Thread by @kazweida

In today's thread, we're asking if the US is on track to meet 70% of adult Americans getting one shot by July 4th.

The short answer is it depends.
And contrary to popular belief it actually doesn't solely depend on convincing red states to roll up their sleeves.
(THREAD)

(2) Let's start with where we're at. There's been some confusion about what we're measuring. If you look at states with 70% of eligible residents vaccinated, those numbers are abysmal.

Fortunately, Biden's goal is just adults (18+)
And that makes a big difference. We're at 65%.

(3) BUT there is a HUGE difference from state to state and as you might expect it depends entirely on whether we're talking red or rural areas.

Yes. Red states are dragging our average down. Way down.

(4) But we've got other states already hitting the goal and reaching beyond, notably most of the east and west coast.

It's important to note that much of the data used to make these graphs is measuring eligible residents or all residents and not just adults.

(5) Biden's goal is more modest, but we've still got a lot of ground to cover in the next two weeks.

So is it possible to get 5% of American adults to get a shot between now and the fourth of July? Maybe. But it's gonna take a different strategy.

washingtonpost.com/health/2021/06…

(6) This is what is called "last mile" vaccinations. Folks who won't schedule an appointment or walk into a clinic but if you bring the vaccine to them, they'll roll up their sleeve.

Employers & doctors have a critical role to play in this final push.

dailyherald.com/news/20210608/…

(7) So just how many people need to be vaccinated to reach 70%? Thank goodness someone else did the math so I don't have to.

"Roughly 13.6 million would have to receive their first shot over the next 18 days to hit Biden’s 70% target."

cnbc.com/2021/06/17/pre…

(8) That's an average of 756,000 vaccinations a day. Right now we're averaging 336,000 newly vaccinated adults per day over the past week.

That's simply not going to cut it. We'd have to nearly double the pace.

(9) There is some evidence that the pace of vaccinations is picking up a bit in some states, but it likely won't be enough to get us over the finish line on either of Biden's goals.

I know. I'm SO frustrated.
Covid=less dying. I mean come on.

abc17news.com/news/health-ne…

(10) If there is a silver lining it's that most experts didn't think we'd be here yet. 44% percent of all Americans are fully vaccinated. The light at the end of the tunnel is bright. We just have to get there before the variants do.

(END) Appreciate your dropping by our #ThursdayThread. Come back next week and we'll do this again.

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(CORRECTION) Obviously I wanted to type "Covid vaccine =less dying" but I have a feeling you got the idea.