In today's thread, we're asking if the US is on track to meet 70% of adult Americans getting one shot by July 4th.

The short answer is it depends.
And contrary to popular belief it actually doesn't solely depend on convincing red states to roll up their sleeves.
(2) Let's start with where we're at. There's been some confusion about what we're measuring. If you look at states with 70% of eligible residents vaccinated, those numbers are abysmal.

Fortunately, Biden's goal is just adults (18+)
And that makes a big difference. We're at 65%.
(3) BUT there is a HUGE difference from state to state and as you might expect it depends entirely on whether we're talking red or rural areas.

Yes. Red states are dragging our average down. Way down.
(4) But we've got other states already hitting the goal and reaching beyond, notably most of the east and west coast.

It's important to note that much of the data used to make these graphs is measuring eligible residents or all residents and not just adults.
(5) Biden's goal is more modest, but we've still got a lot of ground to cover in the next two weeks.

So is it possible to get 5% of American adults to get a shot between now and the fourth of July? Maybe. But it's gonna take a different strategy.…
(6) This is what is called "last mile" vaccinations. Folks who won't schedule an appointment or walk into a clinic but if you bring the vaccine to them, they'll roll up their sleeve.

Employers & doctors have a critical role to play in this final push.…
(7) So just how many people need to be vaccinated to reach 70%? Thank goodness someone else did the math so I don't have to.

"Roughly 13.6 million would have to receive their first shot over the next 18 days to hit Biden’s 70% target."…
(8) That's an average of 756,000 vaccinations a day. Right now we're averaging 336,000 newly vaccinated adults per day over the past week.

That's simply not going to cut it. We'd have to nearly double the pace.
(9) There is some evidence that the pace of vaccinations is picking up a bit in some states, but it likely won't be enough to get us over the finish line on either of Biden's goals.

I know. I'm SO frustrated.
Covid=less dying. I mean come on.…
(10) If there is a silver lining it's that most experts didn't think we'd be here yet. 44% percent of all Americans are fully vaccinated. The light at the end of the tunnel is bright. We just have to get there before the variants do.
(END) Appreciate your dropping by our #ThursdayThread. Come back next week and we'll do this again.

Like threads like this and want to keep them coming? You can support my work here:
(CORRECTION) Obviously I wanted to type "Covid vaccine =less dying" but I have a feeling you got the idea.

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More from @kazweida

15 Jun
In today's thread we're tackling a complicated question. Why are Dems even trying to negotiate with Republicans at this point?

My answer is simple. Why are you pretending they don't have to? Bi-partisan solutions aren't a political luxury right now. They're a necessity.
(2) There's a push by the media to frame every effort at passing legislation as Democrats too weak to play hard ball and Biden as niave.

This is disingenous because it entirely discounts the political reality of a split Senate. We don't have the votes.…
(3) We can't even corral our current caucus into ditching the fillibuster to supporting voting rights, nevermind garnering Republican votes.

The Senate is designed to support minority rule. And that's a problem we can't fix right now.…
Read 11 tweets
8 Jun
In our #TuesdayThread we're taking a closer look at what the hell is going on with the DOJ. Confirmation that they will continue to defend Trump in the E. Jean Carroll lawsuit is utterly infuriating.

Why would the DOJ defend Trump and what does it mean?
(2) First it's important to be clear what the lawsuit is about. Trump is being held personally liable for defamation in regards to remarks he made about Carroll while president.

The results of this lawsuit do have wider implications.…
(3) DOJ lawyers working under the Trump administration had already argued federal workers are protected from lawsuits while executing the duties of their office. A trial judge rejected that argument and the DOJ appealed.

Enter Biden.…
Read 11 tweets
25 May
In today's thread we're asking what should be done about January 6th?

Republicans want the public to forget about it.
We can't let them gaslight us about what happened that day, but here's why we don't hold enough cards to force their hand.
(2) The resolution to establish the commission passed the Dem-controlled house but it appears doomed in the Senate thanks to the filibuster.

So far Murkowski, Romney, and Collins have indicated they'd support the commmission but 10 GOP votes is doubtful.…
(3) What we can't do however is let an attempted coup and insurrection fade from public memory. Our nation's capitol and our lawmakers faced a domestic terrorist attack incited by Trump.

There must be consequences or democracy will continue to suffer.…
Read 10 tweets
29 Apr
A study of a clustered outbreak of the South African variant in Maryland highlights a few important takeaways:

-at least three fully vaccinated people were infected, but the only hospitalizations and deaths occurred among the unvaccinated

(2) Contact tracing indicates this exposure occurred at an indoor small gathering where masks were worn but removed for eating. At least one person at the gathering was symptomatic at that time and is presumed to be the origin of the infection.
(3) The symptomatic person appears to have contracted the variant at a workplace that had already been reported to the CDC for coronavirus safety violations including people reporting for work sick and lack of social distancing and masking.
Read 6 tweets
27 Apr
In our Tuesday thread, we're tackling something that has perplexed the public for years. Why is Tucker Carlson still on the air?

From championing replacement theory to advocating harassing children wearing masks, Carlson feeds dangerous rhetoric to the public.
(THREAD) Image
(2) If you feel like this is a question we've been asking for YEARS, you're not wrong. Tucker has had so many scandals and calls for boycotts that most of us have lost track.

So why is he still on the air and how does Fox justify keeping him around?…
(3) Probably the most important thing to recognize is that boycotts of Tucker's advertisers haven't been effective in shutting down his rhetoric for a reason. Even as the show bleeds ad revenue, Fox still benefits from the outrage clicks Tucker generates.…
Read 10 tweets
22 Apr
In our #ThursdayThread we're discussing how Majorie Taylor Greene wants to debate @AOC on the Green New Deal. Should Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez consent to debate Greene in a public forum?

Fuck no.
Here's the top five reasons why.

(2) Reason #1:
Greene hasn't even bothered to read the bill, which is only 14 pages and pretty easily digestible.

There's no surer sign that this is a publicity stunt than Greene's lack of awareness about the topic she's proposing debating.…
(3) Reason #2:
Greene is a professional provocateur. She's not there to debate policy. She's a clout chaser.

The easiest way to get her to stop poisoning political discourse is to ignore her bad faith antics.…
Read 9 tweets

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