix, many of which the Williams Review addresses. And obviously the pandemic has been shattering for the business model. But the narrative that this is a failed system in need of rescue just doesn't stand up to the facts.
V rough rule of thumb calculations. UK GDP is £2 trillion. 2.1% growth in March £42bn. Vaccine programme cost £12bn. Obviously you can't credit it for the full rebound, but it's starting to look like the best investment UK govt ever made.
This is a strong column from @iainmartin1 but the line about 'an entirely unnecessary stamp-duty holiday' is classic wisdom-of-hindsight stuff, and misses the point/success of the policy thetimes.co.uk/article/this-p…
As our paper 'Help to Build' argued, the housebuilding sector is massively and dangerously cyclical - when recession hits, builders down tools. And due to the structure of the industry, housebuilding lags significantly behind the wider economy in the recovery.
This is a big reason why we consistently fail to hit housebuilding targets - because the sector is trapped in a cycle of boom and bust cps.org.uk/research/help-…
This analysis piece summarising the results from the BBC is just gob-smacking. Here, in order, are their four big takeaways bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
1) Time for Scottish independence 2) Incumbents did well 3) Labour still strong in cities 4) Aren’t the Greens great too?
The kindest possible interpretation is that whoever wrote this felt the ‘Tories do well, Labour collapse in heartlands’ narrative had got a bit stale. But someone should surely have thought ‘hang on a minute’...
The most obvious point is that no one likes or trusts government - with the disillusionment growing as you go from local to national
But the most interesting point in light of the elections is not the distrust but the ignorance. We asked people which layers of government they thought they were subject to, then matched that against their postcodes. The proportion who answered completely correctly was... 0%