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Avik Roy Profile picture
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10 Nov, 4 tweets, 1 min read
This is 21st century McCarthyism, pure and simple.
I have no problem holding specific people accountable for their actions. But for a Democratic Party official to say that anyone who was appointed to a role in the Trump administration should be blacklisted from employment—that's banana republic level stuff.
Would the country have been better off if important Trump administration jobs had gone unfilled, when the proper functioning of the federal government is essential to the lives and livelihoods of every American? Come on.
More from @WSJopinion: wsj.com/articles/cance…

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More from @Avik

Avik Roy Profile picture
12 Nov
We'll see if Republicans can dig themselves out of the hole. But @JoeNBC is right on the central point: the 2020 electoral college map looks exactly the way you would expect based on demography: GA, NC, & AZ as the new bluish states; OH & TX next. FL the exception due to Cubans.
To those who roll their eyes at TX ever going blue: In 2000, GWB won Texas by 21%. 2004, 23%. 2008, McCain won TX by 12%. 2012, Romney by 16%. In 2016, Trump won it by 9%. In 2020, he won it by only 5%. We are only a couple cycles away, unless something changes.
Now, that change could be better performance by Republicans among Latinos and other minorities! But that is not the *current* GOP coalition, even with Trump's 2020 improvement on his weak 2016 numbers: forbes.com/sites/theapoth…
Read 7 tweets
Avik Roy Profile picture
19 Oct
Please wear masks, friends, especially when you're around others indoors. Masks *do* work. Masks, distancing, and hand-washing are the most important things we can do to limit #COVID19 transmission.
This @Nature article is a useful primer/response to the anti-mask arguments out there: nature.com/articles/d4158…
Here's a useful review from @WSJ on research into the efficacy of different types of face coverings. wsj.com/articles/face-…
Read 5 tweets
Avik Roy Profile picture
24 Sep
So ⁦@realDonaldTrump⁩ is announcing his “America First Healthcare Plan” today in a spacious airplane hangar. Chairs spaced out to six feet. A lot of doctors in white coats in the room. I’ll tweet out some comments as POTUS makes his remarks. Image
Senior officials who are also appearing: @SecAzar, @SeemaCMS, @MarkMeadows.
One thing to keep an eye out for: how much of today’s discussion is about Trump’s health care policies to date (price transparency, reducing drug prices) vs. what he proposes to do in a second term.
Read 17 tweets
Avik Roy Profile picture
13 Sep
So @YouTube just took down a June 23 interview that Scott Atlas (@SWAtlasHoover) did with his employer, Stanford's @HooverInst, because it "contradicts the World Health Organization or local health authorities' medical information about COVID-19." hoover.org/research/docto…
Antitrust jurisprudence and regulation in the U.S. needs to be modernized on many fronts, especially to tackle the problem of multinational technology companies that attempt to impose a monopoly on information.
Fortunately, in this case, @HooverInst has published the transcript of the interview, so you can see for yourself what Scott Atlas had to say, and why @YouTube felt the need to censor it. hoover.org/research/docto…
Read 6 tweets
Avik Roy Profile picture
1 Sep
New @FREOPP: In response to the theory that there are only 6,000 #COVID19 deaths in the U.S., we published an updated version of our international comparison of pandemic performance (part of our World Index of Healthcare Innovation project). The scorecard: freopp.org/measuring-covi…
The best way to compare mortality across countries is to look at excess deaths: mortality from all causes this year vs. the non-pandemic average. Not every country reports these stats, but the U.S. does: 214,812 excess deaths as of Aug 28, or 657 per million residents. Image
Of the countries that report excess deaths, quite a few are in the U.S.'s ballpark, including France, Sweden, Portugal, Netherlands, Belgium, Italy, Spain, UK. The last 4 are somewhat higher than the U.S., the first 4 somewhat lower. Norway and Israel stand out as top performers.
Read 7 tweets
Avik Roy Profile picture
24 Aug
THREAD: Big news today. For the first time, we have a confirmed report of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection by a patient in Hong Kong—his/her #COVID19 diagnoses were 4.5 months apart. This blows a big hole in the "let's stay locked down until there's a vaccine" position. Let me explain why.
We've been wondering how long immunity lasts after you've had #COVID19. Based on experience with common colds and other milder coronaviruses, we've expected somewhere around 6 months. This Hong Kong patient falls within that range. So why is it that immunity is so short?
A big reason for limited immunity is that coronaviruses mutate all the time, such that immunity to one version of SARS-CoV-2 doesn't necessarily confer immunity to another strain. We discussed this back in April in @FREOPP's paper on reopening the economy. freopp.org/a-new-strategy…
Read 25 tweets

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