...his inability to understand any of the multiple other factors that might have an effect on his modelling, his lack of understanding of them, his inability and/or unwillingness to adapt or even adjust his models to take into account new evidence,...
...his lack of understanding of human nature, his inability and/or unwillingness to learn from his mistakes.
In short, his arrogance. It is on an unimaginable scale. Although its consequences are all too imaginable. And all too visible.
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Great research into the ethical and safety standards of the company whose product has just been given emergency authorisation to be used on 12-15 yr olds.
This is on the basis of the testing of only around 2,000 children.
Let’s measure that against the risk of Covid to them:
In two respiratory virus seasons (considering that March-May 2020 can be treated as one) only 40 children have died in England within 28 days of a positive PCR test showing they have been infected with SARS-CoV-2, out of a population of around 11 million.
The logic of vaccination ‘for the sake of others’ fails on the logic of those propounding it.
These vaccines are only tested for their ability to reduce serious symptoms.
If transmission is possible by those who are pre- or a-symptomatic, vaccination will make no difference.
If that form of transmission is incredibly rare if it happens at all, the logic of lockdowns, masks and vaccination ‘to protect others’ falls away as transmission of the virus will be avoided by sick people avoiding close contact with others.
850 deaths out of 27,000 a day in India. And the pressure is for India to impose measures that will divert its limited resources from the expenditure on healthcare and sanitation that will actually preserve life, while depressing its economy and so starving its poor.
While western countries undertake a grotesque distortion of humanitarian aid and help not India’s minimal healthcare for diseases from which vast numbers of Indians actually die but on tests that won’t begin to help them with a disease from which they largely will not.
Not to mention pressing for social distancing measures that can never work in a country as poor and overcrowded as India, save to push millions below the breadline.
And, unlike in the west, that does actually mean starvation.
The gigantic march through the whole of central London yesterday took in
Hyde Park Corner, Marble Arch, Ox St, Holborn, City,down to Embankment, Parliament Sq & back to HPk. Still ppl in Ox St when it finished. Nine miles of people. Many hundreds of thousands.
It must have been over 500,000. That makes it the biggest since the Iraq War march 18 years ago; bigger than the Brexit demonstrations and the Countryside Alliance marches.
And yet all but ignored by the media save one police charge in Hyde Park once it had mainly ended.
Here is a time lapse video. While Adam later revised his estimate downwards, a critic in reply suggested it was ‘only’ 600,000-700,000. That seems right given the length of the march.
Some extracts from the Weimar judgment on masks, asymptomatic transmission and PCR testing (link below).
On the absence of evidence that mask mandates make any material difference to transmission...