Winning the Tory stronghold since the seat was first created in 1974, look at the huge changes to the share of the vote in Chesham and Amersham. Voters believed it was a two horse race
LDEM: 56.7% (+30.4)
CON: 35.5% (-19.9)
GRN: 3.9% (-1.6)
LAB: 1.6% (-11.2)
REFUK: 1.1% (+1.1)
LDEM: 56.7% (+30.4)
CON: 35.5% (-19.9)
GRN: 3.9% (-1.6)
LAB: 1.6% (-11.2)
REFUK: 1.1% (+1.1)
Huge collapse in the Tory vote definitely wasn’t seen coming by many in Tory circles - it’s MPs expected to hold on by around 1,500. They lost by 8,028
One Tory told me yesterday alarm bells rang only when colleagues were getting out the vote. “Half said they wouldn’t vote for us and the other half wouldn’t look at us in the eye which is never a good sign”
Tbf leading Lib Dem’s a week ago were also sceptical they’d win
Tbf leading Lib Dem’s a week ago were also sceptical they’d win
So apart from anything else a huge fail for the political consensus…
The Labour figure is pretty disastrous - 1.6% falling behind the Greens.
BUT counterintuitively, Labour needs a strong Lib Dem’s taking Tory votes to be competitive. Exactly what happened here. So I suspect Labour HQ will have mixed feelings about today’s result
BUT counterintuitively, Labour needs a strong Lib Dem’s taking Tory votes to be competitive. Exactly what happened here. So I suspect Labour HQ will have mixed feelings about today’s result
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