We'll see if Republicans can dig themselves out of the hole. But @JoeNBC is right on the central point: the 2020 electoral college map looks exactly the way you would expect based on demography: GA, NC, & AZ as the new bluish states; OH & TX next. FL the exception due to Cubans.
https://twitter.com/JoeNBC/status/1326836543944843265
To those who roll their eyes at TX ever going blue: In 2000, GWB won Texas by 21%. 2004, 23%. 2008, McCain won TX by 12%. 2012, Romney by 16%. In 2016, Trump won it by 9%. In 2020, he won it by only 5%. We are only a couple cycles away, unless something changes.
Now, that change could be better performance by Republicans among Latinos and other minorities! But that is not the *current* GOP coalition, even with Trump's 2020 improvement on his weak 2016 numbers: forbes.com/sites/theapoth…
The point of talking about demographics is not to say that Republicans are doomed no matter what. It is to say that Republicans are doomed if they don't do a better job of appealing to non-white voters. And by "better" I mean meaningfully better than Trump did this month.
Having said all that: there are encouraging things about Trump's performance from a pro-pluralism standpoint. In places where Trump and Republicans aggressively courted minority votes, they substantially improved their performance. This is something all Republicans should do!
The things that helped Trump and Republicans do better with minorities: (1) sustained & consistent courtship. (2) Dem lurch toward socialism. (3) pre-COVID economic performance (tax cuts, dereg). (4) Trump's criminal justice reform (which not all Republicans support).
In other words: the things that drove modest R improvements with minorities in 2020 are things that any R could do. They are most certainly *not* reliant on, say, advocacy for reduced legal immigration.
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