A thread on trade agreements - namely the CPTPP - and why the devil is in the detail (thread)
1) You will have heard a lot of rather general statements on the CPTPP. "These are roughly the economic gains - altogether I favor membership, but more because of its strategic value than immediate economic benefits" (yes, I'm guilty of that, too. /2
2) Behind these headlines, there's a whole number of really complex questions that make a significant difference in reality - and that also illustrate why more eyes on an FTA is better, to spot any issues. /3
3) I will only give you one issue, that the @HLIntAgreements has pointed out, but that can make quite a bit of a difference. /4
4) CPTPP legally is an agreement that is largely based on the incorporation of TPP, with some exceptions. /5 dfat.gov.au/sites/default/…
5) TPP is a free trade agreement that - like all modern free trade agreements - has provisions on intellectual property, requiring parties to align their laws according to the content of the agreement. /6
6) With regard to patents, TPP requires parties to provide for a grace period. What is a grace period?
7) Patents are granted on inventions that are new, useful and non-obvious. The question here is: what is new. If it has been published before, for example, it isn't new. You cannot patent it. (I simplify a bit)
8) In some countries, however, there's a grace period: if the inventor herself published the invention, she can still get a patent if she files within 12 months.
9) Now the TPP makes this mandatory
10) Quitte a few of the TPP provisions on intellectual property are amongst those provisions not applicable in the context of the CPTPP (referred to as "suspended"). But Art. 18.38 on the grace period is not suspended (not listed here).
11) Now the UK is also a party to the European Patent Convention. That's a system with 38 member states (no an EU system) harmonizing and simplifying filing for patents within Europe. epo.org/about-us/found…
12) The EPC does not have a grace period. In fact, its rules require a different approach to novelty.
13) Now this difference has already led to discussions between patent offices in the Tegernsee process. Their conclusion: harmonization of grace periods is difficult.
14) As the two provisions in the CPTPP and the EPC are incompatible, at first sight this puts a stark choice to the UK: leave the EPC to join the CPTPP? The economic cost would be significant (and IMHO might well turn the net benefit of the CPTPP negative).
15) However, that's not necessarily the case. The UK can set a red line and make clear that it cannot join the CPTPP if that means leaving the EPC. I am rather confident that this issue can be resolved and the UK exempted from that provision.
16) My point here is: these "technical" "little" things can have an enormous difference. We need to make sure that a) they're identified properly and b) evaluated properly and c) taken account of in UK positions.
To add to today's debate about a quarantine requirement in the EU for travelers from the UK - one criticism is: why no exception for the fully vaccinated? /1
Worthwhile to point out: the UK has almost all EU Member States on the amber list. Consequence? Quarantine - without exception for the fully vaccinated /2
(Here's the website) gov.uk/guidance/red-a… So maybe we can stop the "oh the EU is angry because of Brexit" stuff and get straight to: WHY is it that neither side recognizes the vaccination of the other side? /3
When FTAs go mainstream, the problem is that every publication needs to write about them. But most don’t have people on staff who understand them. /1
I would guess that a majority of those who have heard about the UK-Oz FTA think that the agreement is in force now. It isn’t. /2
But trade experts really don’t help (nostra culpa, nostra culpa, nostra maxima culpa) by inventing concepts such as ‘agreement in principle’. Where the parties are sure that they’ll reach an FTA shortly, but haven’t yet. /3
I was, quite justifiably, asked "what does get over Brexit mean" given the trade effect of Brexit. That deserves an answer (thread)
I have not been shy pointing out that from a trade perspective Brexit is not a winning proposition - but that the EU is about more and if you do not want to be part of it that is a legitimate choice.
I have repeatedly pointed out falsehoods. But I try to inform debate about actual choices from where we are.
This country has got to get over Brexit. The debate is increasingly skewed - and allow me to argue this tweet is actually counterproductive in that regard (and I say that as someone on balance in favor of a UK-Oz FTA) (thread)
FTAs have always had people who favour them and people against them. That's true of the WTO, too. Think of the "battle of Seattle" (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_Seat…)
Some of that is opposition to globalization, some of that opposition to free trade. Some of it has good reasons, some of it reasons I reject. But it is a debate that is very much present everywhere. And it's not about Brexit. But there's more.