Why is the US exceptional? We constantly talk about spirit and culture and institutions and...

But the main reason is much more mundane: Geography.

Consider this map. What's makes the US so lucky?
Mainly 2 things:
1. It's an impregnable fortress. Nobody can ever invade it.
Oceans & mountains on both sides.
Just 2 neighbors.
Mexico is smaller, too hilly, and has just 1 natural harbor so it can't be a threat (too poor).
Canada is too cold and exposed, not enough food for a big competitor.
2. It has the Mississippi Basin, the single best land area in the world. Why?
🏔️ Mountain ranges on both sides concentrate water inwards.
🌽 >1M square miles (2.5M km) of extremely well-irrigated land ➡️ lots of cheap food
🏗️ Nearly flat, which is also great for agriculture, but also for building anything for cheap, really
⛴️ The Mississippi and its tributaries have more navigable length than all other navigable rivers in the world COMBINED
🕴️ They're all connected to each other, so easy trade
Worth remembering when we talk about the center of America as flyover country.
That's the heartland.
Not only figuratively.
And ON TOP OF THAT the East Coast, from Mexico to Boston, has intracoastal waterways, which make trade easier to protect, hence is cheaper
What are these intracoastal waterways? The islands that protect all the East Coast.
Why do all these rivers and intarcoastal waterways matter so much? Because it makes it dirt cheap to trade
When trade is cheap, your goods can go anywhere.

Compare this with Russia, which doesn't have any cheap way to transport the goods from the middle of the country, which means these goods are either more expensive or simply can't be traded (eg, if perishable)
I go into much more details in today's article, and also cover some dynamics from the rest of the world
unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com/p/world-chessb…
This is inspired by sources like the amazing Stratfor Monographic worldview.stratfor.com/article/geopol…

Or Prisoners of Geography
amazon.com/dp/B00V3L8ZHK/
Follow me for more of these. I'm covering next:
- If Geography determines History, what determines Geography? (hint: Space!)
- What's the role of Technology? (hint: it changes over History).
So summary:
- Impregnable
- Best fertile land in the world
- Very cheap to build other stuff too
- Super easy and cheap to trade
All of this creates lots of wealth

Worth keeping in mind when we talk about American exceptionalism.

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More from @tomaspueyo

8 Jun
7 sentences that have changed my life recently:

1. A meeting should never finish in its allotted time.
What's the likelihood that you'll end precisely in 60m? 30m? Low.
If you're efficient, finish early and stop the meeting.
If you need more time, schedule it.
2. Pain is inevitable. Suffering is optional.
Pain is what you feel. Suffering is what you do about it. Embrace it, accept it, and suffering disappear, even if pain doesn't—yet.
3. You already have the No
I used to not ask for things, for fear of inconveniencing or not getting what I wanted. Then somebody told me this sentence, which means "If you don't ask, you already have the No. Asking can only bring you positives."
Read 9 tweets
4 Jun
“My body, my choice”, from pro-choice, is being co-opted by anti-vaxxers.

This is a good rule of thumb: society shouldn’t force itself on you in general, and especially less on your body.

So what’s the ≠?
Vaccines have a social dynamic. If not enough ppl in the community are vaccinated, herd immunity is not reached, and the entire community is at risk. So those unvaccinated are a risk to the community.
So here’s the deal: you should be free to get a vaccine or not. But anybody in society should be free to bar you from joining them without a vaccine, because you put them at risk.
Read 4 tweets
3 Jun
Why did Apple ask their employees to get back to the office? Because they're an incumbent, like Goldman Sachs or JP Morgan. And because they lost their self-confidence 🧵
theverge.com/2021/6/2/22465…
Apple receives more candidates than it can process. They won't have a problem recruiting.
They print money. They don't need to reduce costs.

The risk of moving to remote is huge: they could jeopardize a superproductive business. They have too much to lose.
That's why other incumbents say exactly the same thing.

"There are things it simply cannot replicate."—Tim Cook, CEO Apple

“[Remote work is] an aberration that we are going to correct as soon as possible."—David Solomon, CEO Goldman Sachs
Read 8 tweets
3 Jun
Remote work is inexorable. Why?

There's 2 stakeholders in remote work: companies and workers.
Companies want productivity.
Workers want freedom and net income.
Remote provides both.

unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com/p/remote-work-…
PRODUCTIVITY
1. Costs are lower
Salaries can be much cheaper, 30%-50% less easily.
Real estate is cheaper. Up to 10-20% reductions.
Then all the other reductions in costs: food, commuter benefits.
Also easier to do tax avoidance
2. Production is higher
According to most surveyed companies, remote workers have been more productive than pre-pandemic.
This effect is not heavily quantified, but the best study on this, for one company, was 22% more productive (2018)
Read 8 tweets
31 May
Negotiating a job offer in California? A few tips (esp valid for tech): 🧵
1. You can ask for the range of your position’s compensation. The company is legally compelled to give you those ranges. Also true if you already work at a CA company.
2. CA companies can’t ask you for your previous job compensation. That’s to avoid being anchored by low wages in past jobs.

The best recruiters will simply ask you what’s your compensation expectation. That’s a good time to ask for ranges.

shouselaw.com/ca/labor/discr…
3. Know the market. Look for comp in similar jobs. Comparably is one of many resources. Just Google it.
Read 9 tweets
26 May
New article: Mental Pitfalls of COVID management

When one country fails, the problem is that country.
When all Western countries fail, the problem is their system.

Here are the top mental pitfalls they fell into (& lessons for us on how to think): 🧵
unchartedterritories.tomaspueyo.com/p/the-mental-p…
1. Not enough cost-benefit analyses
What's the cost-benefit of a lockdown if you're not willing to add more measures?
What's the ROI of wearing masks?
Why did we trade off lives, money and freedom, but privacy was sacred?
It took months to get to something even close to this, and when we did, politicians weren't paying attention
Read 13 tweets

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