Avik Roy Profile picture
10 Jun, 5 tweets, 2 min read
"The Fed has monetized more than half of the Treasury issuance during the pandemic with its bond purchases, which is distorting price signals and capital allocation." @WSJOpinion: wsj.com/articles/a-mad…
@WSJopinion Why is the Fed buying so many T bills (a highly untraditional and risky practice)? Because foreign buyers and financial institutions don't find our debt attractive enough. When you hear someone say "monetizing the federal debt by printing dollars out of thin air," this is it.
@WSJopinion Let that sink in: for every dollar of federal debt that the U.S. government is newly borrowing to pay its bills, 50 cents of that debt is being lent by printing more U.S. dollars. People call this "monetary inflation" but it's really a subtle form of default.
@WSJopinion The U.S. reduces the value of all the money it owes by reducing the value of its money.
The @WSJOpinion editors conclude: "What’s undeniable is that Washington is conducting one of the most radical fiscal and monetary experiments in peacetime history."

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More from @Avik

8 Jun
Describing taxes paid as a share of wealth as a "true tax rate" is...untrue, given that the U.S. doesn't have a wealth tax. I appreciate that @ProPublica may support a wealth tax, but this framing is deceptive. As a share of income, the percentages would look much different.
The U.S. actually has the most progressive tax code in the developed world, because we don't have a national sales or consumption tax (i.e., a VAT). freopp.org/6-problems-wit…
Just to correct my initial tweet, the @ProPublica framing is about taxing unrealized capital gains, not total net worth. Still non-factual to describe that as a "true tax rate."
Read 6 tweets
6 Jun
President of El Salvador announced at @TheBitcoinConf that he is introducing a bill to make #bitcoin legal tender in the country. This is a major development in the history of monetary policy.
via @YouTube
There are many reasons why this is significant. 1/ in the US, #bitcoin is treated by the IRS as property, which means that every time you try to spend it it’s a taxable event. If $BTC is now a currency, it can be spent in a non-taxable way just like Euros or British pounds.
If the IRS needs to treat Salvadoran bitcoin as a currency, it makes bitcoin much more viable as a medium of exchange. 2/ because Salvadoran banks will need to allow citizens to deposit & withdraw bitcoin, $BTC becomes much more deeply integrated into the global banking system.
Read 29 tweets
17 Feb
Why are millions of Americans in Texas without power and heat for days amid extreme winter weather? Blame bad energy policy. wsj.com/articles/the-p… via @WSJOpinion
Great follow-up editorial from @WSJOpinion explaining why the unreliability of wind power is a big contributor to the Texas power outages. wsj.com/articles/texas…
The chart that summarizes how wind power failed from @WSJOpinion.
Read 7 tweets
8 Jan
A terrific development. CMS is allowing Tennessee to choose not to include certain drugs on its formularies. This is a simple and obvious market-based reform. I'll explain why. statnews.com/pharmalot/2021… via @statnews
If you follow health policy, you've heard of "essential health benefits," the Obamacare mandate that every insurer cover a certain set of federally-prescribed benefits. Medicaid is even worse—it mandates coverage of *every* FDA-approved drug, irrespective of its price or utility.
Because the Medicaid drug coverage mandate, euphemistically called an "open formulary," forces states to pay for every FDA drug, companies could charge whatever they want for their drugs, effectively treating taxpayers like ATMs.
Read 8 tweets
12 Nov 20
We'll see if Republicans can dig themselves out of the hole. But @JoeNBC is right on the central point: the 2020 electoral college map looks exactly the way you would expect based on demography: GA, NC, & AZ as the new bluish states; OH & TX next. FL the exception due to Cubans.
To those who roll their eyes at TX ever going blue: In 2000, GWB won Texas by 21%. 2004, 23%. 2008, McCain won TX by 12%. 2012, Romney by 16%. In 2016, Trump won it by 9%. In 2020, he won it by only 5%. We are only a couple cycles away, unless something changes.
Now, that change could be better performance by Republicans among Latinos and other minorities! But that is not the *current* GOP coalition, even with Trump's 2020 improvement on his weak 2016 numbers: forbes.com/sites/theapoth…
Read 7 tweets
10 Nov 20
This is 21st century McCarthyism, pure and simple.
I have no problem holding specific people accountable for their actions. But for a Democratic Party official to say that anyone who was appointed to a role in the Trump administration should be blacklisted from employment—that's banana republic level stuff.
Would the country have been better off if important Trump administration jobs had gone unfilled, when the proper functioning of the federal government is essential to the lives and livelihoods of every American? Come on.
Read 4 tweets

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