Matthew Kavanagh Profile picture
Jun 4, 2021 • 23 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
Read 👇 Dear Journalism:Does this pass muster @VanityFair? Innuendo, implications, Eban teases as breaking story. Zero new evidence. Lots of fmr Trump admin people saying there's a cover up, with no evidence. How is this not just spreading misinformation?
vanityfair.com/news/2021/06/t…
YES we need more info on #COVID #Origins. Yes a lab leak is a possibility, but as many have said it has not been high on priority b/c there is quite literally no evidence for it. Eban doesn't find any either. But she does fall for all sorts of canards...
For example, Eban falls for the one about how @WHO didn't appoint US officials suggested for the independent expert team. This has been being shopped around by Trump admin folks for months. Eban takes the bait, reports it as if it's a shocking piece of new information. But...
The Trump Administration had QUIT the WHO. Formal letter and all. Pompeo was shopping lab leak publicly with no real evidence. But Eban is shocked and suspicious about why US personnel were not appointed at Trump admin's suggestion?
Eban never explains why she finds these people credible--which is remarkable since many of the people she quotes have literally no expertise in public health, virology, etc. Yet she suggests they are not only credible but more credible than US govt experts who...
were actively refuting their claims. Eban suggests expert staff refusing to collaborate in this was somehow nefarious, evidence of a cover-up. The alternative explanation? Her sources were wrong, doing poor work, and politically motivated.
Late in the story Eban writes "After listening to the investigators’ findings, a technical expert in one of the State Department’s bioweapons offices 'thought they were bonkers'"
But this story treats them as credible?? Why?
It's good storytelling--questions "raised" so the reader can be forgiven for thinking that Eban has revealed a vast conspiracy. In fact, she's repeated facts known for months with a lot of implications, innuendo from people who have repeatedly been caught driving lies
Eban, for example, tears into Shi Zhengli, claims a State Dept fact sheet proves she's lying (it doesn't), and discovers the breaking news (from her online CV) that she got funding from NIH and USAID. Yes! Yes she did. As has been widely reported.
There is plenty of scientific uncertainty, serious scientists debating evidence in meaningful ways. Several hypotheses to chase. And yes the Chinese government has not been transparent. But this is sensationalism not worthy of @VanityFair.
So instead of Katherine Eban can I suggest you read Drs. @angie_rasmussen & @stgoldst who DO give evidence. "If we make accusations and demands that aren’t firmly grounded in evidence, we run the real risk of having no origins investigations at all"
washingtonpost.com/outlook/virus-…
And instead of Jonathan Chait, read @hiltzikm's really thoughtful analysis.
latimes.com/business/story…
Read @amymaxmen getting on complex global politics, in which there is no easy answer in the real world about how to best improve public health, get more info to prevent further outbreaks, but it's probably not the current hot US-China rhetoric.
nature.com/articles/d4158…
Bad journalism can drive bad policy. Chinese scientists are critical to global public health; Chinese govt is key player in pandemics. So yes tell hard truths, dig, investigate. But dont pretend following former Trump admin + questionable intelligence=path to science & truth
... on #LabLeak story, Eban's @VanityFair story continues to fall apart as Sec Blinken confirms (as I noted above) her sources were not truth-telling about cover up, but instead doing a poor-quality investigation that didnt hold up to scrutiny.
reuters.com/world/china/bl…
"The Trump administration, it's my understanding, had real concerns about the methodology of that study, the quality of analysis, bending evidence to fit preconceived narrative. That was their concern. It was shared with us."
"the study was the work of one office and a few individuals... the Trump administration had asked a contractor to look into the origins... with a particular focus on whether it was a result of a lab leak.
"That work was done, it was completed, it was briefed, to relevant people"
So can we all take a breath? Is a lab accident still a possibility? Yes. Would digging into it be helpful? Yes. Do we have breakthrough info that makes this theory likely? No. Will spreading misinformation and conjecture in this highly political space help get answers? No.
... now for those following the #LabLeak story another voice heard from. Eban gives a ton of credence to “former state department officials” who were suspicious of WHO and “beginning to suspect that someone was actually hiding materials supportive of a lab-leak explanation”
Eban even titles a whole section “smelled Like a cover-up” and follows how “State Department investigators pushed on, determined to go public with their concerns”
Yet it seems increasingly clear Eban was taken for a ride (willfully? Sloppily?) by former Trump officials... Image
Here’s Dr Ford who Eban casts as a foe of these “investigators” writing publicly. Obviously he’s self-interested but the story he shares, backed up by evidence Eban clearly had access to, does not “smell” like a cover up so much as badly motivated work....
christopherashleyford.medium.com/the-lab-leak-i…
Instead it’s quite clear these “investigators” had no expertise in virology or health and were shopping a #LabLeak analysis that was shot down by their own actual experts when forced to subject their stats & work to review.
So @VanityFair break-through story making the rounds alongside WSJ and Fox News is actually just giving new wings to something even the Trump administration thought didn’t hold up. My take away: story is being driven by politically motivated actors not science. Can we stop now?

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More from @MMKavanagh

Jul 6, 2023
Interesting on ethics in #PandemicTreaty. But I'm baffled by @G_Owen_Schaefer @ZekeEmanuel et al take on Intellectual Property. Seems to misunderstand what’s happened in actual pandemics; if dont open monopolies, their other (good) countermasure ideas won't work... a thread. 1/12
They suggest IP is needed for “sustainability” principle & waiving IP = ethical problm b/c “policy makers would then face a tension between short-term human wellbeing, equity, and solidarity, & the long-term sustainability of incentives to respond to future pandemics"True? 2/12
It does not hold up. Why?
First big issue: their reasoning relies on the idea we need to solve problem of vaccine, drug, diagnostic makers lack of incentives. But in real life, these companies had plenty during COVID-19 in the form of 1)direct public investment and 2) profit
3/12
Read 12 tweets
Apr 3, 2023
Our NEW @Global_Policy article out as #PandemicAccord negotiators meet: "Vaccine Politics: law & inequality in COVID" shows COVAX failed b/c of a model misaligned with politics.Not $.Not tech.
Same approach,better funded ≠ equity next pandemic
🧵thread onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/author/S… Image
I write w/@Renu_Singh_ about why the dominant law&policy paradigm proved incapable of securing equity.
Political analysis necessary to design effective pandemic response.
Greater use of law, inter-state negot, and intl agreements can engage intl & domestic political forces 2/16 Image
Well before a vaccine had been developed there was an unprecedented moment where heads of state and global leaders pledged they would ensure equitable access to a not-yet-created medical countermeasure. But of course... 3/16 Image
Read 16 tweets
Nov 10, 2022
HIV treatment as cautionary tale for economists.
1. no excuse. By 2005-7 Oster speaking/writing against treatment, antiretrovirals avail for 8 years.Finally reaching 1 mill ppl in Africa. Deaths long ago dropped in US/Europe (L) finally falling in E/SAfrica. She argues to stop... ImageImage
2. Entire basis for cost-effectiveness calculations based on 2 false ideas. The first was confusing price for cost and not understanding it was subject to govt action. Price=a choice. Generics reverse-engineered & govts used power to import. Cost fell 99% to >$200. Image
3. Second false idea: Treatment and prevention are either/or choice. Its just wrong. a)ARVS stop HIV transmission b)Treatment brings hope, encourages testing, opens a key gate for prevention. The "do education instead" idea was not viable, and that had been well shown by 2005...
Read 9 tweets
Jan 22, 2022
Is it “not clear that 'coloniality' is the cause” of COVID19 vaccine inequality? Maybe not for many (helpful article in that sense), let's discuss.
THREAD🧵#decolonizing starting w political economy: $trillions for North's corporate, R&D, university "capacity" has an origin.../1
First: colonialism was a system of resource extraction, slave trade, and global commerce that enriched the global North and has had long-running harm for Southern economies… inequality in resources is not naturally occurring/2
Empiricaly clear e.g. Nunn "the world’s current income differences could be explained by the divergent effects of European contact globallty, which resulted in a massive transfer of disease, food, ideas, and people.../3
science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
Read 15 tweets
Aug 4, 2021
Article out: Legal environ & #pandemic response. After 5yr global #HIV push on testing&treatment, countries that criminalized gay relat, sexwork, drugs had less success. Rights-protective laws, better outcomes
Biomedical & structural interconnected
A🧵/1
gh.bmj.com/content/6/8/e0… Image
Measuring legal approaches in world: @HIVPolicyLab data show some countries highly criminalize, some less so (only 20% criminalize all). Meanwhile rights-protective legal approaches: 23% have strong non-discrim, 39% ind. human rights inst., 79% enforceable GBV laws. /2 Image
@HIVPolicyLab @BenjaminMMeier @sharifasekalala @SECTION27news @mpactglobal @mplngr @KashishAneja_ @EllieGraeden @LawrenceGostin We looked at success on the global #HIV 90-90-90 targets to achieve knowledge of status + viral suppression by 2020. Biomedical focus of last 5 year Global AIDS Strategy agreed at UNGA. Some countries exceeded, many did not. This allows for empirical comparison. /3
Read 7 tweets
Jun 21, 2021
Dear @JoeBiden @KamalaHarris @SecBlinken @SecBecerra time for you to act. Sharing tech is good public health, it's good diplomacy. NIH-Moderna vax already paid for. It could show the power and relevance of government, US in particular. How about you...
1. Democratize vaccine production. I know you've already said USDFC is investing, take the last steps... and also
foreignpolicy.com/2021/03/01/to-…
2. Use the authority you have. Not sure why you're NOT using the carrot and stick to get this done, but it's a bad look. Moderna has NO interest in these markets, has not even registered to sell there. You can use the Defense Production Act and...
lpeproject.org/blog/how-to-va…
Read 4 tweets

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