Reported deaths are always high on Tuesdays (post-weekend), but this is significantly higher and this is highest reported in months. Trend is clearly going up again 👇
While Gauteng is the epicentre of #COVID19 in South Africa, 3rd wave is now entrenched across the country and spreading across almost all provinces now (NC and FS may be past their peaks) 📈
The 3rd wave of hospitalisations is here! #COVID19 numbers are about to exceed previous peaks. We're entering uncharted territory. How high we go is still up to us,and our collective behaviour! #Rid1TweetsonCovid
Gauteng is currently the epicentre of South Africa's 3rd wave, and the most populous province in SA 🇿🇦
There have been over 35000 new cases reported in Gauteng over the past 7 days, i.e. an average of over 5000 per day, up 88% compared to the previous week 📈
Here's a look at the key metrics of case incidence and test positivity rate per province in South Africa 📊
Quite a lot going on between the provinces, so I'll make this a thread 👇
Let's start with good news!
Northern Cape and Free State showing promising signs of a decline. Both are still at very high case incidence rates,so certainly not out of the woods yet 📉
NC case incidence rose up to 1.5 times previous peak.
FS went up to 90% of 2nd wave's peak 🌄
Gauteng is most concerning at the moment 🚩
Average of 2,531 cases/day over the past week; 52% of total cases in SA ⬆️
Cases in GP currently doubling every 2 weeks 📈
Hospital admissions also increasing, up +30% week-on-week. More deaths being reported now too ⚠️
By province, NC and FS continue to increase further:
• NC incidence rate +60% or doubling every 10 days. Case incidence at 64% of its 2nd wave peak
• FS +23% week-on-week. Case incidence at 41% of its 2nd wave peak
• All other provinces stable with curves flat-lining this week
Rate of testing up +7% to ~29k tests per day over the past week. Nationally, the increase is testing has kept up with the increase in the rate of infections this week
Confirmed #COVID19 cases up in all 9 provinces this week, but 3 are of particular concern atm:
• NC +104% and incidence rate at 40% of its 2nd wave peak = 3rd wave/resurgence of 2nd wave
• FS +63% and incidence rate now at 33% of its 2nd wave peak = start of 3rd wave
• NW +57%
Trends in test positivity rates per province confirms the increase in infection rates in NC, FS and NW, with positivity rate in MP also of concern: