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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
@DrEricDing
Jun 4, 2021 • 12 tweets • 10 min read • Read on X
📍Delta variant #B16172:

50-70% more transmissible

2.7x more likely to be hospitalized than #B117

“Many people could end up in hospital, 🇬🇧 NHS could be thrown into another surge.”

Says @globalhlthtwit of @IndependentSage. #COVID19 #DeltaVariant
2) Latest UK @PHE_uk assessment on #DeltaVariant #B16172:

📌Severity is now RED (previously insufficient info)

📌Vaccines is now RED with high confidence (previously moderate) Image
3) Two separate studies on hospitalization severity—one from England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 and one from Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿— both found Increased severity of #DeltaVariant #B16172

➡️ Risk of hospital admission (Hazard Ratio = 2.61 in England and HR = 2.39 in Scotland) compared to the Kent variant #B117! Image
4) Keep in mind that this ~2.5x higher hospitalization risk for #B16172 #DeltaVariant versus #B117 #AlphaVariant is on top of #B117 being 64% more severe than the original earlier strain. Thus 1.64*2.5= #DeltaVariant having *4.1x* the risk of hospitalization vs original! 👀
5) How fast is #DeltaVariant #B16172 taking over the total number of cases in the UK? Pretty darn fast. It’s now approaching / near 75% of all cases in the UK. Image
6) And just how fast is it surging versus other previous variants? Pretty much the fastest known variant to date. assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… Image
7) "Do not let this variant spread. It's a very dangerous variant” says epidemiologist Dr. @dgurdasani1. The delta variant, #B1617, first found in India, is driving new #COVID19 wave in 🇬🇧—and it's spreading quickly around the world, including in Canada🇨🇦 cbc.ca/amp/1.6050085?…
8) there is growing concern and anger by many scientists that @PHE_uk is ignoring the dangers and media is ignoring the risks
9) Other experts agree the latest UK reports on the #DeltaVariant are “grim”.
10) Pediatric cases among school age kids soaring too.
11) Why is the #DeltaVariant #B16172 so transmissible and pathogenic? Scientists think they found the molecular reason… it has enhance cleavage (activation) at a special furin site on the virus that allows enhanced human cell entry. biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
12) As a reminder, for the world 🌎 and for 🇬🇧 residents… you stand at the precipice of potentially this…. Choose wisely.

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
May 10
⚡️INBOUND SOLAR STORMS—5x mega coronal mass ejections - CMEs - that can knock out power are going to be slamming at Earth 🌍 between Friday and Sunday this weekend. Earth has only been hit with 3 previous severe CMEs in last 4 years. But we are gonna get 5x G4 CMEs in 3 days!😳 Image
2) Let this sink — this is the first GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH since 2005!

Folks - this is serious - it can knock out not only electricity but it can theoretically knock out airplanes ✈️ too! Image
3) Folks- it’s possible. Not only can it cause higher radiation and knock out communications, but a strong CME can knock out airliner avionics. “according to reports by aviation regulators, the issue is not whether it will happen, but when” 😳 thedailybeast.com/how-a-solar-st…


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Read 11 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
May 10
⚠️New sudden outbreak of MERS coronavirus with HUMAN TO HUMAN transmission—WHO has put out an outbreak bulletin regarding 3 cases in Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦 who contracted MERS (with zero contact with camels). All 3 were hospitalized and intubated. Index case has died in just 11 days from the onset of cough and a runny nose. ➡️Here where it gets interesting—the other 2 cases, found via vigorous contact tracing—both likely contracted it from the index case in the hospital—one shared a hospital room with the index case, while the other merely visited the same hospital’s ER—but he was NOT in the same hospital ward as the index case! Given second case was in a completely separate ward of the hospital, it makes me think it was likely #airborne transmission.

Shouldn’t we all masking in hospitals? @CDCgov’s idiotic HICPAC committee that sets hospital safety standards meantime wants to water them down. Someone should share this with the HICPAC folks, thanks. And demand @CDCDirector to get serious about public health again.

who.int/emergencies/di…Image
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2) previously, WHO’s Feb bulletin of Aug 2023-Feb 2024 only reported 4 cases, 2 had camel🐪 contact. None of the previous 4 had any linkages (ie no human to human transmission evidence). Thus, this new hospital-derived outbreak is concerning.
who.int/emergencies/di…
3) it seems the Index case’s only overlap with Case #3 was on April 4th— the day they both went to the same hospital’s ER. But otherwise they were in different wards. And by the time the 3rd case went to the ICU on April 15th, the index case was already dead (died on April 11th). So it wasn’t ICU exposure. It was the ER—➡️why which why EVERYONE NEEDS TO WEAR MASKS IN THE ER DAMNIT! 🔥Image
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Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
May 8
“Think of the impact [of #LongCovid] on inflation and economy. On the talented labor pool unable to work. LC is a terrible—in the U.S. so far—there’s been 16 million people, 4 mil out of a job—mostly young people in their 20s, 30s and 40s. Someone that used to jog 5 km can barely walk now because of permanent lung damage.“

(Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel)
2) Not just in the U.S… gee what happened to workers starting late 2020… the staggering loss of economic activity since the start of the pandemic is one of the biggest buried topics.
3) “One EU estimate suggests that long Covid may have cut labour supply in the bloc by up to 0.5 per cent in 2022, the equivalent of more than 1mn full-time workers. Studies in the US and UK have reached broadly similar conclusions — suggesting the condition has driven the recent increase in workplace absence in many countries”

ft.com/content/bb09a0…Image
Read 5 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
May 6
Very worried—“The virus may soon develop the ability to transmit from one human to another… This is of great concern. Earlier birds… then it started affecting mammals and now the virus has evolved and developed the ability to infect humans…” @WHO Farrar
2) “We have to make sure that the H5N1 does not come across humans as it can easily develop the ability to transmit between humans.”
3) Last year, scientists warned of a key mutation that would help supercharge human transmission down the road — the critical “E627K” mutation in the virus’s RNA polymerase PB2 gene. ➡️Well, guess what effing appeared in a CDC report for the first time last month in an infected Texas man? ⚠️That very goddamn E627K mutation! This is mammalian adaptation. This is why WHO is warning we are maybe approaching the brink of human adaptation.

(Warning article about E627K from 2023).


(CDC report from April 2024).
science.org/content/articl…
cdc.gov/flu/avianflu/s…Image
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Read 7 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
May 5
💔HEARTBREAKING—These twins need a $4.2 million one-time drug to save their lives (Spinal muscular atrophy). Their mother’s health insurance (and her employer) @Mosaic_LifeCare conveniently told the family the drug was cut from their coverage precisely one day after they were born. Total coincidence, my ass.

It’s also a race against the clock to get the treatment Zolgensma for the twins before it’s too late. If Zolgensma is given soon after birth, children may develop no significant disabilities. Children who receive the drug when they are a little older may avoid a feeding or breathing tube, and capable of some movement, rather than a life spent immobile, or death (<2 years usually), if not treated.

Zolgensma is sold by @Novartis. The drug sells for $1 million in Brazil, but $2.1 million in the U.S. Also in Brazil, if the child dies of SMA disease within 4 years, part of the $1 million payment is waived. But not in America. Many patients have had to sue health insurance to get the treatment covered—often at the expense of further disability of the untreated child.

All this is further enrage, when in fact, federally funded NIH research contributed to the development of Zolgensma. ➡️READ: Taxpayer dollars helped create the drug. Now the public is being shafted.



There is a GoFundme but this shouldn’t be the long term solution for other families. @Mosaic_LifeCare & @Novartis both need to be help accountable.


wbtv.com/2024/04/30/new…
gofundme.com/f/eli-easton-r…
durbin.senate.gov/newsroom/press…Image
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2) how can drug makers dare charge so much? Because they can - it is the only treatment and the only cure. I always remind people that healthcare is a NEED (like air and water) and not a “want” (like a fancy widget) If there is a monopoly, they can extort you if it’s a NEED.
3) Free market people will try to trick you into thinking it’s just the “supply and demand” / “free market” at work. But that’s only works for things in which there is no monopoly, and for things like iPhones and fancy gadgets “wants” that you can simply pass up if too costly. But if it’s a NEED—like lifesaving treatment—(eg you will pay anything to save your child / family member’s life)—then the supply & demand curve COMPLETELY BREAKS DOWN and is invalid. Big pharma and PBMs and your hospitals & health insurance premiums all exploit that in different ways. Don’t fall for “free market” bullshit that doesn’t apply to critical lifesaving healthcare.
Read 5 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
May 2
Incredibly frustrating that the @USDA again failed to include basic information about H5N1 genetic sequences from cows. All data had dates and locations scrubbed out—only saying “USA” & “2024”, which is useless for scientists to analyze for mutation rates.
statnews.com/2024/05/02/bir…
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2) The fact that basic information — called metadata — isn’t being shared about the samples “hinders our efforts a lot,” said Gytis Dudas, a senior researcher in genomic epidemiology and metagenomics. Dudas is working with a group of U.S. and international researchers to try to make sense of what the genetic sequences say about the H5N1 outbreak in cows.
3) A number of scientists have openly questioned whether the USDA is deliberately withholding these data, or even removing more specific information. 🔥
Read 5 tweets

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