Well…some good news. Being fully vaccinated does still appear to confer a decent amount of protection from ending up on the dreaded ventilators, or in a box. 👍🏼
Bad but expected news, infection certainly more possible with delta variant in fully vax people (COVID-19 is chipping away at vaccine efficacy).

It is more severe too (more chance of needing hospital care if infected and not fully vaccinated.
This means that large numbers of people remain at risk of severe illness in the UK, as many are partially or still unvaccinated. Suspect this new data will be fed into the model and we will get a more accurate idea of what the “exit wave” will look like in the UK.
Still no data on what long covid risks are after symptomatic infection in fully vaccinated persons.
Interpret the data carefully. It has been adjusted mathematically for age, but the exposure pyramid is still very much younger people. Events post COVID-19 still time limited.

Sometimes you just won’t get some data until more of the relevant population are exposed.
Challenges ahead. I don’t think the current settings in the UK will work. The irreversible plan will need some reversing, especially masks in schools… but cheerfully, if it is managed well and time is bought to vaccinate more people… I’m hopeful the damage can be limited.
Apparently Boris did not put a reverse gear on the juggernaut that is the UK opening up plan, so we are all going to have to get out and push.

A caution has been issued by the universe I think. Vaccine efficacy loss is not a joke, we must reduce transmission, worldwide.
A rich country like the UK can afford to say they can just update vaccines and serially vaccinate, but I suspect some LIC held their breath waiting for the results of the AZ vaccine.

We absolutely owe it to the world to help everyone reduce transmission and reduce variants.

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More from @NjbBari3

15 Jun
“Ovarian injury, including declined ovarian reserve and reproductive endocrine disorder, can be observed in women with COVID-19. More attention should be paid to their ovarian function under this pandemic, especially regarding reproductive-aged women.”frontiersin.org/articles/10.33…
Two studies coming to opposite conclusions about COVID-19 and ovarian function?

The first measures AMH, an indirect marker of ovarian reserve during natural cycles. The second measures a hormone inside the ovary and female steroid hormones produce by the ovary but during IVF>
Read 12 tweets
14 Jun
In light of today’s article detailing the fact that NSW is very comfortable with its current quarantine set up, despite the fact that we had to pause returns from a disaster zone…

How comes we can set up accomodation for students, that are engineered, but no one else?
This room is only available if you pay thousands of dollars in course fees? Should we enroll the 200 children that are unaccompanied minors stranded in India into a course at UNSW?
I think this is a good course… looks like fun.
Read 4 tweets
14 Jun
Next time there is a massive outbreak and Aussies are stuck somewhere they can’t get oxygen, bodies are floating down rivers, cremation ovens are melting, a new deadly variant or disease emerges, remember this. It was too hard. smh.com.au/national/nsw/g…
If you aren’t ready for this, you aren’t ready. If MERS makes the jump to pandemic capability, while SARS2 is still widespread… you might not even see it coming. Especially if you stop testing and decide to “live with COVID19”.

#BuildQuarantine
No matter what comes… SARS2 variants, SARS1 re-emergence, MERS…. influenzas, we should not ever be forced to abandon citizens again. Either we get help to them, or we bring them back to safety, or some combination of the two.

It is beyond shameful to do otherwise.
Read 5 tweets
14 Jun
Progress report, Aus.

COVID-19 is not airborne
COVID-19 droplets might get blown in special situations
Tiny Floating Droplet in gale force winds.
COVER YOUR EYES
Fine you can have some PPE but only if you are scared. ->
OK #COVIDisAirborne but it’s really not the main issue.

We won’t move HQ to airgapped facilities because we have much bigger problems like people touching their face and breaking protocol!

(Worker blaming +even if it were a problem, less contamination would occur outdoors!)
Honestly, anywhere west of Concorde is too remote for staff to travel to… this kind of remote medicine is not suitable for returned travellers. There’s no health infrastructure out there. How would you even get there?

(This is true. Half of Sydney has underfunded health)
Read 8 tweets
13 Jun
@BorisJohnson

B1617.2 might cause diabetes by destroying the cells that produce insulin. Letting COVID19 continue to spread at this point means that you are happy to take that risk.... with thousands of young people.

Try something new. Stop being scared of zero.
The ability to have stable COVID-19 circulation is really difficult. You have to chose between growth, or decay of COVID-19. You have to chose between waves and zero. If you choose waves, which it appears you have, you are gambling the long term health of every citizen.
I have got more extremely bad news for you. Unlike long covid, diabetes is something that we are very good at diagnosing. Its a measured metric of national health.

YOU WON‘T BE ABLE TO HIDE IT.

Think about it.
Read 4 tweets
16 Mar
Seeing as we are lucky enough to have more than one working vaccine in the world... perhaps a slightly more sensible approach to rare but significant side effects might be to avoid something in groups vulnerable to that particular side effect ->
-> An investigation into factors that might predict a particular outcome might be wise so that we can see if there are any patterns to help avoid issues more easily. Blanket reassurances or shutdowns of programs seems extreme.
I wasn’t going to say anything, but the utter rubbish on the radio in the car on the way home was enough to make anyone go nuts.

Clearly there is a question.

A bunch of politicians saying “Nah she’ll be right” is not going to help, and neither is that crazy antivax poli...!
Read 4 tweets

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