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Rob Lee Profile picture
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14 Jun, 5 tweets, 2 min read
No, they wouldn't.
thetimes.co.uk/article/german…
I haven't read the report so I don't know what kind of mental gymnastics went into this conclusion. In any hypothetical conflict between Germany and Azerbaijan, Germany would have air supremacy and they have plenty of precision fires that could destroy airfields (and TB2). 2/
If this report is trying to lobby for more funds for the German military or trying to make the point that they need to do more to prepare for future warfare with UAVs, ok. Azerbaijan has a strong military for its size, but it wouldn't handle a large NATO military. 3/
The current capabilities of UCAVs aren't really that useful in a high intensity war against a country with a capable air force or air defenses (unlike the Okhotnik whenever it comes online). That is true for TB2 or Reapers going against Russia or a strong NATO military. 4/
Which is a fair assessment. 5/

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More from @RALee85

Rob Lee Profile picture
16 Jun
If you haven't read enough takes about the Biden-Putin summit, here's mine. I think the summit is a good idea, but I also don't expect to see anything significant come from it in the short term. It is an opportunity for both leaders to have a frank conversation about intentions.
Why is this important? Well, throughout the Trump administration, details of POTUS’ conversations were leaked to the press or came out during the impeachment hearings. Why would Putin feel confident that he could be honest and admit possibly damaging things over the phone? 2/
The goal is to develop rules of the road for competition with Russia while avoiding conflict, limiting competition from being too damaging, and preventing a further deterioration in relations. The US unipolar moment is over and China is the bigger long-term threat. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
10 Jun
Deputy Defense Minister Alexei Krivoruchko and Ground Forces CO Oleg Salyukov were on hand in Nizhny Novgorod to inspect some new weapon systems, including the Nabarasok program's 2S43 Malva 152mm howitzer, Drok 82mm mortar, and 2S4 Floks 120mm artillery.
tvzvezda.ru/news/202161071…
The first video I've seen of the Magnolia 120mm (same cannon as the 2S31 Vena) artillery system on a DT-30 twin-linked chassis. Also the VDV's 125mm Sprut-SDM1 light tanks. The emphasis is adapting systems/arty for the arctic and on wheeled chassis. 2/
tvzvezda.ru/news/202161071…
*Nabrosok program. Video showing the Drok 82mm mortar (on a Typhoon-VDV chassis), 2S42 Lotos 120-mm self-propelled artillery system, and the Ka-52M helicopter. 3/
tvzvezda.ru/news/202161075…
Read 4 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
8 Jun
Russia's success in Chechnya was largely due to one of the rebel commanders breaking with the other rebels, who Russia then supported and helped kill his opponents (not just Russian kinetic ops). That wasn't an option in Afghanistan, not to mention the support from Pakistan.
And uh, lets wait to see how this works out for Russia long-term. Kadyrov has only shown deference to Putin, and has his own security services that are loyal to him, which Moscow allowed (and his assassinations in Moscow). Not sure what will happen with Putin's successor.
Not to mention, Russia faced a number of awful terrorist attacks from terrorists from the North Caucasus after the kinetic portion of the 2nd war, including Nord Ost, Beslan, the 2004 and 2010 Moscow Metro bombings, and the 2011 Domodedovo Airport bombing.
Read 4 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
7 Jun
Nice size comparison of the BTR-D and BTR-MDM Rakushka airborne armored vehicles used by the VDV.
vk.com/mil?w=wall-133…
Photos of BTR-D, BMD-4M, and BTR-MDM vehicles from the VDV's 76th Air Assault Division conducting amphibious training. 2/
vk.com/mil?w=wall-133…
Photos of BTR-D, BMD-4M, and BTR-MDM vehicles from the VDV's 76th Air Assault Division conducting amphibious training. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
2 Jun
Video of a 2017 GOPLAT exercise in Crimea with FSB Special Purpose Center officers, presumably from Vympel.
vk.com/russian_sof?w=…
Second video from that 2017 FSB Special Purpose Center GOPLAT exercise. 2/
Video showing FSB Special Purpose Center dive officers during the GOPLAT exercise. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
1 Jun
Video of the Northern Fleet's Kazan Project 885M Yasen-M nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine.
tvzvezda.ru/news/202161215…
Another video of the Northern Fleet's Kazan Project 885M Yasen-M nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine arriving at its permanent base. 2/
Photos of the Kazan arriving at the Northern Fleet's naval base in Zapadnaya Litsa. 3/
vk.com/milinfolive?w=…
Read 4 tweets

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