Going offline for a few weeks to finish my book manuscript and finally get married (after nearly a year delay from covid). See y’all ✌️
by the way (and nobody is paying me to say this) i have found @ScrivenerApp to be an invaluable tool for composing long works of writing. my two tips for writing have long been (a) to go out for aimless walks regularly, like the greeks did, and (b) to learn how to use scrivener
(there is a long and fascinating history of philosophy and walking that is much richer than the story of thales falling down a well (which is potentially fallacious) or than the stuff you hear from the bandwagon Lindy adoptees today. if you’re interested: amazon.com/Philosophy-Wal…)
i have fewer tips about relationships, except my fiancée is dope — ok bye

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More from @gelliottmorris

16 Jun
"Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of critical race theory?"
Democrats: 86% favorable
Republicans: 91% unfavorable

"Do you believe teaching critical race theory is..."
Dems: 85% "good for America"
Reps: 88% "bad"

Rs are also 10 points likelier than Ds to say they have heard "a lot" about critical race theory, and among that group, Rs are 15 points likelier to say they have a firm understanding of it. Talk about partisan cues!
Sorry, to clarify, the population for the first question is people who (a) have heard "a lot" or "a little" about CRT AND (b) who say they know what it is
Read 4 tweets
12 Jun
It is very hard to distinguish the far right’s position on labor policy from “the free market is only good when it hurts poor people”
Awww, did someone go and get addicted to artificially low prices of services due to restrictions on worker organizing and wage exploitation
If the mixed market has (at least temporarily) produced conditions in which workers aren’t forced to sign contracts for underpaying, mentally taxing jobs just to feed their families, it is on employers to figure out how to provide enticing alternatives to poverty wages.
Read 7 tweets
10 Jun
Contrary to what you might expect, it’s non-voters, not Trump voters, who are most likely to refuse getting vaccinated for covid-19. This makes for an interesting paradox since voting for Trump is still the strongest predictor of being vax-reluctant. Huh?
The solution is that many of the demographic variables that predict hesitancy *other than* being a Republican also predict non-voting. So the observed non-voting effect is actually a combo of other traits, with huge pools of people, whereas the GOP effect acts alongside them.
The big traits acting here are: not paying attention to the news, not having a degree, being young & living in rural areas. All are correlated with both political activity and hard opposition to the vaccine. (Note I am not counting people with low access as hard vax-reluctant.)
Read 4 tweets
8 Jun
I don’t agree with his decision at all, but the answer might be that Manchin’s looking at better polling data than this
I haven’t seen this End Citizens United poll, but every national poll I’ve found has Republican support for HR 1 — and the provisions in it — way lower than 76%. It’s reasonable to assume support among WV Reps is even lower.

I think HR 1 is a fine bill and that the Senate should pass it.

But if the specific poll being reported on in the underlying MSNBC graphic is anything like this question from the same firm, fielded in March, then I’m inclined to throw it in the trash ecuactionfund.org/wp-content/upl… Image
Read 7 tweets
7 Jun
Democracy Dies in the Senate
To be clear, I do not think HR 1 even comes close to meeting the threats to responsive, representative government that afflict our republic today. But opposing reforms because you want a deal with the minority, anti-democratic faction is not a good way to combat these problems.
Manchin’s opposition to HR 1 could end up being extremely short-sighted, too, depending on how the next 4 years play out. If Rs nuke filibuster in 2022/24, it looks silly in hindsight. Same if R state legislatures and House Reps manufacture a GOP electoral college win in 2024.
Read 6 tweets
3 Jun
This is good but to quibble with @Bencjacobs @dziblatt if GOP leaders were paying attention to the *majority* in polls, they would know the public is against them. The problem comes with abusing polls to reflect the factionalization they have caused. Are the people at fault here?
Yes, that’s the point — if you use polls like you “should” you arrive at a different answer than the GOP is, which means the fault is in how *they’re* analyzing the data
Yeah yeah we all understand each other I’m just on my hobby horse here
Read 4 tweets

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