Introducing: Delta Price/Realized Price Ratio (DPRP)

[THREAD]
This ratio can be used to identify major Bitcoin bull run tops.

The idea to compare DP and RP was conceptualized in David Puell's article: medium.com/@kenoshaking/b…
This ratio shows when Delta cap (difference between realized capitalization and the all-time moving average capitalization of Bitcoin) converges with Realized capitalization (cap based on when coins were last moved)

Without taking a ratio of the two, here are the convergences:
An interesting thing to note: Each peak is higher.

If this pattern continues, this bull run still has a ways to go.
This arc of higher tops resembles @woonomic's top cap model as well.

Over the long term, Bitcoin tends to move very mechanically.
Special thanks to the following:

@kenoshaking: Conceptualizing delta cap and the idea to compare delta to realized. (go check out his article)
@glassnode: Data
@SethSteiman: Coding

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More from @WClementeIII

6 Jun
[THREAD]

Update on #BTC Accumulation
For over 2 weeks now, the market has been selling at a loss. However, this process seems to be almost done.
SOPR, which is a ratio of profit-taking in the coins trading on any given day, seems to have found a local bottom on a weekly moving averge.

This is the deepest reset of weekly SOPR since March 2020.
Read 6 tweets
21 May
The cohort that did the most buying Wednesday was entities with 10k-100k.

This cohort added +122,588
The cohort that did the most selling was entities with over 100k BTC, reducing their holding by a net -89,000 BTC
The biggest spike in selling by age during the dip came from coins aged 1 week to 1 month old.
Read 7 tweets
6 May
[THREAD]

This #Bitcoin Bull Market is far from over. Here's why:
For starters, Bitcoin tops are marked by increasingly parabolic price action until a blowoff top occurs and demand steps back.

We are not seeing that. There is a massive base of capital (on-chain volume) building at these levels. Cycle tops have very minimal distribution.
Tops are also marked by spikes in Dormancy (old coins being sold into strength)

The opposite is occurring. Dormancy has been going down since February, meaning old holders are waiting for higher prices to unload their bags.
Read 9 tweets

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