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Aaron Derfel

22 Jun, 9 tweets, 4 min read

1) Quebec Premier François Legault floated the idea on Monday of a vaccine lottery to encourage younger adults to get their #COVID19 shots, this after a relatively low 57,000 doses were administered in the province on Saturday. montrealgazette.com/news/quebec/qu…

2) Although Quebec is facing a delay in a Pfizer shipment that was supposed to be delivered over the weekend (and will arrive instead on June 24 or June 25), the latest stats show that Quebecers aged 18 to 29 still trail other demographics, including 12 to 17-year-olds.

3) With the province opening up this summer and #COVID19 variants circulating, full vaccination is critical. But on Monday, just 16.87% of Quebec’s population was fully immunized, up from 16.25% the day before. Quebec can and should do much better.

4) Another problem is relatively low #COVID19 testing. It’s true that fewer tests are being conducted, in part part, because fewer people are getting infected, but rapid tests can play an important role. Yet Quebec continues to balk at the rapid tests other provinces are using.

5) Quebec’s public health institute released more data on genetically sequenced #COVID19 variants on Monday. Since June 9, Quebec authorities have not reported any new cases of the Delta variant, although such cases are rising in other provinces. Frankly, this is quite baffling.

6) Meanwhile, Montreal posted 36 #COVID19 cases on Monday, down form 37 the day before. It appears that the incidence in the city has descended to a lower plateau in the daily case range of the 30s. Please see the chart below.

7) After an uptick of three on Sunday, #COVID19 outbreaks across the province resumed falling. The tally stood at 159, down by nine from the day before. Clusters decreased the most in schools (down by six to 58), followed by daycares (down three to 17).

8) The number of active cases in schools dropped by 127 to 479, according to a chart released Monday by the Quebec Education Ministry. Twenty-nine fewer classes were shut while two more schools closed temporarily. This will become moot once schools close for the summer Wednesday.

9) And in a heartening development, Quebec again declared no new #COVID19 deaths on Monday, and hospitalizations dipped by two to 168 across the province. To suggest these stats were hard won is an understatement. End of thread. Go get vaccinated if you haven’t already.

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More from @Aaron_Derfel

Aaron Derfel

@Aaron_Derfel

24 Jun

1) Quebec on Wednesday fell from second to third place in its #COVID19 vaccination rate among provinces, behind British Columbia. Surprisingly, Ontario is now in first place among provinces, as the chart below indicates.

2) What’s more, nearly 24% of Ontario’s population is fully vaccinated compared with 18.86% in Quebec. Clearly, Quebec has a lot more to do to find ways for younger adults to get vaccinated, including the possibility of paid leave to workers seeking second shots.

3) Despite lower-than-expected vaccinations and #COVID19 testing, Montreal continues to report reassuring numbers under the direction of its apolitical head of public health, Dr. Mylène Drouin. The chart below shows a decrease of 30 #COVID19 outbreaks in the city since last week.

Read 11 tweets

Aaron Derfel

@Aaron_Derfel

23 Jun

1) Quebec on Tuesday fell from first to second place in its #COVID19 vaccination rate among provinces, ceding the coveted spot to British Columbia. This reflects the fact that Quebec has been struggling to encourage younger adults to go get their shots.

2) On Tuesday, Quebec Premier François Legault again suggested a vaccine lottery for those who have been immunized fully, but there are other incentives that might be more effective, like giving workers a paid time off to get their shots, as other provinces are doing.

3) As things now stand, at least 17.79% of Quebec’s population has been fully immunized and 70.3% partially. At the current rate of 600,000 vaccination a week, it would probably take another nine weeks to fully vaccinate most of the province’s population.

Read 8 tweets

Aaron Derfel

@Aaron_Derfel

1 May

1) Quebec on Friday reported five more cases of the feared P.1 variant, including a single case for the first time in the Capitale-Nationale region. In this thread, I will provide an update on the more transmissible variants circulating in the province.

2) The P.1 variant has been responsible for the massive third wave in Brazil that has caused tens of thousands of #COVID19 deaths. But to date, Quebec has reported 30 confirmed cases of P.1. That compares with 645 in Ontario, 944 in Alberta and 2,063 in British Columbia.

3) The predominant variant by far in Quebec is B.1.1.7. Quebec’s public health institute reported 364 more sequenced cases of B.1.1.7., which was first detected in the U.K. Montreal continues to post the highest number of B.1.1.7 cases in the province.

Read 9 tweets

Aaron Derfel

@Aaron_Derfel

30 Apr

1) Even as Quebec has made laudable progress in reducing the number of #COVID19 hospitalizations while ramping up vaccinations, hot spots remain — a warning that the #pandemic will probably continue here for months to come. In this thread, I will examine some of those hot spots.

2) As of Wednesday, 35% of Quebec’s population had been partially inoculated and 3.69% had received the second dose. Federal guidelines recommend vaccine coverage of 75% with one dose and 20% with two doses to achieve collective immunity.

3) Among the potential #COVID19 hot spots are hospitals and eldercare homes. Emergency-room workers at St. Mary’s Hospital received their first doses of the Pfizer vaccine in January, and 18 still got infected in an outbreak. montrealgazette.com/news/local-new…

Read 10 tweets

Aaron Derfel

@Aaron_Derfel

29 Apr

1) In my Twitter thread yesterday, I wrote about how Montreal has continued to defy the odds in the third wave. But that doesn’t mean the #pandemic is over in the city — far from it. In this thread, I will highlight some lingering problems.

2) First, the number of #COVID19 outbreaks in the city inched up by four to 281 since last week. What’s more, the majority involve the more transmissible variants. Still, the head of the Montreal public health department cautioned that the clusters are small. See the chart below.

3) And although #COVID19 outbreaks decreased in the workplace in Montreal since a week ago, they increased in grocery stores. Clusters also went up in both health-care institutions and schools, likely fueled by the variants. Please take a look at the chart below.

Read 10 tweets

Aaron Derfel

@Aaron_Derfel

25 Apr

1) At least one in four Montrealers who's received a first vaccine dose has by now built up enough immunity to not only fend off a #COVID19 infection, but to limit the spread of the virus in the city. In this thread, I'll explore the subject of vaccine coverage in the metropolis.

2) As of April 10, two weeks ago, 25.94% of Montreal’s population had received one #COVID19 vaccine dose. That means that the more than 15,000 people who got vaccinated on that date are now considered to have built up enough immunity, along with those who were inoculated before.

3) Obviously, this segment of the population needs the second dose, the sooner the better. But for now at least, the mass vaccinations appear to have blunted the third wave in Montreal, along with the #pandemic restrictions.

Read 12 tweets

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