🧵Important new paper
Hinkel, J., et al. "Uncertainty and bias in global to regional scale assessments of current and future coastal flood risk." Earth's Future: e2020EF001882.
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.102…
Hinkel, J., et al. "Uncertainty and bias in global to regional scale assessments of current and future coastal flood risk." Earth's Future: e2020EF001882.
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.102…
Many projections of the future effects of climate change ignore adaptation
For flood damage that leads to a variation factor of 1,300x!!
Compare ice sheet uncertainty that varies by as much as 3.8x
For flood damage that leads to a variation factor of 1,300x!!
Compare ice sheet uncertainty that varies by as much as 3.8x
SLR uncertainties are dwarfed by adaptive capacity
This is similar to my 2007 paper on future hurricane losses
Pielke Jr 2007. Future economic damage from tropical cyclones: sensitivities to societal and climate changes. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365:2717-2729
doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2…
Pielke Jr 2007. Future economic damage from tropical cyclones: sensitivities to societal and climate changes. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365:2717-2729
doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2…
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