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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
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10 Jun, 5 tweets, 2 min read
🧵 from @julesmchamish showing some very sharp 7 day rises and some huge single day increases on 7 June alone with the prize going to Manchester with 256, but Glasgow, Edinburgh , Blackburn with Darwen, Birmingham, Leeds, Salford all with more than 100 cases on that day.
And another thread here from @julesmchamish concentrating on the new risers.

Have to say that Cornwall is taking a turn for the worse just when they have the G7 there, a cruise ship packed with police officers (not sure they have thought that through) and holiday makers.
Birmingham 🤯
Seems there’s difficulty with Pfizer/ Moderna supply

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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
11 Jun
Onwards and upwards (in a very bad way).

🦠8125 cases ⬆️⬆️
(By swab date, remembering that results still to be added to recent days) 7th 8th & 9th June all over 7k and likely to rise higher.

⚰️ 17 (28 day) deaths ⬆️⬆️

🏥 admissions 173 ⬆️⬆️

💉 510k vaccination doses ImageImage
See @LawrenceGilder graphs.

⚰️60 day deaths (24)
Positivity rates in England steadily rising every day now. 1.9% overall

But is several places over 5% . Some hovering around 10% and Blackburn with Darwen 15%. ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
11 Jun
WHISTLEBLOWER Matt Hancock ‘Suppressing’ COVID Data from Gov Depts

🔥🔥🔥 DHSC” basically responded by saying: let’s release some information, but keep it vague and release it alongside everything else to make the situation look not as bad as it is.”
bylinetimes.com/2021/06/10/mat…
NB “...To make the situation not look as bad as it is”‼️

Asked about Hancock’s role in this decision, the source said: “That decision came from him personally.”

There’s more....

Can’t see Hancock hanging on much longer if this is true . ( Frantic Gov denials)
He’s not just trying to gaslight the public but also said to be limiting scientific data including re cases, case rates, hospitalisations, capacity coming from PHE going to other Government Departments.

Even to the Cabinet Office. Sniffs air. Gove sticking the knife in? Image
Read 7 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
11 Jun
Lots of fascinating behind the scenes insights from @AmberRuddUK
In the PRE Brexit ref and post referendum period.
In 2010 when she stood for election in Hastings she was surprised how many turned up for an event about giving a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty- swamped- compared to ones where she expected high engagement :- Local hospital - 4 people; local schools- 3 people

Early warning Image
As for the the campaign.

Had Labour had a different leader other than Corbyn how much better the campaign would have been.

Agreed Image
Read 11 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
11 Jun
This 🧵 from @Dr_D_Robertson is a really good explanation about how to interpret the relationship between cases and hospitalisation, preferably early on.

Before it is too late.

Again.
Worth linking it to @AdamJKucharski 🧵 today on how long cases could continue to rise, and how they, combined with the holes in our vaccination programme and immunity defences can drive hospitalisations.
Also this from Chile that has an advanced vaccination programme yet still COVID (more ALPHA and P1 than DELTA variant to date) has found large holes in its immunity defences
Read 6 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
11 Jun
📌 23 deaths in the unvaccinated

📌19 in the 1 & 2 dose vaccinated
(7 = 1-dose +21 days; 12 = 2-dose + 14 days)

📌 So 2 dosed + 14 days vaccinated approximately half the deaths of the unvaccinated

More granular data by age and also vaccination type would be very welcome. Image
For those curious about the DELTA AY.1 sub-variant. This is the so called Nepal variant which Hancock thought we did not have. Small numbers but we have 35 (+11 other possibles). First identified here on 26 April. Image
Read 6 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
11 Jun
Delta variant around 60% more transmissible than Alpha, PHE data

⚰️ 42 (28 day) deaths :-

📌 23 were unvaccinated

📌 7 were more than 21 days after 1st dose

📌12 were more than 14 days after 2nd dose.

60 day deaths often x2 - x3 ⚰️28 day deaths
itv.com/news/2021-06-1…
No vaccine specific performance data yet re number of infections, hospitalisations, ICUs & deaths.

May be complicated due to cohorts given Pfizer v AZ

The number of Delta variant cases across the UK has increased by 70% – from 12,341 last week to 42,323 this week
@CovidCourier I’m afraid we seem to have reverted to blanked out tweets from you. Too sensitive. No idea why this happens in tweets from you and a couple of others.

I don’t have sensitive settings. Image
Read 4 tweets

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