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5 Jun, 11 tweets, 10 min read
COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 05.06.2021—continuing down

Post-easing May 31

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—8017 & 110 (⬇️)
● in hospital—331 & 3 (⬇️)
● deaths—119 & 0.4 (⬇️)

R(e): ⬇️—0.76
Vaccinations: 5.2m (1.9m 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/11 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
AND FOR THE PAST FORTNIGHT, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

The previous tweet shows that numbers are definitely coming down again after a short rebound in April-early May, although deaths stayed flat. These are for the last fortnight:

2/11 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
VIRUS VARIANTS detected

UK variant (alpha) dominant. Indian (delta) starting to show but very low

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

3/11 Screenshot of list of variants and numbers identified (PubliScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant variScreenshot: Task Force graph of estimated percentage of B.1.Screenshot: Task Force graph of estimated percentage of P.1
BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED CASES IN the past fortnight per 100K population—Overall down from 152 to 110. Worst in Appenzell Innerrhoden. Dark end of range down from 639 to 521.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

4/11 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED HOSPITALISATION in the past fortnight per 100K population—Improving, down from 4.04 to 2.75. Still worse in and around Uri, but dark end of range down from 22 to 14

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/11 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
BY CANTON: DEATHS (which lag case numbers)—down from 0.6 to 0.4. Uri better now. Worst in Glarus. More cantons recording no deaths. Dark end of range down from 4.93 to 2.46.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

6/11 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
INTENSIVE CARE CAPACITY AND OCCUPANCY: all patients and COVID-19

Over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus, Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All patients: marginally better

COVID-19 patients: improving

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

7/11 Map of occupancy rates: all patientsMap of occupancy rates: COVID-19 patientsChart of COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 occupancy since March 202
R(e) ESTIMATES: national over time, cantons latest.

Down. More cantons < 0.8. But >1 in Glarus, Liechtenstein

Estimate: 0.76 nationally (from 0.81)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

Note: Swiss schools have stayed open during lockdown

8/11 Chart of reproductive number over timeMap of reproductive number by canton
VACCINATIONS (1) VACCINES & DEMOGRAPHY

Moderna outstripping Pfizer/BioNTech

Ordered: 36m doses: Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax (pop 8.6m)

Approved: Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, J&J (not ordered)

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

9/11 Screenshot of graph of administered vaccine doses, Pfizer/BiScreenshot of graph of fully vaccinated people, Pfizer/BioNTScreenshot of graphic of demography of administered vaccine Screenshot of graphic of demography of fully vaccinated peop
VACCINATIONS (2) OVERALL

Accelerating

DOSES
Delivered: 5.8m=67% (from 4.9m/56%)
Administered: 5.2m=60% (from 4.5m/53%)

PEOPLE:
Fully (2 doses): 1.9m=22.1% (from 1.6m/18.8%)
At least one dose = 37.5%

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

10/11 Screenshot: Chart of development over time of delivered and Screenshot: map of administered vaccine doses, per 100, by cScreenshot: Chart of development over time of vaccinated peoScreenshot: map of fully vaccinated people per 100, by canto
LATEST: New phase started May 31, includes restaurants open indoors, but still some restrictions

Some cantons now vaccinating all adults (some over-16s).

A forgery-proof Covid-19 certificate available from June 7

CURRENT SITUATION: swissinfo.ch/eng/covid-19_c…

11/11 Graphic of entry requirements

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More from @CoppetainPU

Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
2 Jun
State of play in the #WTOAgricultureNegotiations following meetings on May 25, 27.

• 5 months before the ministerial conference there's little sign that members are moving closer to any shared positions. Substantial gaps remain on almost everything

1/10 wto.org/english/news_e…
• The Cairns Group and African Group issued a joint statement calling for fairer agricultural trade by cutting domestic support that distorts markets. Getting the two groups together was an achievement, but the statement is broad. It doesn't say how

2/10 wto.org/english/news_e…
• The talks look busy with a lot of new submissions, particularly on domestic support. But they all come from individual members of the Cairns Group (lobbying for far-reaching liberalisation) plus Ukraine.

3/10 wto.org/english/news_e…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
2 Jun
So, the 11 members of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement Trans-Pacific Partnership (#CPTPP) have agreed to start negotiations for the UK to accede.

Many others have commented. I won't repeat them. Just a few points to consider

1/9 reuters.com/world/uk/trans…
The statement mti.gov.sg/-/media/MTI/Mi…

Starting negotiations with the UK is only one part. The statement ends with: ministers and senior officials “hope that those Signatories for which the CPTPP has yet to enter into force will ratify the Agreement as soon as possible”

2/9
What are the #CPTPP’s rules on accession?

The accession candidate (here the UK) must be “prepared to comply with the obligations in this Agreement”, although negotiation is envisaged. Final approval is needed by each of the countries concerned.

3/9 mfat.govt.nz/assets/Trade-a…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
31 May
WTO members remained divided on the proposal to waive intellectual property rules for COVID-19 in today's informal meeting, although most said they were willing to discuss the new text.

The US, China, New Zealand and Ukraine shifted their positions to back the waiver

1/5
Some countries asked for more time to study the new #WtoCOVID19waiver text or remained sceptical about the waiver's ability to help access to vaccines and other products.

They included: Australia, Brazil, EU, Japan, Korea, Norway, Singapore, Switzerland, Taiwan, UK.

2/5
As expected, some countries disliked the new proposed time period for the waiver—three years, to be extended unless WTO members decide by consensus to end it.

One called it a blank cheque for the waiver to last indefinitely, undermining incentives for research & innovation.

3/5
Read 8 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
31 May
3 meetings at the @wto today, 2 attracting attention, 1 less so but also important.

• Fisheries subsidies (morning)—Heads of Delegation—informal so no record and probably no news on the WTO website

Secret code: “open-ended” = open to all members

1/n wto.org/english/news_e…
• Intellectual property (afternoon)—also informal and with no record—on the proposed IP waiver for COVID-19.

The first meeting on this since the US swung behind the waiver, and the proponents produced a new draft. Still a lot to discuss

2/4
See: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/05/25/wto…
• Investment facilitation for development—a “plurilateral” negotiation (ie among only some members), initiated by China etc, aiming for some decision at the year-end ministerial conference

Secret code: JI = joint initiative = plurilateral

3/4
See: wto.org/english/news_e…
Read 4 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
29 May
COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 29.05.2021—down after rebound

May 31: next easing

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—8017 & 152 (⬇️)
● in hospital—331 & 4 (⬇️)
● deaths—119 & 0.6 (⬇️)

R(e): ⬇️—0.81
Vaccs: 4.5m (1.6m 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/11 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
AND FOR THE PAST FORTNIGHT, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

The previous tweet shows that numbers are definitely coming down again after a short rebound in April-early May, although deaths stayed flat.

These are for the last fortnight:

2/11 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
VIRUS VARIANTS detected

UK variant dominant. Indian starting to show

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

3/11 Screenshot of list of variants and numbers identified (PubliScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant variScreenshot: Task Force graph of estimated percentage of B.1.Screenshot: Task Force graph of estimated percentage of P.1
Read 11 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
27 May
The recently-announced US proposal for the WTO fisheries subsidies talks—on the use of forced labour—is now available on the WTO website: docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

It was not discussed in today's negotiations session, but the talks will continue on Saturday and and Monday.

1/2 Image
The US proposal refers to the chair's latest draft ⬇️

Meeting on Saturday is unusual. It seems to be part of the effort to accelerate the talks so that all or most of the issues are settled by July 15 when ministers are due to meet online.

2/2
tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2021/05/11/fis…
PS The US floated the idea in April. Today's focus was on special treatment for developing countries in provisions on illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing.

The US proposal may be discussed whenever the talks move to illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing in general
Read 4 tweets

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