This piece is atrocious
1. the author conflates bioengineering w/ unintentional lab-leaking of a natural virus
2. the author misrepresents Fauci's email exchange as conspiratorial when, in fact, it's just scientists spit-balling wsj.com/articles/fauci…
1. Fauci sent an article about origins to Kristian Andersen, an immunologist. The article discusses direct animal-human transmission, as well as a possible intermediate host. It doesn’t entirely dismiss a lab-leak theory, but contains criticism of intentional bio-engineering
2. Andersen responds. Says they’re working on figuring out unusual aspects of the virus. “Not entirely consistent with evolutionary theory” does *not* entail the virus "has to be man-made," as the WSJ claims. Only that there are features of the virus that models don't quite fit.
3. Andersen's team goes on to publish a letter in Nature Medicine which they discuss possible origins & specifics of the virus's unusual features. They address animal-human, animal-animal (intermediate host)-human, as well as circulation w/in humans. They dismiss bioengineering.
So none of this amounts to a conspiracy or an intentional suppression of truth about bioengineering. It's just a couple of scientists working through issues, which you would think a "science writer" would understand. But, the author has had issues interpreting researchers before
To be clear: I'm not commenting on the strength of Andersen's research or the various *credible* hypotheses. I'm just saying people are misrepresenting this exchange between Fauci and Andersen. No conspiracy here.
And, no, I am not surprised by the WSJ publishing this. I still think it needed a good fact check, since there's been general misinterpretation of Fauci's email.
I didn't know this, but Andersen has responded to some of this conspiracy mongering

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More from @magi_jay

5 Jun
I'm as frustrated by Sinema & Manchin's position on the filibuster as anyone. At the same time, I try to remind myself that it's a good thing most Senate Democrats--including the majority leader--are on board with the idea. I don't think this would have been the case a decade ago
This doesn't really make the current situation less frustrating, but it is a sign of progress for the party as a whole. It also means that even if we don't succeed in persuading Sinema or Manchin, we just need to flip a few more seats to make it possible.
I'm not saying flipping a few more seats while guarding our current territory will be easy. I *am* saying that the distance we have to travel to make it a possibility is shorter than it once would have once been. That's not nothing. Even Tester has expressed openness to reform
Read 4 tweets
4 Jun
Here are some data to keep in mind when you see headlines about rising violent crime. Homicides + aggravated assaults both appear to have risen in 2020. Importantly, though, both began to decline, after spiking in the summer. Here are homicides: cdn.ymaws.com/counciloncj.or…
People often see headlines about rising crime between 2 years & assume a continuous trajectory, i.e. that crime is continuing to climb upwards. That's not what the data show.
-2020 homicides broadly followed the same patterns as previous years. Violent crime tends to peak in the summer then decline
-That said, the peak in 2020 was especially steep & also higher than previous years
-The decline was also steep, tho #'s didn't return to pre-2020 baseline
Read 12 tweets
3 Jun
I wrote a piece about rising crime rates & the lack of evidence behind the theory that racial justice protests *cause* these changes via "The Ferguson Effect." In response, some pointed to this working paper as proof of such an effect. There are a lot of issues here. (Thread) Image
First, let’s be clear about what the very specific causal claim of the “Ferguson Effect.” It’s a complex one, so each step in the chain matters: Image
I tend to think this chain of causality is implausible, but I will always consider evidence. In the case of this paper, the researchers claim that police killings that go viral AND are accompanied by investigations correlate w/ rising homicides.
Read 21 tweets
1 Jun
I wrote about the rising crime rate for @johnastoehr. There are a lot of headlines out there about surging violence. Republicans are seizing on the issue.

So is crime actually on the rise? The truth is complicated, but there are a few things we *do* know
stoehr.substack.com/p/there-is-no-…
A few key points:
-Murders & aggravated assaults rose in 2020 & are likely rising in 2021. The exact % is unknown. Meanwhile, rapes and robberies are likely in decline.
-Violent crime is still much lower than the 1990’s.
-Crime rates fluctuate quite a bit from year to year.
Also, we saw this exact same thing in 2015. Crime rose. Everyone freaked out. Many blamed anti-racism protesters for causing police shyness (🙄). Then crime fell again. Eventually it was determined that primarily ~3 cities drove the increase in homicides. brennancenter.org/sites/default/…
Read 13 tweets
31 May
First, it is not "ableist" to point out that an accuser's mental health will be examined by the media. That's just the reality. This is one among many reasons why it is incumbent upon journalists to ensure a story will hold up to scrutiny by actually investigating it
This does not mean that journalists shouldn’t publish allegations from people who have a history of mental health problems. This history should have no bearing on their decision to publish. That said, journalists have a duty to minimize harm to their subjects.
In the case of sexual assault, harm minimization means that journalists should recognize that the mental health of their subject will be under public/media scrutiny & they therefore have a strong obligation to ensure they thoroughly vet the allegation.
Read 8 tweets
31 May
This is how we've recognized Memorial Day for all of my lifetime. Maybe we should recognize it differently, especially if those affected request it. That said, it's much grosser to see people pretend we *don't* celebrate Memorial Day this way in order to score political points.
Also Memorial Day has a different history w/in African American culture, so be careful what you police. This has nothing to do w/ Memorial Day sales, which is a general U.S. cultural phenomenon. That we can all safely criticize.
I'll note that conservatives are the ones who have mashed together patriotism, military service, fireworks, & hollering into our American Identity. This combo might have something to do w/ why some spend Memorial Day getting plastered on boats while blasting "Sweet Home Alabama"
Read 4 tweets

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