Thread by @NjbBari3

Well…some good news. Being fully vaccinated does still appear to confer a decent amount of protection from ending up on the dreaded ventilators, or in a box. 👍🏼

Bad but expected news, infection certainly more possible with delta variant in fully vax people (COVID-19 is chipping away at vaccine efficacy).

It is more severe too (more chance of needing hospital care if infected and not fully vaccinated.

This means that large numbers of people remain at risk of severe illness in the UK, as many are partially or still unvaccinated. Suspect this new data will be fed into the model and we will get a more accurate idea of what the “exit wave” will look like in the UK.

Still no data on what long covid risks are after symptomatic infection in fully vaccinated persons.

Interpret the data carefully. It has been adjusted mathematically for age, but the exposure pyramid is still very much younger people. Events post COVID-19 still time limited.

Sometimes you just won’t get some data until more of the relevant population are exposed.

Challenges ahead. I don’t think the current settings in the UK will work. The irreversible plan will need some reversing, especially masks in schools… but cheerfully, if it is managed well and time is bought to vaccinate more people… I’m hopeful the damage can be limited.

Apparently Boris did not put a reverse gear on the juggernaut that is the UK opening up plan, so we are all going to have to get out and push.

A caution has been issued by the universe I think. Vaccine efficacy loss is not a joke, we must reduce transmission, worldwide.

A rich country like the UK can afford to say they can just update vaccines and serially vaccinate, but I suspect some LIC held their breath waiting for the results of the AZ vaccine.

We absolutely owe it to the world to help everyone reduce transmission and reduce variants.