As the rising third power in the world, India has the potential to be the center of a new Aligned Movement — an upgrade to the Non-Aligned Movement that aligns every neutral country behind Bitcoin and decentralized crypto protocols. balajis.com/add-crypto-to-…
Crucially, Crypto Capital isn't anti-American or anti-Chinese for that matter.
There are Woke Americans & Crypto Americans, Crypto Chinese & Communist Chinese.
The Crypto American is much closer to the average Chinese hodler than to Warren, Trump, or Xi Jinping.
Crypto Capital is internationalist and capitalist. It's a broad coalition, a big tent, which aligns people around the world behind rule-of-code and the sound money of BTC.
That's why it will win against the nationalist socialism of Communist Capital & Woke Capital respectively.
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An important question when thinking about the El Salvador bill is what counts as receiving BTC.
On-chain? Sure.
Lightning? Ok.
Off-chain? Probably, or else popular wallets from exchanges wouldn’t count.
But if off-chain counts, then the $8B of wrapped BTC will count... 🤔
If off-chain BTC transactions count, such as Coinbase-to-Coinbase or Binance-to-Binance, then wrapped BTC transactions will count.
If wrapped BTC counts, then you can wrap BTC on Ethereum — or any of the new chains. Just like USDC is now present on four chains, including Solana.
If wrapped BTC counts, which it likely will, then every wallet for every chain which wraps BTC is a candidate for satisfying the law — so long as it also has L1 (and perhaps L2) interoperability.
So Polygon & Solana could be handling millions of wrapped BTC transactions.
N custodial wallets are hubs and the M citizens are spokes.
If a user of wallet 1 sends a transaction to a user of wallet 2, then the transfer looks instant on their screens.
Bulk settlement happens later on-chain between wallet 1 and 2.
Let’s say there are N=10 popular custodial wallets & they all do bulk settlement with each other every 24 hours. That’s N*(N-1)/2 = 45 pairwise on-chain Bitcoin L1 transactions per day, which is feasible.
Also, add in N daily on-chain transactions with the state’s Bitcoin fund.
If I’m reading this right, all economic agents that are technologically capable of receiving BTC as payment *must* accept it as payment — though instant conversion to USD is made available to anyone who doesn’t want to take price risk.
The state of El Salvador has just mandated that all merchants in a country of 6.4M people accept BTC (with instant conversion for those who don’t want price risk).
This is a legal flippening. From “banning” Bitcoin to mandating it.
The new listing decision is making a cryptocurrency your government’s legal tender.
Cryptonetworks are attaining the scale (millions of holders) & resources (billions of dollars) to start conducting foreign policy.
Like digital proto-states, negotiating with nation states.
There are advantages for both decentralized and semi-centralized networks in this process.
A decentralized network can just be adopted. Any country can just stockpile BTC.
But a semi-centralized network, or a DAO, can offer billions in listing fees to incent national adoption.
Companies like Tesla, Amazon, and Google have negotiated with governments for some time. There are carrots & sticks on both sides. And often there is a binding promise of investment, made by a (centralized) CEO.
Cryptonetworks can now do similar things with on-chain commitments.