Thread by @militaryblower

*TIME TO REASON TOGETHER*
- *UNDERSTANDING THE TREND OF WAR*

I want our people, both the pro and anti agitations factions on the field and the social media, to understand the trend of war.

*NOTE*

It is always a trend.
...

From Libya to Syria to Yemen to CAR to Somalia to Liberia to Sierra Leone to Ivory Coast to Rwanda and Sudan.
Here are the stages:

*PLOT* *1*

People's protests or agitations

*PLOT* *2*

Many try to encourage them based on their conceived interests.

Police & Army are called in to disperse protesters/agitators.

*PLOT* *3*

Mob retaliates and burns down government and influential leaders' assets.

*PLOT* *4*

Army and police withdraw due to international pressure. They begin to guard their barracks only.

#Thread

*PLOT* *5*

Anarchy sets in. Mob goes after assets of prominent figures and in some cases notable government officials.

Powerful and influential people flee abroad with their families.
#Nigerians
@woye1

*PLOT* *6*

Mob goes after assets and lives of middle class or anyone that has semblance of wealth or connection with the government.

Estates housing the middle classes or government officials are attacked.

(Remember, no more police or army to protect them).

*PLOT* *7*

Full scale war breaks out as opportunists with group interests and egos take over.

*NOTE* : It is an open secret that a few groups have been campaigning for the break up of the country. This might be their legitimate demand but it should be through dialogues.

Competing interests for wars end up tearing the country apart.

*PLOT* *8*

Refugees flee the country in millions to become beggars in other countries.

*NOTE*
Which country in West Africa has the capacity to take refugees from our country, Nigeria?

(Remember, the population of Lagos State alone is higher than that of most West African countries).

*PLOT* *9*

I heard some people are saying US will come in.

I laughed.

To do what?

Has the US finished solving its own many problems.

Common, this is not the 1960s!

No external forces will quell the
in-fighting.

It will be our cup of tea.

(Remember, a few of them have predicted that our country might not exist in the next few years).

Gotten it?

The internal wars will be a continuous recurring decimation.

With no uniting force, no military or police or government, we might have the Libya scenario.

I hope we are paying attention and making efforts to tow the path of jawjaw.

All those mansions, designers this and that, and even loved ones could disappear in the twinkle of an eye.

Those abroad that are fanning the flames will be eating Kentucky chicken in their respective cozy homes.

US, UK and the UN will turn blind eye, except the UN peace keepers who will be kept in one expensive hotel - Remember hotel Rwanda?

UK, US will sell us arms and buy free passage and licences to mine our natural resources.

"What we all need NOW is CAUTION* *FROM ALL SIDES*.

If we continue this way, no one will be the winner.
@UnrollThread

If the country scatters, God forbid, no group or faction will get what they want, not even the youths or the celebrities calling the shot via the social media.

Parents who have seen wars before must call their children and wards to order and reasons.

*History more often records the brilliant successes and spectacular defeats of contending forces than the effect of war on the common people.Again I cite the example of - South Sudan, Libya, Syria, Iraq, Sierra Leone - years of wanton destruction, loss of lives and livelihoods.

Everything and everyone will be on the route to destruction. Millions of Naira in the bank will be worth less than toilet rolls. I saw this life in Somalia, Liberia, and Sierra Leone.
This is no longer about who is right or wrong, it is about who will be safe?*
@threadreaderapp