Awww, did someone go and get addicted to artificially low prices of services due to restrictions on worker organizing and wage exploitation
If the mixed market has (at least temporarily) produced conditions in which workers aren’t forced to sign contracts for underpaying, mentally taxing jobs just to feed their families, it is on employers to figure out how to provide enticing alternatives to poverty wages.
Honestly, a group’s ideological goals have to be rotten to the core to produce followers who see employers competing for workers (offset by an 40¢ increase in burrito prices because executives refuse to cut their own pay) as a bad thing
… one might even expect the adherents of such an ideology to produce takes that essentially boil down to “burrito price up, government bad”
I think this is actually worth responding to
You can view government providing a higher standard of living for people as an intrusion on private markets, or a corrective to previous subpar conditions for workers. If you take the latter view then UI sets the floor for employment
I am not an economist so I’m going to stop tweeting about this now, but I can’t wrap my head around the idea that it’s a bad thing for government to provide an alternative to taking a job with poverty wages. The ultimate extension of “UI bad!” is “there should be no minimum wage”
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Contrary to what you might expect, it’s non-voters, not Trump voters, who are most likely to refuse getting vaccinated for covid-19. This makes for an interesting paradox since voting for Trump is still the strongest predictor of being vax-reluctant. Huh? gelliottmorris.substack.com/p/polls-show-n…
The solution is that many of the demographic variables that predict hesitancy *other than* being a Republican also predict non-voting. So the observed non-voting effect is actually a combo of other traits, with huge pools of people, whereas the GOP effect acts alongside them.
The big traits acting here are: not paying attention to the news, not having a degree, being young & living in rural areas. All are correlated with both political activity and hard opposition to the vaccine. (Note I am not counting people with low access as hard vax-reluctant.)
I haven’t seen this End Citizens United poll, but every national poll I’ve found has Republican support for HR 1 — and the provisions in it — way lower than 76%. It’s reasonable to assume support among WV Reps is even lower.
I think HR 1 is a fine bill and that the Senate should pass it.
But if the specific poll being reported on in the underlying MSNBC graphic is anything like this question from the same firm, fielded in March, then I’m inclined to throw it in the trash ecuactionfund.org/wp-content/upl…
To be clear, I do not think HR 1 even comes close to meeting the threats to responsive, representative government that afflict our republic today. But opposing reforms because you want a deal with the minority, anti-democratic faction is not a good way to combat these problems.
Manchin’s opposition to HR 1 could end up being extremely short-sighted, too, depending on how the next 4 years play out. If Rs nuke filibuster in 2022/24, it looks silly in hindsight. Same if R state legislatures and House Reps manufacture a GOP electoral college win in 2024.
This is good but to quibble with @Bencjacobs@dziblatt if GOP leaders were paying attention to the *majority* in polls, they would know the public is against them. The problem comes with abusing polls to reflect the factionalization they have caused. Are the people at fault here?
Yes, that’s the point — if you use polls like you “should” you arrive at a different answer than the GOP is, which means the fault is in how *they’re* analyzing the data
You don’t want to read too much into these specials. But they are, on average, pretty useful for forecasting midterms — just not in isolation. Avg D swing suggests a constant national environment since 2020… So does Congressional ballot polling and Biden’s approval rating polls.
There are (at least) three huge problems with the US & state constitutions re: election subversion. Short thread
1) State legislatures are given power over how elections are conducted and which elections are legitimate—which POTUS electors to send, which contests to certify, &c.
2) Most offices are elected on a plurality-winner district-based electoral system, which incentives zero-sum politics and rewards acting in bad faith and against partisan mutual toleration and forbearance. This is one reason why you have partisan gerrymandering, but also how you
get GA removing full certification power from the Secretary of State, why AZ Senate Rs are voting for a second partisan audit of the 2020 electoral results, which were verified by both bipartisan and non-partisan processes already, and why 75% of R voters Parrott Trump’s big lie.