Since I am showing a lot of technical patterns on my charts, here is a thread on patterns I wrote some years ago.
Go to book : Technical analysis of stock trends by Edwards and Magee
You will probably hear a lot of traders saying that markets have changed, gone electronic etc thus patterns do not work. Understand this, patterns are made by crowd behaviour. The crowd and it's emotions remain the same.
Plus if something has stood the test of time for over a hundred years, I will trust it more than some current fad #lindy_effect . So before you go into codes and stuff, it's always better to learn the classical analysis of the markets
I see a lot of charts for patterns on Twitter, sorry to say majority is wrongly drawn or analysed. At one time used to correct, made a lot of enemies that way 😋 Hence now I do not comment on anyone's charts
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
If you remember, my original target in Zee was 235-240. One move of the 220ce from 10 to 19 done, out of trade. Will now scalp, keeping a positional trade a bit dicey
Things are getting increasingly interesting. Now NIFTY fut in VolXplosion. As usual, I have marked the last few times this signal came, you can check how Nifty behaved after that
Let me show something else on Nifty fut. This is the " extreme top bottom" marker. A play on MFI, code is open for Quantifying Breakout students. This is suggesting a probable top in place . The pic shows signals over last one year. Right in green tick, wrong in red cross
In short, Nifty is extremely overheated. Does not mean it cannot go up, but one should be very very cautious here. Still no divergences on charts from momentum oscillators
We have started taking a bullish position on ITC aiming at the results tomorrow. Trade is through an options strategy with zero or minimal loss and large profits if correct. Would you like to see the trade ?
OK, here is the position. Be aware that we are already in the position and are running at a small profit
Sell 1*210CE and buy 2*222.5CE June
Call Backspread
Nifty fut and BankNifty fut : positional structure analysis through classical technical analysis. This does not mean the indices will go up straight from tomorrow and you can buy far OTM weekly options. I am using this as the main structure to time by bullish trades
Nifty fut at All Time Highs 1. No divergences 2. Trendline brkout on price 3. Breakout on RSI 4. Breakout on MFI 5. MACD slope firmly up 6. Momentum in tandem with price
Targeting for this move. I break up the targeting as per my experience ( i know it's not classical). The BLUE line is the classical target, but I don't have that kind of time patience
Yesterday I gave a positional Nifty options trade on @CNBC_Awaaz . The trade was :
Short 1*15200CE and Long 2*15350CE ( debit 36)
SL was 15 mins trading below 15280 ( which did not happen). If this SL was triggered, one would have lost max 20 points, meaning Rs.1500 per lot
Today I would suggest booking profits around 15500 Nifty fut. The payoff graph is given below. One should make around Rs.5000-5500 per lot.
DO NOT carry this trade overnight today. SL for today is 15 mins trading below 15450
The trade given on the SBI was long naked 415CE June ( second half of the show). This was a BTST call, so book within 9.30 whether at profit or at loss
Will start this thread with a disclaimer. I have never invested a rupee in cryptos 😀
But I have studied bull and bear cycles and financial bubbles extensively. Saw 1992, 2000, 2008 with own eyes. The first one as a novice, the next two when I knew to analyze
The amount of chatter I am seeing in friends, family and social media about cryptos has gone through the roof. For everyone, it's a dream to make 100x or even 1000x easily. Basically, become stinking rich easily
( it never happens )
In any financial bubble, the top is made in extreme speed and violence. The distribution happens on the way down. Unless one saw the rates of 65k on bitcoin, one wouldn't buy at 30-35k or 20k. That 65k is an anchor point which leads to greed