Its enjoyable/cathartic for me to write these longer semi-random threads & people seem to appreciate them as they can like and/or retweet the whole thread or individual tweets in the thread if so inclined (h/t to @MarkChangizi for teaching me how to tweet 🤣)

So here goes
1. Oh look, what a surprise … overdose-associated cardiac arrests (OCAs) were up 42.1% last year and the increase curve correlates exactly with the unemployment rate. Who could have possibly seen this coming? @EWoodhouse7 @snorman1776…
2. From the book Surveillance Capitalism: "Google's ideal society is a population of distant users, not citizenry. It idealizes people who are informed, but only in the ways the corporation chooses." 😲

Are we there yet?
3. Remember when u were told “test & trace” was critical to bring COVID under control? Well, this study shows it a total failure as “2 of 3 individuals w COVID were either not reached for interview or named no contacts when interviewed” How many $$$B gone?…
4. I’d like to introduce the NYTimes of 2020/2021 (below quote) to NYTimes of 2017, which wrote: “Mistakes can be hard to digest, so sometimes we double down rather than face them. Our confirmation bias kicks in, causing us to seek out evidence to prove what we already believe”
5. Whatever could cause ALL of the April job gains to go to men vs. women? I just can’t think of it … maybe we should ask @rweingarten
6. One thing about the lab-leak hypothesis is that the outcome is binary: either COVID escaped from a lab and GOF research created an epic man-made catastrophe or it came from nature in which case we arguably need more GOF. Don’t expect those with vested interests to go quietly
7. Similarly, after reading below thread, Im not sure there's a middle ground position on Fauci anymore. U either believe the missing pangolin shows up or u believe Fauci was a perpetrator in arguably the largest cover-up in human history. ht @Liz_Wheeler
8. In 2020 alone, Amazon hired 500,000 employees. You read that right. There are only 5 other S&P 500 companies with that many TOTAL employees: Walmart, UPS, Accenture, and FedEx. Small businesses never stood a chance during lockdowns.
9. With a 58% gap between parties (87% R in favor vs 29% D), “leaving the house” is literally the most divisive issue in America.
10. The chart of US Treasury outlays vs receipts looks like my personal budget when I turned 21. I’m not sure we are doing this correctly…
11a. As I await new @EricRWeinstein podcasts I can’t get over this quote frm ep#33. Lockdowns aren’t referenced but ...well.. "The theory is this: When powerful people use their advantage to engage in new involuntary transfers of wealth or safety or freedom from those too weak..
11b. defend themselves, the winners are almost always forced to create an idealism as a cover for their siphoning. In simpler terms, these idealisms are actually cover stories or bespoke fig leaves, which almost exactly fit the extraction...that they are tailored to mask”
12. More evidence we are living in two Americas, half of which are vaccinated and still uncomfortable reengaging with society and half that are unvaccinated but ready to party. This is the media’s fault.
13. Evidence continues to mount in favor of the “dry tinder” hypothesis. ie countries with high COVID mortality often experienced a mortality deficit in years leading up to 2020, creating a susceptible pool sadly claimed by COVID. Look at the deficits in Sweden/UK in 2018 & 2019
14. CDC: we must investigate “relatively few” adolescents who develop myocarditis after vax [I don’t disagree]

Also CDC: Lockdowns appear to have killed 100k ppl by Oct ‘20 “because of disruptions in health care access or utilization”…Peculiar; carryon…
15. USA: where your kid’s right to smile depends whether ur Gov, elected prior to “lockdowns” being invented, is R or D. How many D governors wouldve been elected if they said they support 2-yr school closure/masks in event of a virus ~4x less harmful to kids than flu? ht @kerpen
16. As a [former?] alt-middle member, 2020 made me aware of 2 criteria I never imagined wld influence my vote as I thought shared by both parties

- censorship of thought is never appropriate
- lockdowns (+school) never appropriate

r there Dems that support this? Id like that
17. In the Fauci emails he says, “the typical mask you buy in the drug store is not really effective in keeping out virus, which is small enough to pass through the material.” Maybe the redactions have a part that says a cloth mask from Etsy with a unicorn on it works though?
18. Speaking of, this microscopic organism survived 24,000 years frozen in the Siberian permafrost. But we can wipe out a highly contagious aerosolized virus with cloth chin straps if we ban TVs in restaurants. Right…
19. I have no idea if any of my tweets since I started in January have made a lick of difference—I doubt it—but I did convince my parents in May 2020 to turn off CNN and hug their damn grandkids. It was by far the most important thing I did. This was 14 months ago.
20. Lastly, retweeting this for no reason at all

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More from @the_brumby

8 Jun
Only 29% of Dems believe people should strive for normal life now.

Here are my top 10 things with comparable support/belief among Americans:

1.Bigfoot – 21%
2.Sun revolves the earth – 25%
3.Dinosaurs & humans co-existed – 41%
4.Counting on lottery win for retirement – 20%
5.Witchcraft – 26%
6.Cell phones cause cancer – 20%
7.9/11 was an inside job – 23%
8.Ghosts/spirits can hurt living people – 32%
9.Astrology – 33%
10.Fortune telling – 26%
11. (Bonus) Telepathy – 31%
Read 5 tweets
7 Jun
Thinking over the wknd further about this atrocious CDC garbage & tying it w a couple datapoints, a picture emerges:

Society is a dichotomous mess w only 29% of Dems in favor of a return to normal vs 87% of Rs & only 1/3 of VACCINATED people comfortable going to the movies

The CDC, now just a political arm, recognizes this sizeable contingent of the pop. effectively lost to the propaganda of the last yr & believes the only way these folks will be comfortable reentering society is with every last child they may potentially encounter vaccinated

That'll never happen but I’ll be honest- even if it did- I fear it wouldn't be enough as I think this 71% group falls into 2 camps: (1) ppl literally traumatized by CNN propaganda, which only CNN could undo, which it will not b/c that would be contrary to its profit model,

Read 7 tweets
3 Jun
Reflecting on Fauci emails, my biggest takeaway is degree to which overall dialogue on the pandemic was controlled & censored mostly by BigTech/Media. But also by the left, which has become increasingly & strangely anti-free speech. This isn’t “muh freedoms”…this cost lives

Things “we” weren’t allowed to discuss but turns out Fauci was discussing early ‘20
- lab leak
- focused protection (GBD)
- asymptomatic spread
- masks ineffective
- aerosolized transm.
- virus already “past point of no return”
- seasonality
- risk contextualization

Had such topics been “permissible” to debate our disastrous monomaniacal interventions—which upended society & have proven anything but temporary—could've been tailored for greatest impact w the least harm/disruption. Instead, we shredded the societal fabric w/nothing to show
Read 7 tweets
25 May

Since my last “random backlog of covid musings” thread was popular, I thought I’d give it another shot. 22 quick thoughts/analogies/quotes/metaphors that I haven't had time to share previously:
1. The ppl who now claim it unreasonable to instantly give up masks & go back to work after 15 months of “new normal” r the same who scolded others for displaying any hesitation when forced to give-up an entire life’s work in Mar ’20 & embrace the criminalization of everyday life
2. The eagerness w which lockdown supporters are now embracing lab leak leads me to believe they view it as a scapegoat for why their abysmal policies didn’t work. ie NPIs/lockdowns would’ve stopped a natural virus but were no match for this manmade lab-freak. Don’t fall for it.
Read 23 tweets
14 May
Why the sudden shift in mask guidance that surely marks the beginning of the end of COVID mania? It certainly isn't b/c the science changed. Its because society is completely broken and the status quo is unsustainable.

1. People are voting with their feet for freedom:

2. Cities are collapsing without office workers
3. Leading to rampant crime…
Read 10 tweets
13 May
When running a stock portfolio, u are taught to reevaluate holdings each day & ask whether, if u had fresh $$ to invest, u would buy the same stocks u hold or whether you’re just hanging onto them b/c they’re already there.

We should ask ourselves the same about NPIs.

In behavioral finance, we call this status quo bias: people resist change even if change is prudent. Also associated w/ sunk cost fallacy (highly relevant to NPIs) & Kahneman’s work showing people feel greater regret for bad outcomes from new actions than from inaction.

Lockdowns & NPIs should be approached the same as ur portfolio. If anyone, even PH officials, stepped into our current world today, it would be objectively ridiculous to keep any current restrictions on schools, businesses, mask mandates, etc. CDC news today is a good start.

Read 9 tweets

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