Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 57% have at least one dose and 12.8% have two
-Age 12+: 67% and 15.1%
-Age 20+: 67.8% and 16.6%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses
And here's the pace of Alberta's vaccination over time. Today's rate of 39,107 compares to an average of 44,580 over the past week. And today, 11,749 were first doses and 27,358 were second.
Going forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 14 so full re-opening would occur on June 28.

We reach 50% fully vaccinated by July 19
The Premier also regularly references `70% pop. protection`, here's a measure of that. First, this is different than doses or 12+ shares. One dose is less effective than two, effects lag and are uncertain, and total pop matters. Roughly, current "coverage" is ~22-41%.
Quick note: June 28 for opening is much later than I originally envisioned. When the govt said "late June, early July" I thought they were being very cautious. I was wrong. Massive jump in using doses for 2nd shots really slowed the 1+ metric used to trigger the Stage 3 countdown

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More from @trevortombe

10 Jun
Today's vaccine update:

- Shots reported today*: 401,833 (59% 2nd doses)
- Total shots: 27,257,480
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 71.8%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 73.6% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 71.7
- Inventory: 7.8 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/

* Missing YT (not reported yet)
The latest estimates of vaccinations by age:

- Those 60+: 89.4% have at least one dose and 19.4% have two
- 18-59: it's 66.6% and 8.3%
- Adults: 73.6% and 11.7%

Note: data comes with a 6-13 day lag; these are my own estimates
In total, Canada is now up to 27.3 million shots given -- which is 90.0% of the total 30.3 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,141,010 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 3.4 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Read 14 tweets
9 Jun
Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 57.3% have at least one dose and 13.4% have two
-Age 12+: 67.2% and 15.7%
-Age 20+: 68% and 17.3%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses
And here's the pace of Alberta's vaccination over time. Today's rate of 34,636 compares to an average of 45,155 over the past week. And today, 9,708 were first doses and 24,928 were second.
Going forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 15 so full re-opening would occur on June 29.

We reach 50% fully vaccinated by July 18
Read 4 tweets
9 Jun
Today's vaccine update:

- Shots reported today: 352,219* (54% 2nd doses)
- Total shots: 26,855,647
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 71.3%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 73.3% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 70.7
- Inventory: 8.5 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/
* Missing YT (not reported yet)
The latest estimates of vaccinations by age:

- Those 60+: 89.3% have at least one dose and 18.1% have two
- 18-59: it's 66.3% and 7.8%
- Adults: 73.3% and 10.9%

Note: data comes with a 6-13 day lag; these are my own estimates
In total, Canada is now up to 26.9 million shots given -- which is 89.1% of the total 30.1 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,371,492 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 3.2 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Read 14 tweets
8 Jun
Today's vaccine update:

- Shots reported today *: 407,964 (38% 2nd doses)
- Total shots: 26,503,428
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 70.8%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 73.1% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 69.7
- Inventory: 8.8 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/

* Includes some weekend doses Image
The latest estimates of vaccinations by age:

- Those 60+: 89.3% have at least one dose and 17.0% have two
- 18-59: it's 66.0% and 7.4%
- Adults: 73.1% and 10.3%

Note: data comes with a 6-13 day lag; these are my own estimates Image
In total, Canada is now up to 26.5 million shots given -- which is 88.8% of the total 29.8 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,801,418 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 3.0 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
Read 14 tweets
7 Jun
Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 56.8% have at least one dose and 12.2% have two
-Age 12+: 66.7% and 14.3%
-Age 20+: 67.5% and 15.7%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses Image
And here's the pace of Alberta's vaccination over time. Today's rate of 26,457 compares to an average of 43,241 over the past week. And today, 10,106 were first doses and 16,351 were second. Image
Going forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 13 so full re-opening would occur on June 27.

We reach 50% fully vaccinated by July 21 Image
Read 4 tweets
4 Jun
Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 55.6% have at least one dose and 10.4% have two
-Age 12+: 65.3% and 12.2%
-Age 20+: 66.4% and 13.4%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses
Looking forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 9 so (if that pace holds) full re-opening occurs on June 23.
Where will Alberta be in terms of fully vaccinated? Or the 75/20 goal? Here's a rough guide based on when we'd have enough doses for different shares:

- 75% of age 12+ w/ 1+ dose and 20% w/ 2: June 19
- And 30% w/ 2 doses: June 28
Read 4 tweets

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