The only thing I would add is that I think that “defending the integrity of SM” at the end of the day wasn’t about the details- checks and formalities. It's a concept.

The EU was/is after the one thing that the UK does not want to provide – reassurance and certainty.

/1
Reassurance that the UK understands that this integrity, as @Mij_Europe points out, is fundamental to the politics of some of the big players.

The certainty that the UK will be a serious partner in implementing the Protocol.

But what does that mean in practice?

/2
Respecting certain principles, dependencies and trade-offs? – Yes.

That some derogations and simplifications would not be possible on the ground? I don’t think so.

Why? – customs.

/3
The EU was after all able to accept the less than perfect definition of goods at risk and the UK Trader Scheme based on self-certification.

Do the current customs arrangements ensure 100% the integrity of SM? No, it does not.

/4
The solution is patchy and imperfect. There will be goods that get through.

But it is based on the perceived scale of risk and expected volumes.

/5
It’s no secret that the UK’s attitude and approach to the implementation of the Protocol caused the EU to double down.

There is a gap between terms and concepts – dynamic alignment vs “control of your own laws and your own ways of doing things" etc

/6
That is what prevents an equally patchy solution to the SPS issue as we got on customs.

If the UK truly wanted a “flexible and pragmatic” solution to the SPS issue, it's taken the worst possible approach to getting that.

/7
As it is, the lack of alignment on principles prevents an actual practical and flexible solution on the ground.

The conversation is stuck on the opening statements!

/8
And I'm not saying that the UK doesn't need to implement what it agreed to and that being a third country doesn't come with strict rules on SPS.

/9
All I'm saying is that the EU demonstrated how flexible and creative it's willing to get with existing rules on the customs side.

A point that the UK perhaps interpreted as proof that chest-thumping works.

/10
Basically, I'm not sure that the integrity of the SM and practical and flexible solution are mutually exclusive.

Thanks to @anandMenon1 for a fascinating interview yesterday.

11/11

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Dr Anna Jerzewska

Dr Anna Jerzewska Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @AnnaJerzewska

23 Jun
🚛 Here is an interesting fact - it’s end of June and we don’t yet have a functioning border management system.

Remember the Goods Vehicle Movement Service (GVMS)? The system that was supposed to be first implemented in January to manage our borders?

/1
Remember how we all talked about the fact that you don’t build IT systems in a few months? That they require testing etc? And how Gov was sure it will be ready?

It wasn’t ready so the full implementation was pushed back to June.

/2
A while back, together with all the announcements around further easements and extensions, GVMS was pushed back to Jan 2022.

/3
Read 6 tweets
22 Jun
An article on the top 5 benefits of joining the CPTPP written by the UK's Chief Negotiator for accession to CPTPP - so basically the right person to ask.

Read it carefully cause the wording is very important here.

/1


linkedin.com/pulse/top-5-be…
It kind of hints at opportunities rather than promises results.

Important to remember that some companies will be in a position to profit from these benefits and others will not.

/2
E.e.
“could boost UK exports” - doesn’t mean that it will, there is potential but it will depend on a range of company/industry-specific factors

“will make it simpler for the UK to sell services” – relative to now and subject to conditions in the text.

/3
Read 5 tweets
22 Jun
So the UK started the CPTPP negotiations today. And the benefits of joining according to Gov's own estimates are... moderate at best... 0.08%.

And that is if they have taken into account all the bilateral deals that the UK already has with CPTPP members

/1
These deals will take away from the impact of the CPTPP.

Joe also mentioned the caveat in the report.
Measuring the impact of FTAs before they are implemented or negotiated is tricky and can only provide a rough estimate.

/2


CGE modelling is static and doesn't take all the expected benefits of an FTA into account.

Given all the bilateral deals joining the CPTPP is mostly around strategic and geopolitical objectives.

Plus regional cumulation, some stuff on digital and other bits and pieces.

/3
Read 8 tweets
20 Jun
Yet again I have to ask - how is this so much of a surprise?

The referendum took place 5 years ago, almost to the day. And yet it seems that ppl are only now realising what are the effects of leaving the EU.

/1


bbc.com/news/uk-englan…
See the quote below.

From the moment the UK settled on an FTA- style relationship it was clear that various border formalities will be required.

There are strict rules around moving live animals into the EU from the outside.

/2
They are incredibly labour-intensive and come with plenty of extra costs.

They have also been around for a while AND the UK applied these rules to imports from 3rd countries when it was a member of the EU.

And yet...

/3
Read 8 tweets
17 Jun
More on the UK-Australia deal here 👇

/1
Again with the wording is exaggerated.

This is most likely self-certification by exporter or importer. Which is standard in recent trade deals.

You're not cutting any red tape with that cause there was no red tape to begin with. It was always going to be self-certification

/2 Image
Also, the problems with, or the burden of, of proving origin doesn't happen at the border.

So most of it is fairly generic at the moment but some interesting bits there. Like RVC 25% for cars.

/3 Image
Read 5 tweets
15 Jun
Remember how before Brexit we were talking about driver shortages?

While it's not getting much coverage these days it's very much still a thing
Earlier this year a logistics provider mentioned that drivers were quitting and that shortages were unavoidable
And it's only going to get worse
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(