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Mangy Jay

@magi_jay

6 Jun

We live in a society that is permeated with racism and sexism. If you do something that is perceived as racist or sexist, it's not on POC or women to prove your intent.

Bias is not extraordinary.

It is ordinary.

If you transcend it, it's on you to prove you are an exception.

I'm not saying that every accusation of sexism is true. But folks need to stop acting as if these are extraordinary claims. If you ask "How dare you accuse me of sexism?" you are basically asking "How dare you accuse me of participating in a system that everyone participates in?"

POC don't need to prove you are subtly racist in a racist society, nor do women need to prove you are subtly sexist. Identifying behavior as subtly racist or sexist is identifying an *ordinary* behavior. One that happens all the time. Not an extraordinary behavior.

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Mangy Jay

@magi_jay

6 Jun

I think it's good that Schumer is going to take the filibuster fight more public, but I think he should consider also focussing on issues that would put more specific pressure on Manchin (e.g. issues white rural people like), such as prescription drug pricing + Medicare

Manchin being a roadblock in prescription drug costs and/or even slightly lowering the Medicare age would get press in West Virginia. It would also likely get press in Arizona. Make at least part of the fight about what will create heat in Manchin & Sinema's home states.

Prescription drug costs are one of the #1 issues among voters. The House passed a bill on Medicare negotiations, but the gloriously bipartisan Senate sat on it under McConnell. Schumer should elevate this & similar battles.

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Mangy Jay

@magi_jay

5 Jun

This Chomsky passage is kind of funny, but it's also pretty offensive. Chomsky will happily use the genocide of indigenous people w/in current U.S. borders to "whatabout" other genocides, but is apparently unconcerned about the history of indigenous people w/in Mexican borders

"recognize it. recognize what we did."

Dude, you just listed a bunch of cities that are not in Arizona & have *Spanish* names. What does that tell you?

Also gotta wonder what happened to the indigenous population of Arizona when the Mexican government placed bounties on scalps

Anyway, I'm not trying to offer any defense of the United States. I'm trying to say there seems to be a very selective concern about genocide and oppression here. The Spanish were terrible & it's not like the Mexican state was known for its humanitarianism in the 19th century.

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Mangy Jay

@magi_jay

4 Jun

This piece is atrocious
1. the author conflates bioengineering w/ unintentional lab-leaking of a natural virus
2. the author misrepresents Fauci's email exchange as conspiratorial when, in fact, it's just scientists spit-balling wsj.com/articles/fauci…

1. Fauci sent an article about origins to Kristian Andersen, an immunologist. The article discusses direct animal-human transmission, as well as a possible intermediate host. It doesn’t entirely dismiss a lab-leak theory, but contains criticism of intentional bio-engineering

2. Andersen responds. Says they’re working on figuring out unusual aspects of the virus. “Not entirely consistent with evolutionary theory” does *not* entail the virus "has to be man-made," as the WSJ claims. Only that there are features of the virus that models don't quite fit.

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Mangy Jay

@magi_jay

4 Jun

Here are some data to keep in mind when you see headlines about rising violent crime. Homicides + aggravated assaults both appear to have risen in 2020. Importantly, though, both began to decline, after spiking in the summer. Here are homicides: cdn.ymaws.com/counciloncj.or…

People often see headlines about rising crime between 2 years & assume a continuous trajectory, i.e. that crime is continuing to climb upwards. That's not what the data show.

-2020 homicides broadly followed the same patterns as previous years. Violent crime tends to peak in the summer then decline
-That said, the peak in 2020 was especially steep & also higher than previous years
-The decline was also steep, tho #'s didn't return to pre-2020 baseline

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Mangy Jay

@magi_jay

3 Jun

https://twitter.com/magi_jay/status/1399851669647769603

I wrote a piece about rising crime rates & the lack of evidence behind the theory that racial justice protests *cause* these changes via "The Ferguson Effect." In response, some pointed to this working paper as proof of such an effect. There are a lot of issues here. (Thread)

https://twitter.com/magi_jay/status/1399851669647769603

First, let’s be clear about what the very specific causal claim of the “Ferguson Effect.” It’s a complex one, so each step in the chain matters:

I tend to think this chain of causality is implausible, but I will always consider evidence. In the case of this paper, the researchers claim that police killings that go viral AND are accompanied by investigations correlate w/ rising homicides.

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