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Roger Pielke Jr. Profile picture
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22 Jun, 5 tweets, 1 min read
The siren song of selling RCP8.5 to gullible customers in the finance industry attracts a few more climate scientists …

Climate Scientists Dr. James Kossin and Dr. Timothy Hall Join The Climate Service, a Leading Provider of Climate Risk Analytics finance.yahoo.com/news/climate-s…
I wouldn’t deny anyone the right to sell their services to the highest bidder, go for it

But this raises a COI eyebrow …
“A strategic advisor with The Climate Service since the company's early day…”

I don’t believe any of his papers disclosed the relationship & now it’s a job
In medicine or energy or any field having an undisclosed relationship with a company that yields financial benefits is expected to be disclosed

Even in climate

Lots of this goes on
And it shouldn’t
Funny thing (to me at least)
I was investigated by the US Congress based on allegation of secret relationships w/ corporations

There weren’t/aren’t any

But there are plenty in this field out in plain sight

Research ethics shouldn’t be a function of how popular your research is
The increasingly common revolving door among those involved in RCP8.5 studies, consulting, and policy is gonna need a lot more attention

RCP8.5 is not simply an outdated scenario that warps climate science in perverse ways

It is also a growing industry 💰💰

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More from @RogerPielkeJr

Roger Pielke Jr. Profile picture
23 Jun
For those folks complaining that a single trans athlete at Tokyo is squeezing out the participation of a non-trans athlete ... let me know when you start complaining that at Tokyo there are (according to IOC) 267 more male athletes than female athletes, squeezing out ~133 females
Reminder instant mute policy is on, so don't be a jerk
And in the Paralympic Games Tokyo 2020, there will be 836 more men than women participants, squeezing out ~418 women

So you care deeply about fairness in elite sport participation? Great

Here are ~550 P/Olympic spots taken by men that (in fairness) should go to women

Outraged?
Read 4 tweets
Roger Pielke Jr. Profile picture
22 Jun
Watch this space
Say "deleted sequences" and you have my attention

This is another example where science institutions may have info not publicly available that might be worth sharing -- in this case the requests/justifications from depositors of the sequences for their deletion
This is pretty interesting, from the pre-print Image
Read 4 tweets
Roger Pielke Jr. Profile picture
22 Jun
🧵Important new paper
Hinkel, J., et al. "Uncertainty and bias in global to regional scale assessments of current and future coastal flood risk." Earth's Future: e2020EF001882.
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.102…
Many projections of the future effects of climate change ignore adaptation

For flood damage that leads to a variation factor of 1,300x!!

Compare ice sheet uncertainty that varies by as much as 3.8x Image
SLR uncertainties are dwarfed by adaptive capacity Image
Read 5 tweets
Roger Pielke Jr. Profile picture
22 Jun
Here I find myself 100% in agreement with @Scienceofsport on the scientific issues but largely in disagreement about the policy issues

A good example how it is that science doesn’t always/often settle policy disagreements - sometimes it starts them
Our policy differences result from different views of “competitive sport”

Ross see it to “reward performance excellence” based on “physiology”
Well, yes
This is true like the stock market exists to “reward business excellence” based on “economics”
But there’s a lot more going on
Competitive sport actually has a history
And we can look at history to see justifications provided when it was created
And it turns out, it’s a pretty complicated & sordid history, reflective of the broader society of which sport is a part
That’s right - Sport is part of society
Read 11 tweets
Roger Pielke Jr. Profile picture
21 Jun
🧵
Some thoughts on guidelines for the appropriate use of climate scenarios in climate assessments intended to inform policy
Any scenario that is used to project a future deemed plausible needs to be justified explicitly in terms of plausibility

Presently this is almost never done
Here is an example of a plausibility analysis: cliccs.uni-hamburg.de/results/hambur…
Here is another: osf.io/preprints/soca…
The language of scenarios lends itself to confusion

scenarios can be inputs or outputs
scenario outputs can be pathways
pathways can result from many scenarios

Precision in language is needed, not for standardization, but for simple communication
Read 9 tweets
Roger Pielke Jr. Profile picture
21 Jun
Supreme Court judgment in Alston
Here-->
supremecourt.gov/opinions/20pdf…

"amateur" in scare quotes in second sentence👀
Important passage
We likely won't be hearing much more about Board of Regents from NCAA in future cases on compensation
Another passage I expect to be hearing invoked again in the future . . .
Read 8 tweets

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