I had hoped (but not believed) I would never need to do another if these daily summary threads again

🦠 5765 new cases (rolling 7 day average up 46.2%)

⚰️ 13 x 28 day deaths. I think they are turning up again. Watch this space over the next 2-3 weeks.
The upward movement of cases can be clearly seen in the 7 day rates.

We have not been at 35.9 cases per 100k since early April.

We got so close. Why are we squandering all that effort for want of a bit more self discipline for a couple more months?
Look at cases by swab date

5891 on 2-6-21. (NB cases may well be added to recent days due to reporting lag).

2702 on 18-6-21 just as measures relaxed.

More than doubled
🏥 admissions? 154 but the rolling average is down a fraction.

But what is happening under the bonnet?

Look. Just before measures were relaxed we got down to 78 admissions in a day rising to the high point of 134 in a day last week and 154 on Tuesday 1st June.
Sorry. 2702 on 18th May (not June!) just when measures were relaxed
I think deaths are turning up again too, when looking at deaths by date of death but the is quite a lot of uncertainty around the impact vaccinations will have on deaths esp with the DELTA variant now dominant.

Reason to believe vaccinations (esp 2-dose) reduce but not eliminate
Either way. Cases are the first indicator and the gradual increase in positivity (1.2% on 31st May, since when positives have continued to rise).

That increase isn’t increased testing either as that is down overall.
💉 535,226 vaccine doses given

(💉 1st dose- 174k
💉💉 2nd dose - 360k.)

The final graph shows the gap between those with first doses and second doses are narrowing.

But note: the uptake graphs are percentages of the ADULT population not the population as a whole.
Here @LawrenceGilder compares last Saturday with today.

You can see cases are up c70% and deaths up 85%.

Of course there is likely to be some bumpiness in the data but it still points in the same direction.

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More from @fascinatorfun

6 Jun
Tell me how you’ll use my medical data. Only then might I sign up | Kenan Malik |

“Would you allow your medical data to be anonymised and used for research into cancer or to aid future pandemic planning? Most people would probably say yes.”

“I certainly would. But what if that data could be accessed by tech giants such as Google, medical corporations such as Babylon Health, security firms such as Palantir, or coercive state institutions like the police or immigration service? That raises a few red flags.

“What if that anonymised data could in fact help pinpoint who you are? Now you’re getting me worried.”

That is the dilemma most of face. We want to do good and also help one another.
Read 52 tweets
5 Jun
Inside India’s ‘black fungus’ wards: Delta variant linked to hundreds of deaths from mucormycosis

Over use of steroids is a contributory factor, but that happened in wave 1 without this outcome.

Doctors say the DELTA variant increases risks of diabetes telegraph.co.uk/global-health/…
Previously young, fit people brought down by it.

Mr Travedi, 38 years old, has had his left eyeball, the maxillary sinus and the roof of his mouth removed.

27 year old Trembale Aamabare has also had part of his sinus removed.

They both have blood glucose levels of a diabetic.
11,000 Indians have been diagnosed with this condition through the Covid crisis.

This is just one murcormycosis ward in one hospital.
Read 8 tweets
5 Jun
NHS hit by legal threat over GP data ‘grab’

Patients have until June 23 to opt out by filling in a form & TAKING IT TO THEIR GP for themselves, & their children, before their historical records become a permanent and irreversible part of the new data set. ft.com/content/a13225…
It looks to me, from the form itself, that this CANNOT BE FILED ON LINE OR THROUGH THE NHS app. @EinsteinsAttic or @PrivacyMatters can correct me if I am wrong

It has to be completed & handed in to your GP

What about email?
I don’t know how they can verify signatures re email.
If you’ve done it online or through the NHS App I think you’ve gone for the wrong opt out.

A great example of how appallingly badly this is being handled
Too many do not even know the right form to use

GP surgeries are sending out the wrong form when someone sends the right one
Read 7 tweets
5 Jun
Could @AnnaSophieGross explain which Gov official suggested we were doing 25 mill LFT a week?
They certainly are not appearing on the Gov Covid dashboard. They only provide data for England but it is highly unlikely NI, Scotland & Wales combined = England.

32 days MAY-June here
Might also be right on scope for the @FT to do an article on John Bell’s (& other advisors) financial interests & directorships in genomics and testing given such huge sums of Gov money are going into a not hugely reliable test.

The search chain is a bit broken but here are some additional ones @AnnaSophieGross .

Osimidco and Oxford Sciences Innovation plc [Oxford Uni spin Off)

Immunocore Ltd & Immunocore Holdings Ltd. [the latter lends the former money)
Read 5 tweets
4 Jun
Well well. Who would have thought that old Matty Hancock would override NHS digital over the latest data grab?

@Foxglovelegal need your support for an injunction. Can you chip in? (My tweet 2)

And don’t forget to hand in your Type 1 Opt Out form to your GP (tweet 3)
Here is @Foxglovelegal ‘s CrowdJustice link for the Injunction.

Can’t waste time on this, as the 23rd June is last date to lodge your opt out & 1st July it is due to go WHOOSH! And you can’t get it back.

The money is needed quickly.

And here is the correct opt out form complete with NHS SnoMed code.

Don’t be fobbed off with lesser opt outs.

Read 4 tweets
4 Jun
PHE frantically spinning the schools data as Delta cases rise EXPONENTIALLY driven by school age children and now moving into the older age groups, esp parent age groups.


The data suggests otherwise.
Those traffic lights look pretty red to me.

Yep. It is a different PHE report
Read 8 tweets

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